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Missouri State vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 60-69
33-42 27-27
Position#198
Record10-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game69.7
vs
Position#240
Record8-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.3
Allowed / game69.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Missouri State v Illinois State
22 Feb 2025
MISS68
ILLI70
20 Jan 2024
MISS60
ILLI69
19 Jan 2022
MISS88
ILLI63
23 Jan 2021
MISS v ILLI
upcoming
05 Feb 2020
MISS80
ILLI60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
73-77 OT
73
77
-4
A06/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H10/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A16/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
79-57
79
57
+22
H20/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#24
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A24/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H04/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
60-86
60
86
-26
A06/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
53-77
53
77
-24
H11/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
74-64
74
64
+10
A14/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-32
39-34
31-23
38-37
37-36
35-37
34-16
45-41
31-32
38-32
29-33
33-31
28-42
32-44
19-42
34-35
36-35
38-29
30-44
36-44
138.7Avg total
67.7Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)70.769.7140.3+1.056%
Season at home (9)74.766.7141.3+8.078%
Season away (9)66.772.7139.3-6.033%
Last 10 (10)67.771.0138.7-3.340%
Last 5 (5)63.075.8138.8-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)62.073.0135.0-11.033%
vs Similar ◀ (16)68.966.6135.5+2.456%
vs Weaker (8)72.864.8137.5+8.075%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H07/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#72
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H10/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H17/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
85-64
85
64
+21
H22/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
70-96
70
96
-26
A30/12
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
71-88
71
88
-17
A03/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H07/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A11/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H14/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
56-77
56
77
-21
H18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-26
32-33
22-27
36-37
28-35
47-30
42-28
43-36
30-45
40-51
28-47
43-41
29-31
35-40
34-34
26-33
20-28
30-31
27-43
29-34
136.1Avg total
65.1Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)66.369.1135.3-2.844%
Season at home (11)66.563.6130.1+2.864%
Season away (7)66.077.6143.6-11.614%
Last 10 (10)65.171.0136.1-5.930%
Last 5 (5)60.272.4132.6-12.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)64.378.2142.5-13.97%
vs Similar ◀ (12)67.867.5135.2+0.258%
vs Weaker (3)69.058.7127.7+10.367%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -3.3-3.31st half: -5.4-5.42nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: -0.5-0.5
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -3.3-3.31st half: -5.4-5.42nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: -0.5-0.5
Missouri StateIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A06/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H10/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A16/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
34-16
34
16
+18
H20/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#24
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A24/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H04/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A06/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
19-42
19
42
-23
H11/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A14/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A17/01
NCAA
63.7Avg total
30.2Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.432.065.3+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.230.866.0+4.473%-
Last 30 away (15)31.533.164.7-1.647%-
Last 10 (10)30.233.563.7-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)28.439.267.6-10.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)29.036.065.0-7.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)35.732.368.0+3.475%-
vs Weaker (8)32.028.260.2+3.862%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H07/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#72
L
22-27
22
27
-5
H10/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H17/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H22/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A30/12
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A03/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H07/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A11/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
20-28
20
28
-8
H14/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H18/01
NCAA
63.4Avg total
29.0Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.735.165.8-4.433%-
Last 30 at home (17)30.430.961.3-0.553%-
Last 30 away (13)31.140.771.8-9.68%-
Last 10 (10)29.034.463.4-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)27.636.664.2-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)28.839.067.8-10.214%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)32.232.965.2-0.742%-
vs Weaker (3)31.028.059.0+3.067%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Missouri State wins
2
Illinois State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24AIndiana State66-88
14/01/24AEvansville74-64
11/01/24HMurray State53-77
06/01/24ABradley60-86
04/01/24HNorthern Iowa62-64
24/12/23ASt. Marys (CA)69-64
20/12/23HLindenwood79-57
16/12/23ATulsa72-73
10/12/23HSam Houston St.69-60
06/12/23AMiddle Tenn. St.73-77 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/24HDrake56-77
14/01/24HValparaiso50-59
11/01/24ABelmont60-67
07/01/24HSouthern Illinois64-71
03/01/24ADrake71-88
30/12/23AKentucky70-96
22/12/23HSoutheast Missouri State85-64
17/12/23HNorth Dakota St75-65
10/12/23HNorfolk State58-64
07/12/23HNorthern Kentucky62-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL56%
HomeWWWLL78%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%78%33%
Points / game70.774.766.7
Allowed / game69.766.772.7
Point differential+1.0+8.0-6.0
Avg total140.3141.3139.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%56%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Illinois State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL44%
HomeWWLLL64%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %44%64%14%
Points / game66.366.566.0
Allowed / game69.163.677.6
Point differential-2.8+2.8-11.6
Avg total135.3130.1143.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Western Kentucky1813572%78.873.2+5.6
2 Louisiana Tech1812667%76.164.6+11.4
3 Kennesaw State1812667%84.377.7+6.7
4 Liberty1912763%76.263.2+13.0
5 Delaware1811761%76.070.3+5.7
6 Jacksonville State1810856%71.662.8+8.8
7 UTEP1810856%74.668.9+5.7
8 Missouri State1810856%70.769.7+1.0
9 Sam Houston St.1810856%72.071.4+0.6
10 New Mexico State1881044%70.371.8-1.5
11 Florida International1971237%76.375.7+0.6
12 Middle Tenn. St.1861233%62.466.2-3.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1815383%86.571.9+14.6
2 Drake1815383%78.867.8+11.0
3 Bradley1813572%74.466.2+8.2
4 Southern Illinois1812667%73.864.8+9.1
5 Evansville1811761%76.273.6+2.6
6 Belmont1811761%78.278.0+0.2
7 Northern Iowa1810856%75.671.6+4.0
8 Illinois (Chi.)1881044%69.065.7+3.3
9 Murray State1881044%72.669.6+3.0
10 Illinois State1881044%66.369.1-2.8
11 Valparaiso1851328%67.071.4-4.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State332760
Illinois State422769
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