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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 113-105
24-17 25-22 29-32 35-34
Position#1
Record17-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game122.6
Allowed / game105.7
vs
Position#10
Record10-7
FormLWWLL
Points / game119.6
Allowed / game114.2
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Minnesota Timberwolves
02 Mar 2027
OKC v MIN
upcoming
25 Nov 2026
OKC v MIN
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
OKC116
MIN103
26 Nov 2025
OKC113
MIN105
28 May 2025
OKC124
MIN94
22 May 2025
OKC118
MIN103
20 May 2025
OKC114
MIN88
24 Feb 2025
OKC128
MIN131
31 Dec 2024
OKC113
MIN105
29 Jan 2024
OKC101
MIN107
26 Dec 2023
OKC129
MIN106
16 Dec 2022
OKC110
MIN112
23 Oct 2022
OKC106
MIN116
04 Mar 2022
OKC101
MIN138
07 Jan 2022
OKC105
MIN135
06 Feb 2021
OKC120
MIN118
05 Feb 2021
OKC103
MIN106
13 Mar 2020
OKC v MIN
upcoming
06 Dec 2019
OKC139
MIN127
08 Jan 2019
OKC117
MIN119
23 Dec 2018
OKC112
MIN114
01 Dec 2017
OKC111
MIN107
22 Oct 2017
OKC113
MIN115
25 Dec 2016
OKC112
MIN100
05 Nov 2016
OKC112
MIN92
11 Mar 2016
OKC96
MIN99
15 Jan 2016
OKC113
MIN93
13 Mar 2015
OKC113
MIN99
26 Jan 2015
OKC92
MIN84
05 Feb 2014
OKC106
MIN97
01 Dec 2013
OKC113
MIN103
22 Feb 2013
OKC127
MIN111
09 Jan 2013
OKC106
MIN84
23 Mar 2012
OKC149
MIN140
25 Mar 2011
OKC111
MIN103
22 Nov 2010
OKC117
MIN107
04 Apr 2010
OKC116
MIN108
26 Feb 2010
OKC109
MIN92
28 Nov 2008
OKC103
MIN105
02 Nov 2008
OKC88
MIN85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
119-121
119
121
-2
111avg 111
A06/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
132-101
132
101
+31
132avg 111
A08/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
114-100
114
100
+14
101avg 111
A09/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
126-102
126
102
+24
123avg 111
H12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
121-92
121
92
+29
117avg 111
H13/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
109-96
109
96
+13
107avg 111
A16/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
126-109
126
109
+17
120avg 111
A18/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
113-99
113
99
+14
105avg 111
H20/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
144-112
144
112
+32
142avg 111
A22/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
122-95
122
95
+27
126avg 111
H24/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
41-21
24-36
21-24
33-40
30-32
40-24
28-27
34-18
25-33
26-29
34-18
29-20
34-25
29-19
44-28
19-30
30-18
40-20
30-26
21-28
30-30
25-22
32-18
22-26
49-24
20-32
36-24
21-29
27-25
31-25
25-19
30-30
30-44
37-24
43-20
34-24
39-18
28-28
29-22
26-27
225.3Avg total
122.6Scored
102.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)122.6105.7228.3+16.994%
Season at home (8)122.2103.4225.6+18.9100%
Season away (10)122.9107.5230.4+15.490%
Last 10 (10)122.6102.7225.3+19.990%
Last 5 (5)122.8102.2225.0+20.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)118.6106.7225.3+11.883%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#4
L
114-137
114
137
-23
108avg 108
A06/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
137-97
137
97
+40
141avg 108
H08/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
144-117
144
117
+27
138avg 108
A10/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
120-113
120
113
+7
112avg 108
A11/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
124-110
124
110
+14
121avg 108
H15/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
112-123
112
123
-11
102avg 108
H16/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
120-96
120
96
+24
115avg 108
H18/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
120-109
120
109
+11
112avg 108
H20/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
113-114
113
114
-1
96avg 108
A22/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
112-117 OT
112
117
-5
101avg 108
A25/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
32-26
28-40
28-43
43-15
36-30
25-22
33-30
31-25
40-29
40-30
33-33
26-30
27-25
40-25
27-33
35-30
26-31
31-30
32-19
31-29
29-26
26-32
26-36
34-21
27-23
37-22
22-30
34-29
37-17
23-36
26-27
24-32
25-30
33-19
31-33
27-23
27-23
28-31
19-24
234.9Avg total
121.6Scored
113.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)119.6114.2233.9+5.459%
Season at home (8)119.5111.0230.5+8.562%
Season away (9)119.8117.1236.9+2.756%
Last 10 (10)121.6113.3234.9+8.360%
Last 5 (5)115.4111.8227.2+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)111.3120.3231.7-9.017%
vs Similar (15)112.3109.9222.2+2.360%
vs Weaker (9)124.0108.7232.7+15.389%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +9.6+9.6Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -3.1-3.1
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +9.6+9.6Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -3.1-3.1
Oklahoma City ThunderMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
65-57
65
57
+8
A06/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
70-56
70
56
+14
A08/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A09/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
63-44
63
44
+19
H12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
70-38
70
38
+32
H13/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A16/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
69-56
69
56
+13
A18/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H20/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A22/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
