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Paulistano vs Mogi Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 92-78
27-15 24-7 22-27 19-29
Position#7
Record11-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#14
Record2-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game80.3
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2023-24
Meetings · Paulistano v Mogi
27 Dec 2025
PAUL81
MOGI66
10 Jan 2025
PAUL76
MOGI63
27 Dec 2023
PAUL92
MOGI78
28 Jan 2022
PAUL69
MOGI62
04 Dec 2020
PAUL69
MOGI62
17 Oct 2019
PAUL94
MOGI105
13 Oct 2018
PAUL75
MOGI85
26 May 2018
PAUL88
MOGI84
24 May 2018
PAUL70
MOGI84
09 Feb 2018
PAUL84
MOGI67
27 Jan 2018
PAUL86
MOGI87
27 Jan 2017
PAUL77
MOGI78
08 Nov 2016
PAUL59
MOGI80
17 Dec 2015
PAUL84
MOGI75
18 Dec 2014
PAUL74
MOGI76
05 Dec 2013
PAUL93
MOGI89
07 Mar 2013
PAUL67
MOGI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mogi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
72avg 66
A17/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
79-68
79
68
+11
72avg 66
H22/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
71-86
71
86
-15
58avg 66
H25/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
63-51
63
51
+12
52avg 66
A28/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
81-65
81
65
+16
76avg 66
A30/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
72-77
72
77
-5
56avg 66
H05/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
85-77
85
77
+8
78avg 66
H07/12
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
70-76
70
76
-6
58avg 66
H11/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
91-69
91
69
+22
91avg 66
A16/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
68-64
68
64
+4
62avg 66
A18/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
20-13
22-21
17-17
23-17
24-15
25-13
7-23
9-24
21-19
21-17
20-26
18-11
8-8
20-14
17-18
22-15
19-15
16-22
24-13
19-23
17-22
22-18
14-14
16-9
26-21
23-19
20-28
20-20
17-18
24-20
9-18
17-14
21-21
32-14
21-20
15-14
20-23
14-12
19-15
146.3Avg total
75.9Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)73.169.8142.9+3.469%
Season at home (8)74.470.5144.9+3.962%
Season away (8)71.969.0140.9+2.975%
Last 10 (10)75.970.4146.3+5.570%
Last 5 (5)77.272.6149.8+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.883.8149.5-18.00%
vs Similar (12)76.374.1150.4+2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)81.667.9149.5+13.893%
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#15
W
86-81
86
81
+5
82avg 67
H20/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
86-95
86
95
-9
85avg 67
H23/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
79-95
79
95
-16
71avg 67
H25/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
62-70
62
70
-8
56avg 67
A28/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
80-81
80
81
-1
76avg 67
A30/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
77-73
77
73
+4
79avg 67
A05/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
69-75
69
75
-6
62avg 67
A07/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
73-84
73
84
-11
72avg 67
A12/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
87-88 OT
87
88
-1
no box
H18/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
64-75
64
75
-11
51avg 67
H21/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
17-21
26-18
26-25
22-20
30-26
15-29
19-20
18-29
17-18
28-23
16-25
15-21
20-17
13-13
14-19
19-24
20-20
18-14
23-23
27-23
17-14
18-20
15-16
23-19
17-22
17-14
12-20
17-25
20-17
25-20
11-22
20-22
16-18
21-20
20-17
14-23
22-16
16-17
12-19
158.0Avg total
76.3Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)73.680.3153.9-6.812%
Season at home (9)74.883.0157.8-8.211%
Season away (7)72.076.9148.9-4.914%
Last 10 (10)76.381.7158.0-5.420%
Last 5 (5)74.079.0153.0-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)76.686.0162.6-9.412%
vs Similar (12)75.274.7149.8+0.542%
vs Weaker (1)80.081.0161.0-1.00%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -3.8-3.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -3.8-3.8
PaulistanoMogi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A17/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H22/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H25/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
26-19
26
19
+7
A28/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A30/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H05/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H07/12
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H11/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A16/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A18/12
NBB
71.4Avg total
37.2Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.835.673.4+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.834.474.2+5.453%-
