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Minsk vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 60-58
21-14 15-18 17-11 7-15
Position#14
Record0-34
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game87.9
Minsk 🏆
Russia
vs
Position#13
Record12-22
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game82.7
RussiaVTB United League· Minsk-Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Minsk v Astana
27 Mar 2024
MIN60
AST58
07 Dec 2023
MIN84
AST89
26 Mar 2023
MIN84
AST69
25 Dec 2022
MIN65
AST76
13 Mar 2022
MIN66
AST60
21 Mar 2021
MIN78
AST80
02 Feb 2020
MIN96
AST77
13 Oct 2018
MIN86
AST93
22 Oct 2017
MIN75
AST66
19 Feb 2017
MIN70
AST80
05 Mar 2016
MIN87
AST83
05 Apr 2015
MIN94
AST86
17 Nov 2013
MIN82
AST68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minsk winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinskRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parma Perm
#6
L
59-88
59
88
-29
H29/01
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
L
63-105
63
105
-42
A03/02
VTB United League
Samara
#7
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A10/02
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
77-89
77
89
-12
H13/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
L
58-81
58
81
-23
A03/03
VTB United League
Astana
#13
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A06/03
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
60-73
60
73
-13
H09/03
VTB United League
Samara
#7
L
86-96
86
96
-10
H17/03
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#12
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A20/03
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H24/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
11-22
12-21
18-25
16-32
21-26
15-27
11-20
17-17
18-21
13-25
23-16
17-18
25-29
19-13
16-29
12-19
11-15
21-22
14-25
16-28
21-20
19-14
14-14
22-25
18-27
10-8
10-13
21-18
13-25
19-12
33-41
16-16
18-24
15-14
12-20
16-19
26-16
14-25
23-26
153.1Avg total
68.4Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)70.087.9157.9-17.90%
Season at home (17)72.288.9161.1-16.80%
Season away (17)67.886.8154.6-19.00%
Last 10 (10)68.484.7153.1-16.30%
Last 5 (5)71.281.0152.2-9.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)71.087.9158.9-17.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Runa Moscow
#11
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A28/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
69-97
69
97
-28
H01/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
L
65-82
65
82
-17
H12/02
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#12
L
64-82
64
82
-18
H03/03
VTB United League
Minsk
#14
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H06/03
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#12
L
72-94
72
94
-22
A09/03
VTB United League
Samara
#7
L
63-84
63
84
-21
A13/03
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
W
75-70
75
70
+5
A18/03
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
61-96
61
96
-35
H21/03
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
54-76
54
76
-22
H24/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
23-15
11-24
18-17
14-19
15-20
25-24
15-34
16-20
22-17
13-24
14-21
16-26
16-9
11-21
21-26
28-16
20-21
14-19
14-14
14-27
18-31
26-16
14-20
16-31
25-10
12-25
10-18
16-20
16-15
20-18
23-17
13-25
17-25
14-20
17-26
14-23
14-18
16-14
10-21
149.7Avg total
66.6Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)74.682.7157.3-8.035%
Season at home (18)74.680.2154.8-5.644%
Season away (16)74.785.5160.2-10.825%
Last 10 (10)66.683.1149.7-16.520%
Last 5 (5)65.084.0149.0-19.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)74.184.9159.0-10.825%
vs Similar (3)76.079.0155.0-3.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)81.076.0157.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -6.9-6.9Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -5.5-5.5Q4: -5.8-5.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -6.9-6.9Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -5.5-5.5Q4: -5.8-5.8
MinskAstana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parma Perm
#6
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H29/01
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
L
37-58
37
58
-21
A03/02
VTB United League
Samara
#7
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A10/02
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H13/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A03/03
VTB United League
Astana
#13
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A06/03
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H09/03
VTB United League
Samara
#7
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H17/03
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A20/03
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H24/03
VTB United League
79.0Avg total
