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Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 01 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 125-112
32-37 29-25 28-31 36-19
Position#10
Record11-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game118.8
Allowed / game114.2
vs
Position#2
Record13-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game119.2
Allowed / game112.9
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v San Antonio Spurs
18 Feb 2027
MIN v SAS
upcoming
03 Jan 2027
MIN v SAS
upcoming
15 May 2026
MIN109
SAS139
10 May 2026
MIN114
SAS109
08 May 2026
MIN108
SAS115
11 Jan 2026
MIN104
SAS103
30 Nov 2025
MIN125
SAS112
09 Mar 2025
MIN141
SAS124
29 Dec 2024
MIN112
SAS110
27 Feb 2024
MIN114
SAS105
06 Dec 2023
MIN102
SAS94
26 Oct 2022
MIN134
SAS122
24 Oct 2022
MIN106
SAS115
07 Apr 2022
MIN127
SAS121
18 Nov 2021
MIN115
SAS90
10 Jan 2021
MIN96
SAS88
09 Jan 2021
MIN122
SAS125
26 Mar 2020
MIN v SAS
upcoming
13 Nov 2019
MIN129
SAS114
18 Jan 2019
MIN113
SAS116
28 Nov 2018
MIN128
SAS89
15 Nov 2017
MIN98
SAS86
21 Mar 2017
MIN93
SAS100
06 Dec 2016
MIN91
SAS105
08 Mar 2016
MIN91
SAS116
23 Dec 2015
MIN83
SAS108
10 Jan 2015
MIN93
SAS108
21 Nov 2014
MIN92
SAS121
08 Apr 2014
MIN110
SAS91
12 Mar 2013
MIN107
SAS83
06 Feb 2013
MIN94
SAS104
27 Jan 2012
MIN87
SAS79
02 Jan 2012
MIN106
SAS96
11 Jan 2011
MIN96
SAS107
24 Nov 2010
MIN109
SAS113
12 Mar 2010
MIN85
SAS103
12 Dec 2008
MIN86
SAS98
05 Nov 2008
MIN125
SAS129
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
144-117
144
117
+27
138avg 108
A10/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
120-113
120
113
+7
112avg 108
A11/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
124-110
124
110
+14
121avg 108
H15/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
112-123
112
123
-11
102avg 108
H16/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
120-96
120
96
+24
115avg 108
H18/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
120-109
120
109
+11
112avg 108
H20/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
113-114
113
114
-1
96avg 108
A22/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
112-117 OT
112
117
-5
101avg 108
A25/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
105-113
105
113
-8
96avg 108
A27/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
119-115
119
115
+4
116avg 108
H29/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-25
40-29
40-30
33-33
26-30
27-25
40-25
27-33
35-30
26-31
31-30
32-19
31-29
29-26
26-32
26-36
34-21
27-23
37-22
22-30
34-29
37-17
23-36
26-27
24-32
25-30
33-19
31-33
27-23
27-23
28-31
19-24
17-24
22-25
32-29
34-35
32-36
27-33
35-23
25-23
231.6Avg total
118.9Scored
112.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)118.8114.2233.1+4.658%
Season at home (9)119.4111.4230.9+8.067%
Season away (10)118.3116.7235.0+1.650%
Last 10 (10)118.9112.7231.6+6.260%
Last 5 (5)113.8113.6227.4+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)111.5118.8230.2-7.225%
vs Similar (13)111.7110.2221.8+1.554%
vs Weaker (9)124.0108.7232.7+15.389%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
126-119
126
119
+7
125avg 109
H09/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
121-117
121
117
+4
121avg 109
A11/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
120-125
120
125
-5
117avg 109
H13/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
108-109
108
109
-1
106avg 109
H15/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
123-110
123
110
+13
129avg 109
H16/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
111-101
111
101
+10
100avg 109
H19/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
135-126
135
126
+9
133avg 109
H21/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
102-111
102
111
-9
95avg 109
A24/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
115-102
115
102
+13
100avg 109
A27/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
139-136
139
136
+3
129avg 109
A29/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
38-36
26-27
34-34
34-26
29-38
26-34
32-19
28-14
28-35
28-43
36-33
20-18
25-29
34-30
29-32
36-24
31-35
28-26
28-25
23-24
26-23
37-40
25-14
28-34
46-26
21-32
40-34
30-25
26-24
24-37
22-25
29-30
27-24
35-32
24-16
41-33
18-41
44-30
36-32
235.6Avg total
120.0Scored
115.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)119.2112.9232.2+6.372%
Season at home (10)119.0111.1230.1+7.980%
Season away (8)119.5115.2234.8+4.262%
Last 10 (10)120.0115.6235.6+4.470%
Last 5 (5)120.4115.2235.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)102.9110.3213.1-7.429%
vs Similar (7)112.4115.0227.4-2.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)117.9111.7229.6+6.269%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +4.2+4.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +4.2+4.2
Minnesota TimberwolvesSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
71-54
71
54
+17
A10/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A11/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
D
61-61
61
61
+0
H15/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H16/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
61-44
61
44
+17
H18/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
71-46
71
46
+25
H20/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A22/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A25/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A27/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H29/11
