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Minsk vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 72-95
23-28 16-32 18-19 15-16
Position#33
Record2-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#7
Record2-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game77.8
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 5
European cup2021
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinskLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinsk
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
44-92
44
92
-48
no box
H23/09
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
87-92
87
92
-5
71avg 65
A02/10
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#5
L
75-78
75
78
-3
72avg 65
H10/10
VTB United League
Peristeri
#30
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
no box
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Saratov
#6
L
79-95
79
95
-16
63avg 65
A16/10
VTB United League
Crailsheim Merlins
#7
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bakken Bears
#17
L
93-101
93
101
-8
no box
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zielona Gora
#11
L
64-96
64
96
-32
55avg 65
A31/10
VTB United League
Peristeri
#30
L
70-80
70
80
-10
no box
A03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#9
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
no box
H07/11
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-33
6-13
10-28
17-18
18-19
15-20
21-28
33-25
21-24
16-19
20-15
18-20
23-25
26-15
21-16
7-21
11-28
21-21
19-21
28-25
25-20
19-10
14-31
23-16
25-28
25-28
18-25
25-20
16-28
24-23
14-27
10-18
11-17
14-19
25-24
20-20
23-16
15-20
14-14
28-30
166.0Avg total
77.3Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.885.8168.5-3.050%
Season at home (1)87.085.0172.0+2.0100%
Season away (3)81.386.0167.3-4.733%
Last 10 (10)77.388.7166.0-11.430%
Last 5 (5)80.289.0169.2-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)72.387.3159.6-15.117%
vs Similar (7)82.783.4166.1-0.729%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
65-63 OT
65
63
+2
no box
H02/10
German Cup
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
111-116 OT
111
116
-5
no box
A10/10
BBL
Bakken Bears
#17
W
91-78
91
78
+13
no box
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ulm
#5
L
71-93
71
93
-22
60avg 81
H16/10
BBL
Minsk
#33
L
77-81
77
81
-4
no box
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayreuth
#16
W
86-74
86
74
+12
81avg 81
A23/10
BBL
Peristeri
#30
W
76-66
76
66
+10
no box
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
92-90 OT
92
90
+2
no box
H30/10
BBL
Bakken Bears
#17
L
77-86
77
86
-9
no box
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Giessen
#18
W
104-70
104
70
+34
100avg 81
A06/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
16-14
10-10
8-10
24-33
29-22
25-22
21-22
18-24
27-19
20-18
26-17
21-25
24-21
17-24
9-23
20-25
10-19
31-14
16-23
22-23
25-11
19-19
20-21
20-15
16-14
19-21
21-16
20-24
19-26
23-17
17-12
19-23
21-28
22-10
15-25
26-11
28-19
25-16
25-24
166.7Avg total
85.0Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.277.8158.0+2.550%
Season at home (2)77.083.5160.5-6.50%
Season away (2)83.572.0155.5+11.5100%
Last 10 (10)85.081.7166.7+3.360%
Last 5 (5)87.077.2164.2+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.774.7153.3+4.067%
vs Similar (12)81.784.2165.9-2.642%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)88.882.7171.5+6.157%
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -1.5-1.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -1.5-1.5
MinskCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
17-46
17
46
-29
H23/09
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A02/10
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H10/10
VTB United League
Peristeri
#30
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Saratov
#6
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A16/10
VTB United League
Crailsheim Merlins
#7
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bakken Bears
#17
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zielona Gora
#11
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A31/10
VTB United League
Peristeri
#30
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#9
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H07/11
VTB United League
79.1Avg total
36.5Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.742.878.5-7.120%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.540.576.0-5.127%-
Last 30 away (15)36.045.181.1-9.113%-
Last 10 (10)36.542.679.1-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)39.441.881.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)34.943.278.1-8.317%-
vs Similar (7)38.441.680.0-3.129%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H02/10
German Cup
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A10/10
BBL
Bakken Bears
#17
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ulm
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H16/10
