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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 09 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 105-108
23-29 34-32 27-23 21-24
Position#10
Record15-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game120.3
Allowed / game115.0
vs
Position#16
Record13-10
FormWLLWL
Points / game116.2
Allowed / game113.8
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Phoenix Suns
31 Jan 2027
MIN v PHX
upcoming
21 Dec 2026
MIN v PHX
upcoming
17 Mar 2026
MIN116
PHX104
08 Dec 2025
MIN105
PHX108
28 Mar 2025
MIN124
PHX109
17 Nov 2024
MIN120
PHX117
23 Apr 2024
MIN105
PHX93
20 Apr 2024
MIN120
PHX95
14 Apr 2024
MIN106
PHX125
13 Jan 2023
MIN121
PHX116
09 Nov 2022
MIN117
PHX129
23 Mar 2022
MIN116
PHX125
15 Nov 2021
MIN96
PHX99
28 Feb 2021
MIN99
PHX118
07 Apr 2020
MIN v PHX
upcoming
23 Nov 2019
MIN98
PHX100
20 Jan 2019
MIN116
PHX114
16 Dec 2017
MIN106
PHX108
26 Nov 2017
MIN119
PHX108
19 Dec 2016
MIN115
PHX108
28 Mar 2016
MIN121
PHX116
17 Jan 2016
MIN117
PHX87
20 Feb 2015
MIN111
PHX109
07 Jan 2015
MIN111
PHX113
23 Mar 2014
MIN120
PHX127
08 Jan 2014
MIN103
PHX104
13 Apr 2013
MIN105
PHX93
29 Dec 2012
MIN111
PHX107
09 Apr 2012
MIN90
PHX114
06 Apr 2011
MIN98
PHX108
28 Mar 2010
MIN105
PHX111
27 Nov 2009
MIN95
PHX120
11 Apr 2009
MIN97
PHX110
26 Nov 2008
MIN102
PHX110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
120-96
120
96
+24
115avg 109
H18/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
120-109
120
109
+11
112avg 109
H20/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
113-114
113
114
-1
96avg 109
A22/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
112-117 OT
112
117
-5
101avg 109
A25/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
105-113
105
113
-8
96avg 109
A27/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
119-115
119
115
+4
116avg 109
H29/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
125-112
125
112
+13
125avg 109
H01/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
149-142 OT
149
142
+7
136avg 109
A03/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
125-116
125
116
+9
122avg 109
A05/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
109-106
109
106
+3
107avg 109
H07/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-21
27-23
37-22
22-30
34-29
37-17
23-36
26-27
24-32
25-30
33-19
31-33
27-23
27-23
28-31
19-24
17-24
22-25
32-29
34-35
32-36
27-33
35-23
25-23
32-37
29-25
28-31
36-19
31-25
27-43
42-35
29-26
35-30
27-32
26-28
37-26
22-34
20-22
30-22
37-28
233.7Avg total
119.7Scored
114.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)120.3115.0235.3+5.265%
Season at home (11)119.0111.0230.0+8.073%
Season away (12)121.4118.8240.2+2.758%
Last 10 (10)119.7114.0233.7+5.770%
Last 5 (5)125.4118.2243.6+7.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)113.0118.0231.0-5.033%
vs Similar ◀ (10)115.1115.3230.4-0.250%
vs Weaker (11)126.4112.4238.7+14.091%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
122-124
122
124
-2
112avg 107
H17/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
127-110
127
110
+17
116avg 107
A19/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
114-113
114
113
+1
110avg 107
H22/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
111-102
111
102
+9
99avg 107
H24/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
92-114
92
114
-22
74avg 107
H25/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
112-100
112
100
+12
104avg 107
A27/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
119-123
119
123
-4
109avg 107
A29/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
112-130
112
130
-18
96avg 107
H30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
125-108
125
108
+17
121avg 107
A02/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
98-117
98
117
-19
69avg 107
A06/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
37-32
37-20
27-47
35-32
29-29
36-21
27-28
32-24
30-25
19-33
33-31
25-30
24-26
37-24
25-22
23-30
27-29
25-25
17-30
41-16
26-29
16-28
29-27
25-25
27-31
30-38
37-29
25-30
35-33
25-33
27-34
31-31
35-21
30-25
29-31
31-24
27-44
14-29
26-20
227.3Avg total
113.2Scored
114.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)116.2113.8230.0+2.457%
Season at home (12)116.8110.4227.2+6.367%
Season away (11)115.6117.5233.2-1.945%
Last 10 (10)113.2114.1227.3-0.950%
Last 5 (5)113.2115.6228.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)111.4121.1232.5-9.825%
vs Similar ◀ (14)111.0114.9225.9-3.943%
vs Weaker (8)121.8109.2231.0+12.575%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -2.2-2.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -2.2-2.2
Minnesota TimberwolvesPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
61-44
61
44
+17
H18/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
71-46
71
46
+25
H20/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A22/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A25/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A27/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H29/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
61-62
61
62
-1
H01/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A03/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
D
62-62
62
62
+0
A05/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H07/12
NBA
112.0Avg total
55.6Scored
56.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.756.4114.1+1.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.955.0116.9+6.950%-
