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Brasilia vs Mogi Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 81-80
24-19 20-20 14-18 23-23
Position#19
Record2-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Position#14
Record1-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game80.9
BrazilNBB· Arena BRB Nilson Nelson (Brasília)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Brasilia v Mogi
23 Mar 2026
BRAS72
MOGI69
26 Oct 2024
BRAS86
MOGI80
30 Nov 2023
BRAS81
MOGI80
19 Nov 2021
BRAS78
MOGI73
08 Jan 2021
BRAS86
MOGI90
05 Feb 2020
BRAS70
MOGI86
15 Jan 2019
BRAS76
MOGI80
13 Dec 2016
BRAS86
MOGI75
22 Jan 2016
BRAS91
MOGI79
16 Jan 2015
BRAS86
MOGI88
12 Nov 2014
BRAS70
MOGI92
23 Nov 2013
BRAS78
MOGI85
24 Jan 2013
BRAS94
MOGI67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mogi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
73-90
73
90
-17
no box
A15/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
72-84
72
84
-12
59avg 57
H21/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
94-76
94
76
+18
91avg 57
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
W
80-78
80
78
+2
70avg 57
A03/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
82-92
82
92
-10
68avg 57
H09/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
69-77
69
77
-8
60avg 57
H11/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
A14/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
55-92
55
92
-37
40avg 57
A16/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
54-79
54
79
-25
34avg 57
A19/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
53-84
53
84
-31
32avg 57
A24/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
23-24
15-24
13-18
26-24
14-21
15-21
17-18
25-25
24-17
24-11
21-23
20-15
22-25
12-17
26-21
9-21
23-27
18-25
32-19
17-15
17-22
16-20
19-20
15-21
23-32
24-15
16-21
17-25
11-23
15-26
12-18
14-12
12-19
12-28
16-20
13-21
15-20
16-24
9-19
155.1Avg total
71.0Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)70.883.4154.2-12.722%
Season at home (4)79.282.2161.5-3.025%
Season away (5)64.084.4148.4-20.420%
Last 10 (10)71.084.1155.1-13.120%
Last 5 (5)61.884.2146.0-22.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)76.591.5168.0-14.98%
vs Similar (6)78.380.2158.5-1.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Cearense
#8
L
63-65
63
65
-2
54avg 66
H25/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
68-82
68
82
-14
62avg 66
H27/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
70-87
70
87
-17
63avg 66
H08/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
70-79
70
79
-9
65avg 66
H10/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
66-74
66
74
-8
49avg 66
A13/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
77-81
77
81
-4
76avg 66
A15/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
86-81
86
81
+5
82avg 66
H20/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
86-95
86
95
-9
85avg 66
H23/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
79-95
79
95
-16
71avg 66
H25/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
62-70
62
70
-8
56avg 66
A28/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
19-22
15-13
9-15
19-21
19-22
15-14
15-25
15-23
16-25
24-18
15-21
10-21
22-21
15-14
23-23
15-22
17-18
22-13
12-21
23-15
11-16
17-23
26-27
17-17
17-21
26-18
26-25
22-20
30-26
15-29
19-20
18-29
17-18
28-23
16-25
15-21
20-17
13-13
14-19
153.6Avg total
72.7Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)72.780.9153.6-8.210%
Season at home (7)74.683.4158.0-8.914%
Season away (3)68.375.0143.3-6.70%
Last 10 (10)72.780.9153.6-8.210%
Last 5 (5)78.084.4162.4-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)75.286.9162.2-11.76%
vs Similar (14)75.675.6151.2+0.143%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -4.6-4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -4.6-4.6
BrasiliaMogi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A15/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H21/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A03/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H09/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H11/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A14/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A16/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A19/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A24/11
NBB
79.5Avg total
36.2Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.445.983.3-8.620%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.644.685.2-3.931%-
