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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 115-107
31-27 24-27 35-22 25-31
Position#10
Record39-23
FormLWWWW
Points / game119.1
Allowed / game114.5
vs
Position#11
Record35-25
FormWLLWL
Points / game113.9
Allowed / game111.9
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Toronto Raptors
25 Oct 2026
MIN117
TOR94
05 Mar 2026
MIN115
TOR107
26 Oct 2024
MIN112
TOR101
03 Apr 2024
MIN133
TOR85
19 Jan 2023
MIN128
TOR126
16 Feb 2022
MIN91
TOR103
19 Feb 2021
MIN81
TOR86
18 Jan 2020
MIN112
TOR122
09 Apr 2019
MIN100
TOR120
20 Jan 2018
MIN115
TOR109
08 Feb 2017
MIN112
TOR109
10 Feb 2016
MIN117
TOR112
01 Apr 2015
MIN99
TOR113
09 Mar 2014
MIN104
TOR111
05 Apr 2013
MIN93
TOR95
29 Jan 2011
MIN103
TOR87
22 Mar 2010
MIN100
TOR106
10 Feb 2009
MIN102
TOR110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
115-119
115
119
-4
102avg 111
H07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
96-115
96
115
-19
82avg 111
H08/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
138-116
138
116
+22
138avg 111
H10/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
133-109
133
109
+24
127avg 111
H12/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
122-111
122
111
+11
115avg 111
H21/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
108-135
108
135
-27
104avg 111
H23/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
124-121
124
121
+3
118avg 111
A25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
94-88
94
88
+6
85avg 111
A27/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
117-108
117
108
+9
116avg 111
A01/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
117-110
117
110
+7
111avg 111
H04/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-34
38-22
24-33
21-30
19-23
23-31
17-26
37-35
41-34
40-22
25-31
32-29
32-26
29-25
35-31
37-27
40-25
29-32
27-31
26-23
26-35
32-33
20-26
30-41
33-27
29-32
34-35
28-27
29-27
15-11
19-30
31-20
22-31
36-19
32-32
27-26
23-32
34-30
32-20
28-28
229.6Avg total
116.4Scored
113.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)119.1114.5233.6+4.663%
Season at home (32)115.5110.7226.1+4.866%
Season away (30)123.0118.6241.6+4.460%
Last 10 (10)116.4113.2229.6+3.270%
Last 5 (5)112.0112.4224.4-0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)116.7113.3230.0+3.367%
vs Similar ◀ (16)115.6114.1229.7+1.662%
vs Weaker (11)125.8115.0240.8+10.864%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
126-128
126
128
-2
122avg 107
H05/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
123-107
123
107
+16
123avg 107
H06/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
122-104
122
104
+18
117avg 107
H08/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
95-113
95
113
-18
87avg 107
H12/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
110-101
110
101
+9
100avg 107
A20/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
122-94
122
94
+28
118avg 107
A22/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
107-116
107
116
-9
98avg 107
H25/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
107-110
107
110
-3
94avg 107
H26/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
134-125
134
125
+9
132avg 107
A01/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
95-111
95
111
-16
85avg 107
H04/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-32
37-27
32-35
22-34
33-25
32-33
35-30
23-19
21-20
25-28
44-26
32-30
19-29
33-38
22-27
21-19
25-23
28-22
34-33
23-23
22-27
38-24
32-22
30-21
32-25
19-35
29-38
27-18
29-30
30-27
31-21
17-32
25-33
36-31
37-28
36-33
31-32
27-36
24-19
13-24
225.0Avg total
114.1Scored
110.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (60)113.9111.9225.8+2.058%
Season at home (31)113.1112.5225.5+0.652%
Season away (29)114.7111.3226.0+3.466%
Last 10 (10)114.1110.9225.0+3.250%
Last 5 (5)113.0111.2224.2+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)102.3113.6215.9-11.314%
vs Similar ◀ (14)116.4114.0230.4+2.457%
vs Weaker (9)119.1108.8227.9+10.389%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.9-0.9
Minnesota TimberwolvesToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
70-56
70
56
+14
H07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H08/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
81-56
81
56
+25
H10/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H12/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H21/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H23/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A27/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A01/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
57-62
57
62
-5
H04/03
NBA
115.3Avg total
60.2Scored
55.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.555.8114.3+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.155.4114.4+3.757%-
Last 30 away (16)58.056.2114.2+1.869%-
Last 10 (10)60.255.1115.3+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)55.855.4111.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.758.0107.7-8.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)57.155.6112.7+1.462%-
