Mogi vs Cearense Result & Analysis

On 4 November 2026 the NBB will feature Mogi against Cearense, with the model designating Mogi as the clear favourite thanks to a 3-1 record and an average of 78.8 points scored versus 73.5 allowed, placing them fifth in the league, while Cearense sits eighteenth after a 0-3 season, averaging only 61.7 points and conceding 95.7. Mogi's home form is spotless, 2-0 at home with 81.0 points per game and 71.5 allowed, and they have won three of their last five games, including a 78-70 win over Unifacisa at home, a 79-61 victory over Bauru away, and a 74-90 loss to Franca away. Cearense has struggled on the road, 0-1 with 53.0 points per game and 96.0 allowed, and has lost all five of their recent outings, including defeats to Sao Jose, Pinheiros, and Osasco. The teams are tied 5-5 in their ten meetings, with Mogi's most recent win 88-76 on 9 February 2026. Pythia projects a 92-64 score, giving Mogi a 99% win probability and a 1% chance for Cearense, with a projected total of 156.3 points; the home line is -26.5 with a 54% chance of covering, and the total line of 158.0 carries a 46% over probability, while the game is expected to finish in regulation.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi winWon

98.7%fair 1.01

Best odds1.05

Implied90.1%

Edge+8.6pp

Cearense winLost

1.3%fair 79.86

Best odds11.50

Implied9.9%

Edge-8.6pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 03 Nov 08:29 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mogi

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMogi

Date

Competition

Sao Jose

81-70

+11

75avg 69

H27/04

NBB

Franca

95-93

94avg 69

A05/05

NBB

Franca

65-97

-32

42avg 69

H08/05

NBB

Franca

70-88

-18

65avg 69

H10/05

NBB

Franca

102-90

102

+12

103avg 69

A13/05

NBB

Franca

77-78

-1

74avg 69

A15/05

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

#13

84-73

+11

80avg 69

H17/10

NBB

Franca

74-90

-16

67avg 69

A21/10

NBB

Bauru

#14

79-61

+18

58avg 69

A23/10

NBB

Unifacisa

78-70

65avg 69

H26/10

NBB

25-18

17-17

19-22

20-13

26-32

15-16

33-28

21-17

16-21

15-26

17-22

17-28

16-34

24-24

14-16

16-14

28-26

31-21

26-23

17-20

25-20

11-20

23-17

18-21

18-17

26-21

18-24

22-11

18-24

31-24

9-19

16-23

20-15

19-19

23-9

17-18

19-20

17-22

25-15

17-13

161.5Avg total

80.5Scored

81.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	78.8	73.5	152.2	+5.2	75%
Season at home (2)	81.0	71.5	152.5	+9.5	100%
Season away (2)	76.5	75.5	152.0	+1.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	80.5	81.0	161.5	-0.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	78.4	74.4	152.8	+4.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	78.9	84.0	162.9	-5.1	33%
vs Similar (10)	76.9	73.7	150.6	+3.2	70%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	77.4	71.3	148.6	+6.1	73%

This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cearense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormCearense

Date

Competition

Osasco

#18

89-90 OT

-1

76avg 64

A17/03

NBB

Paulistano

77-91

-14

68avg 64

A19/03

NBB

Franca

71-116

116

-45

56avg 64

A22/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#12

94-93

84avg 64

H04/04

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#13

83-107

107

-24

76avg 64

H06/04

NBB

Minas

56-87

-31

45avg 64

A14/04

NBB

Cruzeiro

#14

77-86

-9

64avg 64

A16/04

NBB

Osasco

#15

69-93

-24

55avg 64

H20/10

NBB

Pinheiros

63-98

-35

40avg 64

H22/10

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

53-96

-43

no box

A02/11

NBB

16-18

16-17

23-19

21-22

24-24

24-23

18-23

11-21

16-34

15-26

17-23

23-33

19-20

26-21

30-29

19-23

20-23

18-36

22-25

23-23

9-25

21-24

15-24

11-14

23-20

19-23

23-18

12-25

17-32

23-22

13-18

16-21

15-24

17-22

18-26

13-26

11-27

12-31

15-24

15-14

168.9Avg total

73.2Scored

95.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	61.7	95.7	157.3	-34.0	0%
Season at home (2)	66.0	95.5	161.5	-29.5	0%
Season away (1)	53.0	96.0	149.0	-43.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	73.2	95.7	168.9	-22.5	10%
Last 5 (5)	63.6	92.0	155.6	-28.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	71.9	93.0	164.9	-21.1	4%
vs Similar (5)	80.2	78.2	158.4	+2.0	60%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 154Actual: Over 154