Last 30 away (14)33.647.581.1-13.97%-
Last 10 (10)36.243.379.5-7.120%-
Last 5 (5)30.842.072.8-11.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)36.847.684.4-10.812%-
vs Similar (6)39.739.278.8+0.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H25/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H27/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H08/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H10/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A13/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A15/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H20/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H23/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H25/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A28/11
NBB
77.2Avg total
36.2Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.939.676.6-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.939.876.6-2.944%-
Last 30 away (14)37.039.576.5-2.536%-
Last 10 (10)36.241.077.2-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)38.040.078.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.443.180.5-5.631%-
vs Similar (14)36.435.772.1+0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.015.8
43.8%
51.8%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.0
33.5%
33.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.911.1
65.8%
72.6%11.1
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.114.6
52.0%
51.8%29.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.5
37.8%
33.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws15.811.6
73.4%
72.6%11.6
They take 55.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brasilia
LLLLLLWWLL
Mogi
LLLWLLLLLL
#19
League position
#14
-17.6
Net rating
-10.3
94.4
Offensive rating
103.7
112.0
Defensive rating
114.1
46.6%
Effective FG%
54.3%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
17.8%
Turnover %
21.6%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.5%
3-point %
37.8%
53.8%
Assist %
68.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence94.4 · 103.7Defence112.0 · 114.1Shooting46.6% · 54.3%3-point %33.5% · 37.8%Ball care17.8% · 21.6%Off. rebounds24.1% · 25.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ Brasilia   ■ Mogi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Brasilia wins
8
Mogi wins
DateGameScore
19/02/22Mogi v Brasilia83-72
19/11/21Brasilia v Mogi78-73 OT
08/04/21Mogi v Brasilia97-77
08/01/21Brasilia v Mogi86-90
05/02/20Brasilia v Mogi70-86
02/12/19Mogi v Brasilia93-84
15/01/19Brasilia v Mogi76-80
27/10/18Mogi v Brasilia97-82
07/03/17Mogi v Brasilia84-58
13/12/16Brasilia v Mogi86-75
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/23ACerrado53-84
19/11/23AVasco54-79
16/11/23AFlamengo55-92
14/11/23ABotafogo78-89
11/11/23HCaxias do Sul69-77
09/11/23HUniao Corinthians82-92
03/11/23APato80-78
23/10/23HPinheiros94-76
21/10/23HCorinthians Paulista72-84
15/04/23ACorinthians Paulista73-90
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/23ACerrado62-70
25/11/23HVasco79-95
23/11/23HFlamengo86-95
20/11/23HBotafogo86-81
15/11/23ACaxias do Sul77-81
13/11/23AUniao Corinthians66-74
10/11/23HMinas70-79
08/11/23HPato70-87
27/10/23HUnifacisa68-82
25/10/23HCearense63-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game70.879.264.0
Allowed / game83.482.284.4
Point differential-12.7-3.0-20.4
Avg total154.2161.5148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mogi
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL10%
HomeLLWLL14%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %10%14%0%
Points / game72.774.668.3
Allowed / game80.983.475.0
Point differential-8.2-8.9-6.7
Avg total153.6158.0143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas109190%83.573.2+10.3
2 Cearense98189%78.273.0+5.2
3 Franca97278%89.774.6+15.1
4 Flamengo97278%82.673.2+9.3
5 Vasco107370%73.667.9+5.7
6 Paulistano107370%70.368.8+1.5
7 Sao Jose96367%81.873.2+8.6
8 Unifacisa95456%76.473.8+2.7
9 Bauru126650%78.676.7+1.9
10 Pato125742%74.978.2-3.2
11 Sao Paulo104640%78.181.5-3.4
12 Caxias do Sul104640%72.479.7-7.3
13 Uniao Corinthians104640%71.079.7-8.7
14 Corinthians Paulista83538%75.676.8-1.1
15 Cerrado103730%72.572.1+0.4
16 Pinheiros82625%76.080.0-4.0
17 Botafogo123925%75.183.4-8.3
18 Brasilia92722%70.883.4-12.7
19 Mogi101910%72.780.9-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brasilia2420142381
Mogi1920182380
← all games of the day
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