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Bradley vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 86-60
42-28 44-32
Position#71
Record9-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game68.1
Bradley 🏆
USA
vs
Position#198
Record9-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game67.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Bradley v Missouri State
04 Jan 2025
BRAD69
MISS60
06 Jan 2024
BRAD86
MISS60
15 Feb 2023
BRAD64
MISS54
05 Jan 2022
BRAD69
MISS71
19 Feb 2020
BRAD83
MISS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bradley winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BradleyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#185
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A23/11
NCAA
Vermont
#16
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H26/11
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A30/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H02/12
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
52-67
52
67
-15
A06/12
NCAA
Cleveland State
#137
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H16/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A19/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H22/12
NCAA
Truman State
#434
W
69-47
69
47
+22
H29/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
86-61
86
61
+25
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-26
26-33
35-29
44-41
32-42
40-37
30-49
47-36
29-28
23-39
27-30
42-46
40-37
27-32
39-35
36-29
31-25
38-22
44-29
42-32
138.6Avg total
70.9Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)72.968.1141.0+4.764%
Season at home (7)75.367.3142.6+8.071%
Season away (7)70.469.0139.4+1.457%
Last 10 (10)70.967.7138.6+3.250%
Last 5 (5)73.263.4136.6+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.085.0162.0-8.00%
vs Similar (10)69.266.9136.1+2.370%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)73.965.9139.8+7.982%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abilene Christian
#239
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H21/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H25/11
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H30/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
57-74
57
74
-17
A02/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
73-77 OT
73
77
-4
A06/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H10/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A16/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
79-57
79
57
+22
H20/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#24
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A24/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-37
42-32
44-32
48-42
44-30
46-48
25-36
32-38
27-32
39-34
31-23
38-37
37-36
35-37
34-16
45-41
31-32
38-32
29-33
33-31
144.0Avg total
75.0Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)72.867.1139.9+5.764%
Season at home (8)77.465.4142.8+12.088%
Season away (6)66.769.3136.0-2.733%
Last 10 (10)75.069.0144.0+6.060%
Last 5 (5)70.263.6133.8+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)62.564.7127.2-2.267%
vs Similar (15)68.965.7134.5+3.253%
vs Weaker (9)72.066.0138.0+6.067%
This opponent (Bradley) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: +4.0+4.02nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +2.4+2.4
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: +4.0+4.02nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +2.4+2.4
BradleyMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BradleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#185
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A23/11
NCAA
Vermont
#16
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H26/11
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A30/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H02/12
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A06/12
NCAA
Cleveland State
#137
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H16/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A19/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H22/12
NCAA
Truman State
#434
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H29/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A04/01
NCAA
67.4Avg total
34.4Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.831.666.4+3.273%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.232.365.6+0.969%-
Last 30 away (14)36.630.867.4+5.979%-
Last 10 (10)34.433.067.4+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)36.231.267.4+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.049.079.0-19.00%-
vs Similar (10)34.233.167.3+1.170%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)35.729.665.3+6.182%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abilene Christian
#239
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H21/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H25/11
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H30/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A02/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A06/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H10/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A16/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
34-16
34
16
+18
H20/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#24
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A24/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H04/01
NCAA
65.4Avg total
34.7Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.430.764.1+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.630.165.6+5.575%-
Last 30 away (14)31.031.462.4-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)34.730.765.4+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)32.428.060.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)28.732.561.2-3.833%-
vs Similar (15)36.131.367.4+4.773%-
vs Weaker (9)32.228.460.7+3.867%-
This opponent (Bradley) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bradley wins
4
Missouri State wins
Bradleylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24AValparaiso86-61
29/12/23HTruman State69-47
22/12/23HSiu Edwardsville75-64
19/12/23ADuquesne67-69
16/12/23HCleveland State69-76
06/12/23AAkron52-67
02/12/23HIndiana State77-85
30/11/23AMurray State72-79
26/11/23HVermont79-70
23/11/23AUTEP63-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24HNorthern Iowa62-64
24/12/23ASt. Marys (CA)69-64
20/12/23HLindenwood79-57
16/12/23ATulsa72-73
10/12/23HSam Houston St.69-60
06/12/23AMiddle Tenn. St.73-77 OT
02/12/23ADrake57-74
30/11/23HEvansville90-78
25/11/23HSouth Carolina St92-74
21/11/23HAbilene Christian87-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bradley
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW64%
HomeWLLWW71%
AwayWLLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%71%57%
Points / game72.975.370.4
Allowed / game68.167.369.0
Point differential+4.7+8.0+1.4
Avg total141.0142.6139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %14%14%14%
Missouri State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL64%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %64%88%33%
Points / game72.877.466.7
Allowed / game67.165.469.3
Point differential+5.7+12.0-2.7
Avg total139.9142.8136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %7%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1412286%87.172.1+15.0
2 Drake1412286%79.467.2+12.1
3 Southern Illinois1410471%75.363.4+11.9
4 Evansville1510567%78.772.7+6.0
5 Bradley149564%72.968.1+4.7
6 Belmont149564%79.878.7+1.1
7 Illinois State148657%68.869.2-0.4
8 Illinois (Chi.)147750%71.164.4+6.7
9 Northern Iowa147750%76.872.9+3.9
10 Murray State156940%73.171.4+1.7
11 Valparaiso1441029%67.172.1-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Western Kentucky1411379%80.473.6+6.7
2 Liberty1511473%78.361.3+16.9
3 Louisiana Tech1510567%76.863.6+13.2
4 Kennesaw State149564%85.578.0+7.5
5 Missouri State149564%72.867.1+5.7
6 Delaware159660%77.070.5+6.5
7 Jacksonville State158753%72.662.4+10.2
8 UTEP158753%75.169.3+5.8
9 Sam Houston St.157847%71.872.2-0.4
10 New Mexico State167944%70.471.6-1.2
11 Middle Tenn. St.156940%64.166.5-2.4
12 Florida International1551033%77.977.0+0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Bradley424486
Missouri State283260
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