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Mogi vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 18 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 87-88 (OT)
20-22 16-18 21-20 20-17 10-11
Position#14
Record2-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game80.1
vs
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
Position#5
Record8-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game76.1
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Prof. Hugo Ramos
Other2023-24
Meetings · Mogi v Bauru
01 Apr 2026
MOGI87
BAUR79
08 Feb 2025
MOGI62
BAUR80
18 Dec 2023
MOGI87
BAUR88
20 Dec 2021
MOGI76
BAUR79
13 Nov 2020
MOGI85
BAUR90
18 Mar 2020
MOGI v BAUR
upcoming
15 Nov 2018
MOGI73
BAUR67
16 Dec 2017
MOGI72
BAUR69
10 Jan 2017
MOGI89
BAUR66
27 Feb 2016
MOGI85
BAUR79
20 Feb 2016
MOGI75
BAUR66
17 May 2015
MOGI91
BAUR98
15 May 2015
MOGI85
BAUR78
06 Jan 2015
MOGI80
BAUR99
27 Nov 2014
MOGI53
BAUR79
13 Nov 2014
MOGI78
BAUR91
05 Jan 2014
MOGI75
BAUR74
26 Nov 2012
MOGI73
BAUR80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
66-74
66
74
-8
49avg 68
A13/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
77-81
77
81
-4
76avg 68
A15/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
86-81
86
81
+5
82avg 68
H20/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
86-95
86
95
-9
85avg 68
H23/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
79-95
79
95
-16
71avg 68
H25/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
62-70
62
70
-8
56avg 68
A28/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
80-81
80
81
-1
76avg 68
A30/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
77-73
77
73
+4
79avg 68
A05/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
69-75
69
75
-6
62avg 68
A07/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
73-84
73
84
-11
72avg 68
A12/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
17-18
22-13
12-21
23-15
11-16
17-23
26-27
17-17
17-21
26-18
26-25
22-20
30-26
15-29
19-20
18-29
17-18
28-23
16-25
15-21
20-17
13-13
14-19
19-24
20-20
18-14
23-23
27-23
17-14
18-20
15-16
23-19
17-22
17-14
12-20
17-25
20-17
25-20
11-22
156.4Avg total
75.5Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)73.380.1153.4-6.914%
Season at home (7)74.683.4158.0-8.914%
Season away (7)72.076.9148.9-4.914%
Last 10 (10)75.580.9156.4-5.420%
Last 5 (5)72.276.6148.8-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)75.886.2162.1-10.412%
vs Similar (12)75.274.7149.8+0.542%
vs Weaker (1)80.081.0161.0-1.00%
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#13
W
74-70
74
70
+4
71avg 70
H11/11
NBB
Pato
#12
L
70-73
70
73
-3
57avg 70
A14/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
80-99
80
99
-19
74avg 70
A16/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
95-67
95
67
+28
82avg 70
H20/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
94-59
94
59
+35
94avg 70
H22/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
73-89
73
89
-16
64avg 70
A27/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
80-83
80
83
-3
76avg 70
A29/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
58-67
58
67
-9
46avg 70
A02/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
82-73
82
73
+9
78avg 70
H09/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
90-81
90
81
+9
88avg 70
H11/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
18-18
19-14
18-14
17-19
21-14
14-22
18-18
16-26
25-25
20-26
19-22
19-20
28-13
28-11
20-23
19-18
29-6
17-16
29-19
19-16
18-24
14-31
22-18
14-22
32-22
14-22
20-17
16-15
9-15
17-13
16-24
16-21
17-23
19-21
30-8
27-20
20-25
24-19
19-17
155.7Avg total
79.6Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.276.1154.3+2.153%
Season at home (8)84.670.1154.8+14.5100%
Season away (7)70.982.9153.7-12.00%
Last 10 (10)79.676.1155.7+3.550%
Last 5 (5)76.678.6155.2-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.088.2165.2-11.217%
vs Similar (8)73.473.9147.2-0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)81.671.3152.9+10.375%
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +3.1+3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +3.1+3.1
MogiBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A13/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A15/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H20/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H23/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H25/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A28/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A30/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A05/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A07/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A12/12
NBB
78.6Avg total