vs Weaker (11)63.055.5118.5+7.573%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H05/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H06/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H08/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
52-67
52
67
-15
H12/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A20/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A22/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H25/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
59-57
59
57
+2
H26/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A01/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H04/03
NBA
115.4Avg total
57.7Scored
57.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.757.3115.0+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.059.5117.5-1.553%-
Last 30 away (13)57.354.5111.8+2.854%-
Last 10 (10)57.757.7115.4+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)57.860.0117.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)55.059.6114.6-4.643%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)59.257.0116.2+2.264%-
vs Weaker (9)57.456.0113.4+1.444%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 116.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.330.1
58.7%
54.8%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.512.6
35.5%
35.8%37.8
🏀 Free throws25.018.4
73.6%
78.1%18.4
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 114.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.330.4
54.0%
54.8%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.6
37.8%
35.8%34.8
🏀 Free throws22.918.5
80.8%
78.1%18.5
They take 87.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWWLWWWLL
Toronto Raptors
LWLLWWLWWL
#10
League position
#11
+3.1
Net rating
+3.2
113.6
Offensive rating
113.9
110.4
Defensive rating
110.7
56.5%
Effective FG%
54.9%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
15.0%
Turnover %
12.1%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.5%
3-point %
37.8%
59.0%
Assist %
65.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 113.9Defence110.4 · 110.7Shooting56.5% · 54.9%3-point %35.5% · 37.8%Ball care15.0% · 12.1%Off. rebounds26.6% · 26.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26HMemphis Grizzlies117-110
01/03/26ADenver Nuggets117-108
27/02/26ALos Angeles Clippers94-88
25/02/26APortland Trail Blazers124-121
23/02/26HPhiladelphia 76ers108-135
21/02/26HDallas Mavericks122-111
12/02/26HPortland Trail Blazers133-109
10/02/26HAtlanta Hawks138-116
08/02/26HLos Angeles Clippers96-115
07/02/26HNew Orleans Pelicans115-119
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26HNew York Knicks95-111
01/03/26AWashington Wizards134-125
26/02/26HSan Antonio Spurs107-110
25/02/26HOklahoma City Thunder107-116
22/02/26AMilwaukee Bucks122-94
20/02/26AChicago Bulls110-101
12/02/26HDetroit Pistons95-113
08/02/26HIndiana Pacers122-104
06/02/26HChicago Bulls123-107
05/02/26HMinnesota Timberwolves126-128

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW63%
HomeWWWLW66%
AwayLWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games623230
Win %63%66%60%
Points / game119.1115.5123.0
Allowed / game114.5110.7118.6
Point differential+4.6+4.8+4.4
Avg total233.6226.1241.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%41%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (19)60% (10)33% (9)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL58%
HomeWLLLL52%
AwayWLWWW66%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games603129
Win %58%52%66%
Points / game113.9113.1114.7
Allowed / game111.9112.5111.3
Point differential+2.0+0.6+3.4
Avg total225.8225.5226.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%32%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)50% (10)100% (2)
Overtime %7%10%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder62481477%118.7108.0+10.7
2 Detroit Pistons60451575%117.2109.5+7.7
3 San Antonio Spurs59421771%118.1111.4+6.7
4 Boston Celtics62412166%114.5107.1+7.3
5 Minnesota Timberwolves62392363%119.1114.5+4.6
6 New York Knicks61382362%116.6110.8+5.8
7 Houston Rockets61382362%114.7109.5+5.2
8 Cleveland Cavaliers63392462%119.1114.9+4.2
9 Los Angeles Lakers60372362%115.8114.9+0.8
10 Denver Nuggets62382461%120.5116.1+4.4
11 Toronto Raptors60352558%113.9111.9+2.0
12 Phoenix Suns60352558%112.5110.8+1.8
13 Miami Heat62342855%120.2116.6+3.6
14 Philadelphia 76ers62342855%115.8115.9-0.1
15 Orlando Magic59322754%114.6114.2+0.5
16 Golden State Warriors62323052%115.3114.1+1.3
17 Charlotte Hornets63323151%116.1112.3+3.8
18 Atlanta Hawks63323151%117.6117.3+0.3
19 Los Angeles Clippers61303149%112.4112.0+0.4
20 Portland Trail Blazers63303348%115.3118.3-2.9
21 Milwaukee Bucks61263543%111.4115.8-4.4
22 Chicago Bulls62253740%115.7120.0-4.3
23 Memphis Grizzlies61233838%115.6117.7-2.1
24 Dallas Mavericks62214134%113.5117.6-4.1
25 New Orleans Pelicans63194430%114.9120.2-5.3
26 Utah Jazz63194430%117.7125.2-7.6
27 Washington Wizards62164626%112.2123.0-10.8
28 Indiana Pacers62154724%111.3119.7-8.4
29 Brooklyn Nets62154724%106.9115.7-8.9
30 Sacramento Kings63144922%110.2121.1-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves31243525115
Toronto Raptors27272231107
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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