67-46
67
46
+21
H24/11
NBA
116.4Avg total
63.5Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.352.5110.9+5.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.347.1106.5+12.273%-
Last 30 away (15)57.357.9115.3-0.653%-
Last 10 (10)63.552.9116.4+10.680%-
Last 5 (5)63.254.4117.6+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)58.352.5110.9+5.863%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#4
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A06/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
79-45
79
45
+34
H08/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
71-54
71
54
+17
A10/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A11/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
D
61-61
61
61
+0
H15/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H16/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
61-44
61
44
+17
H18/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
71-46
71
46
+25
H20/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A22/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A25/11
NBA
113.9Avg total
61.7Scored
52.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.053.8110.9+3.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.452.1112.5+8.360%-
Last 30 away (15)53.755.5109.2-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)61.752.2113.9+9.570%-
Last 5 (5)59.050.6109.6+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)52.854.5107.3-1.750%-
vs Similar (15)54.954.5109.4+0.340%-
vs Weaker (9)63.452.2115.7+11.267%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 122.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.329.7
57.9%
54.8%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.714.2
38.7%
35.8%42.6
🏀 Free throws24.420.6
84.4%
78.1%20.6
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 121.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.829.4
56.8%
54.8%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.713.8
35.7%
35.8%41.4
🏀 Free throws27.121.4
79.0%
78.1%21.4
They take 90.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWWWWWWWL
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWWLWWWWL
#1
League position
#10
+19.4
Net rating
+7.9
119.7
Offensive rating
115.8
100.3
Defensive rating
107.9
58.0%
Effective FG%
55.4%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
13.1%
Turnover %
14.2%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.7%
3-point %
35.7%
62.4%
Assist %
60.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence119.7 · 115.8Defence100.3 · 107.9Shooting58.0% · 55.4%3-point %38.7% · 35.7%Ball care13.1% · 14.2%Off. rebounds23.8% · 27.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/25HPortland Trail Blazers122-95
22/11/25AUtah Jazz144-112
20/11/25HSacramento Kings113-99
18/11/25ANew Orleans Pelicans126-109
16/11/25ACharlotte Hornets109-96
13/11/25HLos Angeles Lakers121-92
12/11/25HGolden State Warriors126-102
09/11/25AMemphis Grizzlies114-100
08/11/25ASacramento Kings132-101
06/11/25APortland Trail Blazers119-121
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/25ASacramento Kings112-117 OT
22/11/25APhoenix Suns113-114
20/11/25HWashington Wizards120-109
18/11/25HDallas Mavericks120-96
16/11/25HDenver Nuggets112-123
15/11/25HSacramento Kings124-110
11/11/25AUtah Jazz120-113
10/11/25ASacramento Kings144-117
08/11/25HUtah Jazz137-97
06/11/25ANew York Knicks114-137

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %94%100%90%
Points / game122.6122.2122.9
Allowed / game105.7103.4107.5
Point differential+16.9+18.9+15.4
Avg total228.3225.6230.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+72%75%70%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %11%12%10%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL59%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayLWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %59%62%56%
Points / game119.6119.5119.8
Allowed / game114.2111.0117.1
Point differential+5.4+8.5+2.7
Avg total233.9230.5236.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder1817194%122.6105.7+16.9
2 Detroit Pistons1815383%119.3112.9+6.4
3 Denver Nuggets1713476%123.8113.8+10.0
4 Los Angeles Lakers1713476%118.3114.8+3.5
5 Houston Rockets1511473%122.3111.1+11.1
6 Toronto Raptors1813572%120.4113.4+6.9
7 San Antonio Spurs1611569%118.2112.2+6.1
8 Miami Heat1812667%123.9117.9+5.9
9 New York Knicks1711665%120.8114.3+6.5
10 Cleveland Cavaliers1912763%118.8114.8+4.0
11 Phoenix Suns1811761%117.1113.3+3.7
12 Minnesota Timberwolves1710759%119.6114.2+5.4
13 Orlando Magic1911858%119.6114.3+5.3
14 Atlanta Hawks1911858%117.1115.3+1.8
15 Boston Celtics1810856%114.8110.2+4.6
16 Philadelphia 76ers179853%117.4118.4-1.0
17 Chicago Bulls179853%121.3124.2-2.9
18 Golden State Warriors1910953%115.8115.0+0.8
19 Portland Trail Blazers1881044%119.3121.4-2.1
20 Milwaukee Bucks1881044%116.5119.3-2.8
21 Memphis Grizzlies1861233%112.3116.9-4.7
22 Utah Jazz1751229%118.1125.5-7.5
23 Los Angeles Clippers1851328%112.2118.2-6.1
24 Sacramento Kings1851328%112.3123.7-11.4
25 Dallas Mavericks1951426%109.5115.5-5.9
26 Charlotte Hornets1841422%115.3120.9-5.6
27 Brooklyn Nets1731418%109.2119.7-10.5
28 New Orleans Pelicans1831517%110.6121.9-11.3
29 Indiana Pacers1721512%110.5122.8-12.4
30 Washington Wizards1721512%114.1128.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder24252935113
Minnesota Timberwolves17223234105
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