Last 30 away (15)35.836.772.5-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)37.234.271.4+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.074.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.845.277.0-13.50%-
vs Similar (12)38.235.974.1+2.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)39.232.571.7+6.771%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#15
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H20/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H23/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H25/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A28/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A30/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A05/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A07/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A12/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H18/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H21/12
NBB
80.0Avg total
38.8Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.340.077.3-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.940.278.2-2.338%-
Last 30 away (14)36.639.676.2-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)38.841.280.0-2.420%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.878.4-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.542.280.7-3.835%-
vs Similar (12)35.536.471.9-0.933%-
vs Weaker (1)39.044.083.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.519.5
48.1%
51.8%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.9
32.5%
33.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.112.4
68.5%
72.6%12.4
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.114.2
52.4%
51.8%28.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.9
37.2%
33.9%32.7
🏀 Free throws17.513.6
77.7%
72.6%13.6
They take 56.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
WWLWLWWLWW
Mogi
LLLLWLLLLW
#7
League position
#14
+7.5
Net rating
-7.8
104.5
Offensive rating
106.0
97.0
Defensive rating
113.8
48.4%
Effective FG%
54.2%
46.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
18.7%
Turnover %
20.5%
36.8%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.5%
3-point %
37.2%
55.8%
Assist %
70.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 106.0Defence97.0 · 113.8Shooting48.4% · 54.2%3-point %32.5% · 37.2%Ball care18.7% · 20.5%Off. rebounds36.8% · 25.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Paulistano   ■ Mogi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Paulistano wins
3
Mogi wins
DateGameScore
28/01/22Paulistano v Mogi69-62
28/10/21Mogi v Paulistano77-72
09/03/21Mogi v Paulistano62-69
04/12/20Paulistano v Mogi69-62
03/03/20Mogi v Paulistano83-94
17/10/19Paulistano v Mogi94-105
15/02/19Mogi v Paulistano89-91
13/10/18Paulistano v Mogi75-85
02/06/18Mogi v Paulistano76-82
26/05/18Paulistano v Mogi88-84
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/23ACerrado68-64
16/12/23ABrasilia91-69
11/12/23HVasco70-76
07/12/23HBotafogo85-77
05/12/23HFlamengo72-77
30/11/23ACaxias do Sul81-65
28/11/23AUniao Corinthians63-51
25/11/23HMinas71-86
22/11/23HPato79-68
17/11/23ACorinthians Paulista79-71
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/23HFranca64-75
18/12/23HBauru87-88 OT
12/12/23ASao Jose73-84
07/12/23APinheiros69-75
05/12/23ACorinthians Paulista77-73
30/11/23ABrasilia80-81
28/11/23ACerrado62-70
25/11/23HVasco79-95
23/11/23HFlamengo86-95
20/11/23HBotafogo86-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW69%
HomeWLLWL62%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %69%62%75%
Points / game73.174.471.9
Allowed / game69.870.569.0
Point differential+3.4+3.9+2.9
Avg total142.9144.9140.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%38%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mogi
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL12%
HomeWLLLL11%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %12%11%14%
Points / game73.674.872.0
Allowed / game80.383.076.9
Point differential-6.8-8.2-4.9
Avg total153.9157.8148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1412286%83.972.5+11.4
2 Minas1613381%84.875.0+9.8
3 Franca1512380%85.473.9+11.5
4 Vasco1712571%73.469.0+4.4
5 Paulistano1611569%73.169.8+3.4
6 Sao Jose159660%79.973.5+6.4
7 Unifacisa159660%78.977.1+1.8
8 Bauru1710759%79.076.6+2.4
9 Cearense158753%77.575.9+1.6
10 Corinthians Paulista158753%81.380.8+0.5
11 Pinheiros167944%75.577.9-2.4
12 Sao Paulo167944%76.679.3-2.7
13 Caxias do Sul156940%72.378.5-6.3
14 Uniao Corinthians1551033%72.680.1-7.5
15 Cerrado1651131%73.273.6-0.4
16 Pato1651131%74.879.1-4.4
17 Botafogo1751229%77.884.7-6.9
18 Brasilia1631319%71.184.9-13.9
19 Mogi1621412%73.680.3-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano2724221992
Mogi157272978
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