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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Sacramento Kings Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 15 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 117-103
20-27 31-25 37-32 29-19
Position#10
Record16-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game119.9
Allowed / game115.0
vs
Position#27
Record6-19
FormLLWLL
Points / game111.2
Allowed / game122.6
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Sacramento Kings
31 Mar 2027
MIN v SAC
upcoming
14 Dec 2025
MIN117
SAC103
14 Nov 2025
MIN124
SAC110
03 Feb 2025
MIN114
SAC116
27 Nov 2024
MIN104
SAC115
01 Mar 2024
MIN120
SAC124
24 Nov 2023
MIN111
SAC124
30 Jan 2023
MIN111
SAC118
28 Jan 2023
MIN117
SAC110
17 Nov 2021
MIN107
SAC97
05 Apr 2021
MIN116
SAC106
09 Apr 2020
MIN v SAC
upcoming
27 Jan 2020
MIN129
SAC133
25 Feb 2019
MIN112
SAC105
17 Dec 2018
MIN132
SAC105
11 Feb 2018
MIN111
SAC106
14 Dec 2017
MIN119
SAC96
01 Apr 2017
MIN117
SAC123
23 Dec 2016
MIN105
SAC109
23 Mar 2016
MIN113
SAC104
18 Dec 2015
MIN99
SAC95
01 Jan 2015
MIN107
SAC110
22 Nov 2014
MIN101
SAC113
16 Mar 2014
MIN104
SAC102
15 Jan 2014
MIN108
SAC111
02 Nov 2012
MIN92
SAC80
07 Feb 2012
MIN86
SAC84
16 Jan 2012
MIN99
SAC86
20 Mar 2011
MIN95
SAC127
27 Oct 2010
MIN116
SAC117
31 Mar 2010
MIN108
SAC99
18 Dec 2009
MIN112
SAC96
15 Apr 2009
MIN90
SAC97
29 Oct 2008
MIN98
SAC96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento Kings winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
113-114
113
114
-1
96avg 109
A22/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
112-117 OT
112
117
-5
101avg 109
A25/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
105-113
105
113
-8
96avg 109
A27/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
119-115
119
115
+4
116avg 109
H29/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
125-112
125
112
+13
125avg 109
H01/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
149-142 OT
149
142
+7
136avg 109
A03/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
125-116
125
116
+9
122avg 109
A05/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
109-106
109
106
+3
107avg 109
H07/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
105-108
105
108
-3
101avg 109
H09/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
127-120
127
120
+7
124avg 109
A13/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-32
25-30
33-19
31-33
27-23
27-23
28-31
19-24
17-24
22-25
32-29
34-35
32-36
27-33
35-23
25-23
32-37
29-25
28-31
36-19
31-25
27-43
42-35
29-26
35-30
27-32
26-28
37-26
22-34
20-22
30-22
37-28
23-29
34-32
27-23
21-24
28-27
33-36
27-28
39-29
235.2Avg total
118.9Scored
116.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)119.9115.0234.9+5.064%
Season at home (12)117.8110.8228.6+7.167%
Season away (13)121.8118.8240.7+3.062%
Last 10 (10)118.9116.3235.2+2.660%
Last 5 (5)123.0118.4241.4+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)113.0118.0231.0-5.033%
vs Similar (10)114.5116.1230.6-1.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)126.4112.4238.7+14.091%
This opponent (Sacramento Kings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento KingsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKings
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
96-137
96
137
-41
86avg 106
A21/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
128-123
128
123
+5
124avg 106
A23/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
117-112 OT
117
112
+5
108avg 106
H25/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
100-112
100
112
-12
90avg 106
H27/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
119-128
119
128
-9
106avg 106
A29/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
107-115
107
115
-8
89avg 106
H01/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
95-121
95
121
-26
72avg 106
A04/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
127-111
127
111
+16
118avg 106
A07/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
105-116
105
116
-11
102avg 106
A09/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
105-136
105
136
-31
91avg 106
H12/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-35
25-40
29-38
20-24
30-35
31-30
30-27
37-31
23-27
23-27
31-28
24-19
16-41
29-26
28-16
27-29
27-30
24-32
22-28
46-38
35-31
24-31
28-21
20-32
26-28
26-23
19-36
24-34
34-31
38-24
29-23
26-33
23-35
28-31
37-26
17-24
26-41
28-36
27-32
24-27
231.0Avg total
109.9Scored
121.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)111.2122.6233.8-11.424%
Season at home (11)109.2123.0232.2-13.827%
Season away (14)112.7122.3235.0-9.621%
Last 10 (10)109.9121.1231.0-11.230%
Last 5 (5)107.8119.8227.6-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)110.6121.7232.2-11.120%
vs Similar (10)112.5119.2231.7-6.740%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -7.2-7.2Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -7.2-7.2Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
Minnesota TimberwolvesSacramento Kings
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A22/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A25/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A27/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H29/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
61-62
61
62
-1
H01/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A03/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
D
62-62
62
62
+0
A05/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H07/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H09/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A13/12
NBA
114.0Avg total
54.2Scored
59.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.656.9114.6+0.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.556.0117.5+5.543%-