35.3Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.444.680.0-9.210%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.944.680.5-8.614%-
Last 30 away (16)34.944.679.6-9.76%-
Last 10 (10)35.343.779.0-8.410%-
Last 5 (5)37.443.681.0-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)35.444.680.0-9.210%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Runa Moscow
#11
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A28/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H01/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H12/02
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#12
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H03/03
VTB United League
Minsk
#14
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H06/03
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#12
L
32-58
32
58
-26
A09/03
VTB United League
Samara
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A13/03
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A18/03
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H21/03
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H24/03
VTB United League
76.0Avg total
34.8Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.041.879.8-3.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.140.777.8-3.644%-
Last 30 away (14)39.143.082.1-3.936%-
Last 10 (10)34.841.276.0-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)32.645.077.6-12.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)38.342.280.5-3.842%-
vs Similar (3)35.346.081.3-10.70%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)38.334.372.7+4.067%-
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minsk: 59.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.515.2
48.3%
-30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.6
31.9%
-19.8
🏀 Free throws13.39.6
72.2%
-9.6
They take 52.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 55.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.513.8
45.2%
-27.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.8
30.4%
-20.4
🏀 Free throws12.07.7
64.2%
-7.7
They take 52.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minsk
LLLLLLLLLL
Astana
LLWLLWLLLL
#14
League position
#13
-33.5
Net rating
-32.5
91.1
Offensive rating
82.8
124.7
Defensive rating
115.3
48.1%
Effective FG%
45.4%
62.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
22.8%
Turnover %
26.7%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.9%
3-point %
30.4%
61.9%
Assist %
60.7%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)0% · 20%
■ Minsk   ■ Astana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Minsk wins
6
Astana wins
DateGameScore
06/03/24Astana v Minsk76-70
07/12/23Minsk v Astana84-89 OT
15/11/23Astana v Minsk78-74
26/03/23Minsk v Astana84-69
01/02/23Astana v Minsk86-82
11/01/23Astana v Minsk77-48
25/12/22Minsk v Astana65-76
17/03/22Astana v Minsk64-65 OT
13/03/22Minsk v Astana66-60
25/04/21Astana v Minsk74-109
Minsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24HRuna Moscow79-86
20/03/24ANizhny Novgorod61-74
17/03/24HSamara86-96
09/03/24HMBA Moscow60-73
06/03/24AAstana70-76
03/03/24ASaratov58-81
13/02/24HUralmash Ekaterinburg77-89
10/02/24ASamara71-79
03/02/24ASaratov63-105
29/01/24HParma Perm59-88
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24HMBA Moscow54-76
21/03/24HUralmash Ekaterinburg61-96
18/03/24ARuna Moscow75-70
13/03/24ASamara63-84
09/03/24ANizhny Novgorod72-94
06/03/24HMinsk76-70
03/03/24HNizhny Novgorod64-82
12/02/24HSaratov65-82
01/02/24HEnisey69-97
28/01/24ARuna Moscow67-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minsk
VTB United League 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.072.267.8
Allowed / game87.988.986.8
Point differential-17.9-16.8-19.0
Avg total157.9161.1154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Astana
VTB United League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL35%
HomeLLWLL44%
AwayWLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %35%44%25%
Points / game74.674.674.7
Allowed / game82.780.285.5
Point differential-8.0-5.6-10.8
Avg total157.3154.8160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%22%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %9%11%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan3325876%85.975.6+10.4
2 CSKA Moscow3224875%86.677.0+9.6
3 Lokomotiv Kuban32221069%84.879.6+5.3
4 Zenit Petersburg31211068%82.974.0+8.9
5 Uralmash Ekaterinburg34201459%81.878.8+3.0
6 Parma Perm32181456%78.877.4+1.5
7 Samara34191556%78.979.5-0.6
8 Enisey32171553%83.682.9+0.7
9 Saratov34161847%78.479.3-1.0
10 MBA Moscow34132138%75.277.9-2.6
11 Runa Moscow34132138%78.381.4-3.2
12 Nizhny Novgorod34122235%73.977.8-3.9
13 Astana34122235%74.682.7-8.0
14 Minsk340340%70.087.9-17.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minsk211517760
Astana1418111558
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