Last 30 away (16)54.157.6111.6-3.531%-
Last 10 (10)55.656.4112.0-0.830%-
Last 5 (5)56.463.4119.8-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)52.956.3109.2-3.433%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)56.458.4114.8-2.030%-
vs Weaker (11)62.854.5117.4+8.355%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H17/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A19/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
62-49
62
49
+13
H22/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H24/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H25/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
67-45
67
45
+22
A27/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A29/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
66-52
66
52
+14
A02/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A06/12
NBA
115.2Avg total
58.6Scored
56.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.956.8113.7+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.054.5111.5+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)56.759.1115.8-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)58.656.6115.2+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)60.656.8117.4+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)53.558.5112.0-5.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)56.658.6115.2-2.143%-
vs Weaker (8)60.851.9112.6+8.975%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 119.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.126.3
53.6%
54.8%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.715.3
38.5%
35.8%45.9
🏀 Free throws27.421.2
77.4%
78.1%21.2
They take 88.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 113.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.729.3
54.6%
54.8%58.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.913.0
34.3%
35.8%39.0
🏀 Free throws20.215.6
77.2%
78.1%15.6
They take 91.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWWWLLLWW
Phoenix Suns
LWLLWLWWWL
#10
League position
#16
+5.5
Net rating
-0.9
115.8
Offensive rating
111.3
110.2
Defensive rating
112.2
55.5%
Effective FG%
53.3%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
13.7%
Turnover %
14.6%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.22
38.5%
3-point %
34.3%
64.2%
Assist %
53.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 111.3Defence110.2 · 112.2Shooting55.5% · 53.3%3-point %38.5% · 34.3%Ball care13.7% · 14.6%Off. rebounds27.0% · 30.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25HLos Angeles Clippers109-106
05/12/25ANew Orleans Pelicans125-116
03/12/25ANew Orleans Pelicans149-142 OT
01/12/25HSan Antonio Spurs125-112
29/11/25HBoston Celtics119-115
27/11/25AOklahoma City Thunder105-113
25/11/25ASacramento Kings112-117 OT
22/11/25APhoenix Suns113-114
20/11/25HWashington Wizards120-109
18/11/25HDallas Mavericks120-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25AHouston Rockets98-117
02/12/25ALos Angeles Lakers125-108
30/11/25HDenver Nuggets112-130
29/11/25AOklahoma City Thunder119-123
27/11/25ASacramento Kings112-100
25/11/25HHouston Rockets92-114
24/11/25HSan Antonio Spurs111-102
22/11/25HMinnesota Timberwolves114-113
19/11/25APortland Trail Blazers127-110
17/11/25HAtlanta Hawks122-124

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW65%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLLLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %65%73%58%
Points / game120.3119.0121.4
Allowed / game115.0111.0118.8
Point differential+5.2+8.0+2.7
Avg total235.3230.0240.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%45%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL57%
HomeLWWLL67%
AwayWWLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %57%67%45%
Points / game116.2116.8115.6
Allowed / game113.8110.4117.5
Point differential+2.4+6.3-1.9
Avg total230.0227.2233.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%42%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder2423196%123.0106.9+16.2
2 Detroit Pistons2419579%118.7113.2+5.5
3 Denver Nuggets2317674%125.0116.3+8.7
4 Los Angeles Lakers2317674%118.3116.1+2.2
5 Houston Rockets2115671%120.9110.3+10.6
6 New York Knicks2316770%120.7112.4+8.3
7 San Antonio Spurs2215768%118.9114.5+4.4
8 Minnesota Timberwolves2315865%120.3115.0+5.2
9 Boston Celtics2415962%117.2110.6+6.7
10 Toronto Raptors25151060%116.4113.8+2.6
11 Orlando Magic24141058%117.8113.6+4.2
12 Miami Heat24141058%122.3118.2+4.0
13 Phoenix Suns23131057%116.2113.8+2.4
14 Philadelphia 76ers23131057%116.9116.1+0.8
15 Cleveland Cavaliers25141156%118.6115.4+3.2
16 Atlanta Hawks25141156%118.0116.5+1.6
17 Golden State Warriors25131252%113.5111.7+1.8
18 Memphis Grizzlies24111346%113.6115.3-1.7
19 Milwaukee Bucks25101540%115.1118.0-2.9
20 Chicago Bulls2391439%117.3122.6-5.3
21 Portland Trail Blazers2491538%117.4120.6-3.2
22 Dallas Mavericks2591636%111.8116.1-4.3
23 Utah Jazz2381535%117.6125.8-8.2
24 Charlotte Hornets2471729%114.2118.3-4.1
25 Brooklyn Nets2361726%109.4117.2-7.8
26 Los Angeles Clippers2461825%111.6116.8-5.2
27 Indiana Pacers2461825%111.2118.8-7.6
28 Sacramento Kings2461825%111.4122.0-10.6
29 Washington Wizards2231914%112.4128.3-15.9
30 New Orleans Pelicans2432112%112.2123.2-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves23342721105
Phoenix Suns29322324108
← all games of the day
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