Last 30 away (16)54.257.8112.0-3.531%-
Last 10 (10)54.259.8114.0-5.610%-
Last 5 (5)56.062.0118.0-6.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)52.956.3109.2-3.433%-
vs Similar (10)56.260.1116.3-3.920%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)62.854.5117.4+8.355%-
This opponent (Sacramento Kings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento KingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
47-75
47
75
-28
A21/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A23/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H25/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
45-67
45
67
-22
H27/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A29/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
59-62
59
62
-3
H01/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A04/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
72-55
72
55
+17
A07/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
51-66
51
66
-15
A09/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
54-77
54
77
-23
H12/12
NBA
117.2Avg total
53.8Scored
63.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.462.9119.3-6.523%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.162.5115.6-9.513%-
Last 30 away (15)59.763.3123.0-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)53.863.4117.2-9.620%-
Last 5 (5)57.662.2119.8-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)57.062.1119.1-5.125%-
vs Similar (10)55.264.5119.7-9.320%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 118.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.126.9
55.9%
54.8%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.814.8
38.1%
35.8%44.4
🏀 Free throws26.820.7
77.2%
78.1%20.7
They take 86.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sacramento Kingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sacramento Kings: 109.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.332.2
53.4%
54.8%64.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.0
32.7%
35.8%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.715.5
74.9%
78.1%15.5
They take 90.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLWWWWWLLL
Sacramento Kings
LLWLLLLWWL
#10
League position
#27
+2.5
Net rating
-10.9
116.2
Offensive rating
106.7
113.6
Defensive rating
117.6
56.5%
Effective FG%
51.9%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
13.7%
Turnover %
12.4%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
22.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.23
38.1%
3-point %
32.7%
64.3%
Assist %
59.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence116.2 · 106.7Defence113.6 · 117.6Shooting56.5% · 51.9%3-point %38.1% · 32.7%Ball care13.7% · 12.4%Off. rebounds25.7% · 22.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Sacramento Kings
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25AGolden State Warriors127-120
09/12/25HPhoenix Suns105-108
07/12/25HLos Angeles Clippers109-106
05/12/25ANew Orleans Pelicans125-116
03/12/25ANew Orleans Pelicans149-142 OT
01/12/25HSan Antonio Spurs125-112
29/11/25HBoston Celtics119-115
27/11/25AOklahoma City Thunder105-113
25/11/25ASacramento Kings112-117 OT
22/11/25APhoenix Suns113-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/25HDenver Nuggets105-136
09/12/25AIndiana Pacers105-116
07/12/25AMiami Heat127-111
04/12/25AHouston Rockets95-121
01/12/25HMemphis Grizzlies107-115
29/11/25AUtah Jazz119-128
27/11/25HPhoenix Suns100-112
25/11/25HMinnesota Timberwolves117-112 OT
23/11/25ADenver Nuggets128-123
21/11/25AMemphis Grizzlies96-137

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW64%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %64%67%62%
Points / game119.9117.8121.8
Allowed / game115.0110.8118.8
Point differential+5.0+7.1+3.0
Avg total234.9228.6240.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%42%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %8%0%15%
Sacramento Kings
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL24%
HomeLWLLL27%
AwayWLLWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %24%27%21%
Points / game111.2109.2112.7
Allowed / game122.6123.0122.3
Point differential-11.4-13.8-9.6
Avg total233.8232.2235.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %4%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder2423196%123.0106.9+16.2
2 Detroit Pistons2520580%119.6113.3+6.3
3 Denver Nuggets2418675%125.5115.9+9.6
4 Los Angeles Lakers2317674%118.3116.1+2.2
5 Houston Rockets2216673%120.6110.4+10.2
6 New York Knicks2316770%120.7112.4+8.3
7 San Antonio Spurs2316770%119.6115.3+4.3
8 Minnesota Timberwolves2516964%119.9115.0+5.0
9 Boston Celtics25151060%116.6110.8+5.8
10 Toronto Raptors25151060%116.4113.8+2.6
11 Orlando Magic24141058%117.8113.6+4.2
12 Miami Heat24141058%122.3118.2+4.0
13 Phoenix Suns24141058%115.9113.5+2.4
14 Philadelphia 76ers25141156%116.8115.8+1.0
15 Cleveland Cavaliers27151256%118.7115.9+2.8
16 Atlanta Hawks27151256%118.0117.4+0.6
17 Golden State Warriors26131350%113.7112.3+1.4
18 Memphis Grizzlies25111444%114.1115.9-1.8
19 Chicago Bulls24101442%117.8122.7-4.9
20 Milwaukee Bucks27111641%113.9117.7-3.8
21 Dallas Mavericks26101638%112.1115.9-3.8
22 Utah Jazz2491538%118.1125.8-7.7
23 Portland Trail Blazers2591636%117.5121.5-4.0
24 Charlotte Hornets2681831%114.8118.4-3.6
25 Brooklyn Nets2571828%110.2115.9-5.7
26 Los Angeles Clippers2561924%111.6116.7-5.0
27 Sacramento Kings2561924%111.2122.6-11.4
28 Indiana Pacers2662023%110.2118.3-8.1
29 Washington Wizards2442017%112.8126.7-13.9
30 New Orleans Pelicans2642215%114.2123.5-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves20313729117
Sacramento Kings27253219103
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