NBA
111.9Avg total
57.8Scored
54.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.553.9110.4+2.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.752.5113.2+8.257%-
Last 30 away (16)52.855.1107.9-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)57.854.1111.9+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)54.454.4108.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)51.955.6107.5-3.838%-
vs Similar (13)54.554.0108.5+0.538%-
vs Weaker (9)63.452.2115.7+11.267%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H09/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A11/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H13/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H15/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
67-59
67
59
+8
H16/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H19/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H21/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A24/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A27/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
59-74
59
74
-15
A29/11
NBA
115.2Avg total
59.1Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.455.4110.8+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.455.9113.3+1.567%-
Last 30 away (15)53.454.9108.3-1.533%-
Last 10 (10)59.156.1115.2+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)58.856.8115.6+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)49.052.6101.6-3.643%-
vs Similar (7)51.758.9110.6-7.114%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)59.855.1114.9+4.769%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 118.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.127.6
55.1%
54.8%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.614.0
35.4%
35.8%42.0
🏀 Free throws28.421.7
76.4%
78.1%21.7
They take 89.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 120.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.329.6
57.7%
54.8%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.913.7
36.1%
35.8%41.1
🏀 Free throws23.219.7
84.9%
78.1%19.7
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLLWWLWWW
San Antonio Spurs
WWLWWWLLWW
#10
League position
#2
+5.9
Net rating
+4.3
114.0
Offensive rating
117.2
108.0
Defensive rating
112.9
54.2%
Effective FG%
56.2%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
13.3%
Turnover %
13.4%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.4%
3-point %
36.1%
61.1%
Assist %
64.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 117.2Defence108.0 · 112.9Shooting54.2% · 56.2%3-point %35.4% · 36.1%Ball care13.3% · 13.4%Off. rebounds26.1% · 25.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25HBoston Celtics119-115
27/11/25AOklahoma City Thunder105-113
25/11/25ASacramento Kings112-117 OT
22/11/25APhoenix Suns113-114
20/11/25HWashington Wizards120-109
18/11/25HDallas Mavericks120-96
16/11/25HDenver Nuggets112-123
15/11/25HSacramento Kings124-110
11/11/25AUtah Jazz120-113
10/11/25ASacramento Kings144-117
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25ADenver Nuggets139-136
27/11/25APortland Trail Blazers115-102
24/11/25APhoenix Suns102-111
21/11/25HAtlanta Hawks135-126
19/11/25HMemphis Grizzlies111-101
16/11/25HSacramento Kings123-110
15/11/25HGolden State Warriors108-109
13/11/25HGolden State Warriors120-125
11/11/25AChicago Bulls121-117
09/11/25HNew Orleans Pelicans126-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW58%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game118.8119.4118.3
Allowed / game114.2111.4116.7
Point differential+4.6+8.0+1.6
Avg total233.1230.9235.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%44%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW72%
HomeLLWWW80%
AwayLWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %72%80%62%
Points / game119.2119.0119.5
Allowed / game112.9111.1115.2
Point differential+6.3+7.9+4.2
Avg total232.2230.1234.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder2120195%122.2106.7+15.5
2 Detroit Pistons2016480%119.8114.0+5.8
3 Los Angeles Lakers1814478%118.9115.1+3.8
4 Houston Rockets1713476%121.6109.9+11.7
5 Denver Nuggets1914574%124.8115.1+9.7
6 San Antonio Spurs1813572%119.2112.9+6.3
7 New York Knicks1913668%120.4112.9+7.5
8 Toronto Raptors2114767%117.6112.9+4.7
9 Miami Heat2013765%123.5118.2+5.3
10 Atlanta Hawks2113862%118.9116.6+2.3
11 Orlando Magic2012860%119.2114.0+5.2
12 Minnesota Timberwolves1911858%118.8114.2+4.6
13 Cleveland Cavaliers2112957%118.8115.6+3.2
14 Phoenix Suns2112957%116.7114.0+2.7
15 Boston Celtics2011955%114.9110.9+4.0
16 Philadelphia 76ers1910953%118.2118.8-0.7
17 Golden State Warriors21111052%114.5113.6+1.0
18 Chicago Bulls1991047%119.9123.1-3.1
19 Milwaukee Bucks2191243%115.5117.7-2.2
20 Portland Trail Blazers2081240%118.2121.2-2.9
21 Memphis Grizzlies2081240%113.3117.0-3.7
22 Utah Jazz1961332%117.7125.4-7.7
23 Charlotte Hornets2061430%115.8120.2-4.3
24 Dallas Mavericks2161529%110.2115.9-5.7
25 Los Angeles Clippers2051525%111.8117.7-5.9
26 Sacramento Kings2051525%112.0123.3-11.3
27 Indiana Pacers2041620%109.8118.6-8.8
28 Brooklyn Nets1931616%108.4119.3-10.9
29 New Orleans Pelicans2031715%110.7121.5-10.8
30 Washington Wizards1821611%112.5127.7-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves32292836125
San Antonio Spurs37253119112
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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