BBL
Minsk
#33
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayreuth
#16
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A23/10
BBL
Peristeri
#30
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H30/10
BBL
Bakken Bears
#17
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Giessen
#18
W
54-30
54
30
+24
A06/11
BBL
83.9Avg total
42.4Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.683.5+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.141.882.9-0.644%-
Last 30 away (14)42.841.484.1+1.443%-
Last 10 (10)42.441.583.9+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)43.238.882.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.334.377.7+9.067%-
vs Similar (12)40.943.584.4-2.625%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.942.185.0+0.950%-
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minsk: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.5
48.6%
52.5%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.19.0
37.3%
34.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.411.6
70.7%
73.2%11.6
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.218.0
57.7%
52.5%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.5
39.5%
34.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.215.8
82.3%
73.2%15.8
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minsk
WLLLWLWLLL
Crailsheim Merlins
WLWWWLLWLW
#33
League position
#7
-14.3
Net rating
+4.4
100.0
Offensive rating
117.0
114.3
Defensive rating
112.6
51.6%
Effective FG%
58.4%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
18.9%
Turnover %
19.3%
21.8%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.3%
3-point %
39.5%
62.3%
Assist %
60.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 117.0Defence114.3 · 112.6Shooting51.6% · 58.4%3-point %37.3% · 39.5%Ball care18.9% · 19.3%Off. rebounds21.8% · 28.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Minsk   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Minsk wins
0
Crailsheim Merlins wins
DateGameScore
20/10/21Crailsheim Merlins v Minsk77-81
Minsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/21HBC Kalev/Cramo93-91 OT
03/11/21APeristeri70-80
31/10/21AZielona Gora64-96
27/10/21ABakken Bears93-101
20/10/21ACrailsheim Merlins81-77
16/10/21ASaratov79-95
13/10/21HPeristeri87-85 OT
10/10/21HParma Perm75-78
02/10/21ALokomotiv Kuban87-92
23/09/21HCSKA Moscow44-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/21AGiessen104-70
03/11/21HBakken Bears77-86
30/10/21HBasketball Braunschweig92-90 OT
27/10/21APeristeri76-66
23/10/21ABayreuth86-74
20/10/21HMinsk77-81
16/10/21HUlm71-93
13/10/21ABakken Bears91-78
10/10/21ASyntainics MBC111-116 OT
02/10/21HLudwigsburg65-63 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minsk
FIBA Europe Cup 2021
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game82.887.081.3
Allowed / game85.885.086.0
Point differential-3.0+2.0-4.7
Avg total168.5172.0167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %25%100%0%
Crailsheim Merlins
FIBA Europe Cup 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeLL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game80.277.083.5
Allowed / game77.883.572.0
Point differential+2.5-6.5+11.5
Avg total158.0160.5155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Saratov440100%96.278.0+18.2
2 London Lions440100%80.866.5+14.2
3 Legia440100%76.265.2+11.0
4 Bahcesehir Kol.550100%79.870.4+9.4
5 Bayreuth65183%83.276.0+7.2
6 Benfica65183%82.877.0+5.8
7 Sporting CP43175%78.563.0+15.5
8 Parma Perm43175%81.070.5+10.5
9 Reggiana43175%85.074.5+10.5
10 Kyiv Basket43175%75.276.8-1.5
11 Antwerp Giants53260%77.877.2+0.6
12 FC Porto74357%69.068.3+0.7
13 Mornar Bar42250%82.277.2+5.0
14 Szedeak21150%84.580.0+4.5
15 Crailsheim Merlins42250%80.277.8+2.5
16 Bakken Bears42250%87.086.5+0.5
17 Parnu21150%77.076.5+0.5
18 Rilski Sportist42250%87.286.8+0.5
19 Hapoel Haifa21150%80.080.0+0.0
20 Ironi Eilat42250%85.885.8+0.0
21 Peristeri42250%79.079.0+0.0
22 Leiden42250%76.578.0-1.5
23 Den Bosch42250%73.275.0-1.8
24 Swans Gmunden21150%68.070.0-2.0
25 Nes Ziona21150%78.080.5-2.5
26 Minsk42250%82.885.8-3.0
27 CSM Oradea52340%67.868.4-0.6
28 Ionikos52340%75.483.6-8.2
29 Trefl Sopot62433%78.076.7+1.3
30 Donar Groningen62433%72.275.7-3.5
31 Iraklis72529%72.778.3-5.6
32 Belfius Mons41325%70.076.0-6.0
33 Szolnoki Olaj41325%68.274.5-6.2
34 Basket Zaragoza41325%81.089.5-8.5
35 Enisey1010%80.085.0-5.0
36 Vienna Basket1010%67.072.0-5.0
37 BC Dnipro1010%82.088.0-6.0
38 Voluntari1010%77.083.0-6.0
39 Kapfenberg Bulls4040%73.085.0-12.0
40 Keravnos1010%58.070.0-12.0
41 Opava4040%79.593.5-14.0
42 TFT Skopje1010%76.092.0-16.0
43 Academic Plovdiv1010%75.095.0-20.0
44 Gilboa Galil4040%73.093.2-20.2
45 Kumanovo1010%60.083.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 45 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minsk2316181572
Crailsheim Merlins2832191695
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