38.2Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.240.177.3-2.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.240.478.6-2.143%-
Last 30 away (16)36.439.976.2-3.525%-
Last 10 (10)38.240.478.6-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.479.4-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.442.580.8-4.135%-
vs Similar (12)35.536.471.9-0.933%-
vs Weaker (1)39.044.083.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#13
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H11/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A14/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A16/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H20/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H22/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A29/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A02/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H09/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H11/12
NBB
78.5Avg total
39.9Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.778.7+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.537.278.8+4.359%-
Last 30 away (13)38.240.578.7-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)39.938.678.5+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.678.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.845.384.2-6.517%-
vs Similar (8)37.539.276.8-1.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.835.977.7+5.962%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.014.5
53.7%
51.8%29.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.6
37.1%
33.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.413.9
75.5%
72.6%13.9
They take 55.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.4
53.1%
51.8%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.5
33.7%
33.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws15.311.6
75.8%
72.6%11.6
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mogi
LLWLLLLWLL
Bauru
WWLLLWWLLW
#14
League position
#5
-7.9
Net rating
+3.6
105.6
Offensive rating
105.9
113.5
Defensive rating
102.3
54.7%
Effective FG%
52.0%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
20.7%
Turnover %
16.6%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.22
37.1%
3-point %
33.7%
68.5%
Assist %
62.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 105.9Defence113.5 · 102.3Shooting54.7% · 52.0%3-point %37.1% · 33.7%Ball care20.7% · 16.6%Off. rebounds24.8% · 26.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Mogi   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Mogi wins
4
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
24/03/22Bauru v Mogi107-103 OT
20/12/21Mogi v Bauru76-79
10/04/21Bauru v Mogi82-91
13/11/20Mogi v Bauru85-90
09/11/19Bauru v Mogi87-75
26/03/19Bauru v Mogi81-96
15/11/18Mogi v Bauru73-67
15/03/18Bauru v Mogi75-76
16/12/17Mogi v Bauru72-69
30/03/17Bauru v Mogi80-87 OT
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/23ASao Jose73-84
07/12/23APinheiros69-75
05/12/23ACorinthians Paulista77-73
30/11/23ABrasilia80-81
28/11/23ACerrado62-70
25/11/23HVasco79-95
23/11/23HFlamengo86-95
20/11/23HBotafogo86-81
15/11/23ACaxias do Sul77-81
13/11/23AUniao Corinthians66-74
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/23HCerrado90-81
09/12/23HBrasilia82-73
02/12/23AVasco58-67
29/11/23ABotafogo80-83
27/11/23AFlamengo73-89
22/11/23HCaxias do Sul94-59
20/11/23HUniao Corinthians95-67
16/11/23AMinas80-99
14/11/23APato70-73
11/11/23HPinheiros74-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL14%
HomeLLWLL14%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %14%14%14%
Points / game73.374.672.0
Allowed / game80.183.476.9
Point differential-6.9-8.9-4.9
Avg total153.4158.0148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bauru
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW53%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%100%0%
Points / game78.284.670.9
Allowed / game76.170.182.9
Point differential+2.1+14.5-12.0
Avg total154.3154.8153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1210283%83.072.3+10.7
2 Minas1411379%84.475.3+9.1
3 Franca1310377%87.075.5+11.5
4 Sao Jose139469%81.672.7+8.9
5 Paulistano1611569%73.169.8+3.4
6 Unifacisa128467%78.074.0+4.0
7 Vasco1510567%72.368.5+3.9
8 Cearense128467%77.374.2+3.1
9 Bauru158753%78.276.1+2.1
10 Corinthians Paulista136746%80.680.8-0.2
11 Sao Paulo146843%77.180.3-3.1
12 Pinheiros135838%75.579.4-3.8
13 Uniao Corinthians135838%72.579.8-7.4
14 Caxias do Sul135838%71.779.5-7.8
15 Pato145936%74.677.9-3.4
16 Cerrado1541127%72.673.6-1.0
17 Botafogo1541127%76.483.3-6.9
18 Brasilia1431121%71.685.4-13.8
19 Mogi1421214%73.380.1-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Mogi201621201087
Bauru221820171188
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