Over 154

55.8%

@ 1.53-7.6pp

Under 154

44.2%

@ 2.55+7.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.53

Bet365

1.47

Under

Bet365

2.55

Over/Under 159.25 · main lineActual: Over 159.25

Over 159.25

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under 159.25

no forecast

@ 1.82

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.80

Under

1xBet

1.82

Over/Under 164Actual: Over 164

Over 164

31.1%

@ 2.35-8.5pp

Under 164

68.9%

@ 1.54+8.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.35

Under

Bet365

1.54

📊 3. Team Totals

Mogi total 88.5Actual: Mogi over 88.5

Over 88.5

63.7%

@ 1.44-1.1pp

Under 88.5

36.3%

@ 2.56+1.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.44

1xBet

1.34

Under

1xBet

2.56

Betano

2.55

Mogi total 92.5 · main lineActual: Mogi under 92.5

Over 92.5

47.8%

@ 1.85-3.0pp

Under 92.5

52.2%

@ 1.91+3.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.79

Betano

1.75

1xBet

1.65

Under

Betano

1.91

Marathon Be

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.80

Mogi total 96.5Actual: Mogi under 96.5

Over 96.5

no forecast

@ 2.42

Under 96.5

no forecast

@ 1.47

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.42

1xBet

2.25

Under

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.42

Cearense total 60.5Actual: Cearense over 60.5

Over 60.5

no forecast

@ 1.39

Under 60.5

no forecast

@ 2.87

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.39

Bet365

1.38

1xBet

1.28

Under

1xBet

2.87

Bet365

2.80

Betano

2.72

Cearense total 64.5 · main lineActual: Cearense over 64.5

Over 64.5

49.3%

@ 1.83-5.9pp

Under 64.5

50.7%

@ 2.10+5.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.62

1xBet

1.57

Under

Betano

2.10

1xBet

1.93

Bet365

1.83

Cearense total 68.5Actual: Cearense over 68.5

Over 68.5

33.7%

@ 2.55-7.1pp

Under 68.5

66.3%

@ 1.55+7.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.55

Betano

2.25

1xBet

2.12

Under

Betano

1.55

1xBet

1.47

Bet365

1.47

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Mogi -30Actual: Cearense +30

MOGI -30

no forecast

@ 2.40

CEAR +30

no forecast

@ 1.52

Best 5 market prices

MOGI

Bet365

2.40

CEAR

Bet365

1.52

Spread Mogi -27 · main lineActual: Cearense +27

MOGI -27

52.2%

@ 1.95+2.9pp

CEAR +27

47.8%

@ 1.84-2.9pp

Best 5 market prices

MOGI

Bet365

1.95

SBO

1.91

Pinnacle

1.89

Marathon Be

1.83

1xBet

1.83

CEAR

Pinnacle

1.84

Marathon Be

1.82

1xBet

1.82

SBO

1.75

Bet365

1.74

Spread Mogi -24Actual: Cearense +24

MOGI -24

63.0%

@ 1.66+2.4pp

CEAR +24

37.0%

@ 2.35-2.4pp

Best 5 market prices

MOGI

Bet365

1.66

Marathon Be

1.56

Pinnacle

1.53

CEAR

Pinnacle

2.35

Bet365

2.10

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MogiCearense

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	20.7	18.8	39.5	+1.9	67%	43%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	18.2	38.7	+2.3	73%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	19.5	40.3	+1.4	60%	53%
Last 10 (10)	21.1	22.7	43.8	-1.6	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.3	23.0	44.3	-1.7	56%	56%
vs Similar (10)	18.3	18.1	36.4	+0.2	50%	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	22.4	16.1	38.5	+6.3	91%	36%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	18.4	23.9	42.3	-5.5	30%	60%
Last 30 at home (16)	17.9	22.5	40.4	-4.6	31%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	25.5	44.6	-6.4	29%	71%
Last 10 (10)	17.0	24.7	41.7	-7.7	10%	50%
Last 5 (5)	15.0	25.6	40.6	-10.6	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	18.0	25.5	43.5	-7.4	20%	68%
vs Similar (5)	20.4	16.0	36.4	+4.4	80%	20%
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.9	39.1	-0.7	33%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	19.7	38.6	-0.7	33%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	20.1	39.5	-0.7	33%	47%
Last 10 (10)	20.6	21.0	41.6	-0.4	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.3	22.4	41.8	-3.1	11%	67%
vs Similar (10)	19.5	17.2	36.7	+2.3	60%	30%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	18.7	20.3	39.0	-1.5	27%	55%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	18.1	22.2	40.3	-4.1	33%	57%
Last 30 at home (16)	18.5	22.3	40.8	-3.8	38%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	22.0	39.6	-4.4	29%	57%
Last 10 (10)	19.1	24.5	43.6	-5.4	30%	80%
Last 5 (5)	18.4	24.4	42.8	-6.0	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	17.9	22.1	40.0	-4.2	36%	56%
vs Similar (5)	19.0	22.4	41.4	-3.4	20%	60%
vs Weaker	no games

MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sao Jose

42-35

H27/04

NBB

Franca

41-48

-7

A05/05

NBB

Franca

31-47

-16

H08/05

NBB

Franca

40-58

-18

H10/05

NBB

Franca

59-47

+12

A13/05

NBB

Franca

36-40

-4

A15/05

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

#13

44-38

H17/10

NBB

Franca

49-48

A21/10

NBB

Bauru

#14

39-34

A23/10

NBB

Unifacisa

36-42

-6

H26/10

NBB

85.4Avg total

41.7Scored

43.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 81.5
Last 30 (30)	39.9	38.7	78.6	+1.1	60%	30%
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	37.9	77.3	+1.6	73%	27%
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	39.6	79.9	+0.7	47%	33%
Last 10 (10)	41.7	43.7	85.4	-2.0	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	40.8	40.4	81.2	+0.4	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	40.7	45.4	86.1	-4.8	22%	44%
vs Similar (10)	37.8	35.3	73.1	+2.5	80%	10%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	41.1	36.4	77.5	+4.7	73%	36%

This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Osasco

#18

32-35

-3

A17/03

NBB

Paulistano

48-47

A19/03

NBB

Franca

31-60

-29

A22/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#12

45-41

H04/04

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#13

38-59

-21

H06/04

NBB

Minas

30-49

-19

A14/04

NBB

Cruzeiro

#14

42-43

-1

A16/04

NBB

Osasco

#15

40-54

-14

H20/10

NBB

Pinheiros

32-46

-14

H22/10

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

23-58

-35

A02/11

NBB

85.3Avg total

36.1Scored

49.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 81.5
Last 30 (30)	36.5	46.1	82.6	-9.5	27%	43%
Last 30 at home (16)	36.4	44.8	81.2	-8.4	31%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	36.7	47.5	84.2	-10.8	21%	50%
Last 10 (10)	36.1	49.2	85.3	-13.1	20%	60%
Last 5 (5)	33.4	50.0	83.4	-16.6	0%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	36.0	47.6	83.6	-11.6	20%	48%
vs Similar (5)	39.4	38.4	77.8	+1.0	60%	20%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Cearense win

MOGI win

no forecast

@ 1.06

CEAR win

no forecast

@ 11.00

1st half Spread Mogi -13.5 · main lineActual: Cearense +13.5

MOGI -13.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

CEAR +13.5

no forecast

@ 2.07

1st half Over/Under 81.5 · main lineActual: Under 81.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.10

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

Mogi 1st half total 47.5 · main lineActual: Mogi under 47.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 1.86

Cearense 1st half total 32.5 · main lineActual: Cearense over 32.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.86

Under

no forecast

@ 1.86

1st half: MOGI + total 81.5

MOGI & over

no forecast

@ 2.05

MOGI & under

no forecast

@ 2.00

1st half: Draw + total 81.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 41.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 41.00

1st half: CEAR + total 81.5

CEAR & over

no forecast

@ 16.50

CEAR & under

no forecast

@ 16.00

1st half Over/Under 80.25Actual: Under 80.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.86

Under

no forecast

@ 1.76

1st half Spread Mogi -14.5Actual: Cearense +14.5

MOGI -14.5

no forecast

@ 1.85

CEAR +14.5

no forecast

@ 2.04

1st half Spread Mogi -12.5Actual: Cearense +12.5

MOGI -12.5

no forecast

@ 1.57

CEAR +12.5

no forecast

@ 2.30

1st half Over/Under 79Actual: Under 79

Over

no forecast

@ 1.82

Under

no forecast

@ 2.04

1st half Over/Under 84.5Actual: Under 84.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.62

Under

no forecast

@ 1.44

1st half Spread Mogi -15.5Actual: Cearense +15.5

MOGI -15.5

no forecast

@ 2.12

CEAR +15.5

no forecast

@ 1.90

1st half Spread Mogi -11.5Actual: Cearense +11.5

MOGI -11.5

no forecast

@ 1.58

CEAR +11.5

no forecast

@ 2.47

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Mogi (regulation)

MOGI

no forecast

@ 1.08

Draw

no forecast

@ 34.00

CEAR

no forecast

@ 15.00

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.25
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.3	37.0	+0.5	50%	40%
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	20.0	38.1	-1.9	33%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	16.5	35.9	+2.8	67%	27%
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.5	40.2	+1.2	50%	70%
Last 5 (5)	19.6	16.8	36.4	+2.8	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.3	20.6	41.9	+0.8	56%	67%
vs Similar (10)	17.3	19.0	36.3	-1.7	40%	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	17.9	15.7	33.6	+2.2	55%	18%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.25
Last 30 (30)	19.1	22.5	41.6	-3.4	33%	73%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	21.7	41.9	-1.4	50%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	23.4	41.2	-5.6	14%	86%
Last 10 (10)	19.4	22.9	42.3	-3.5	30%	90%
Last 5 (5)	16.8	22.0	38.8	-5.2	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	19.2	23.7	42.8	-4.5	28%	80%
vs Similar (5)	18.8	16.6	35.4	+2.2	60%	40%
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	18.2	18.2	36.4	+0.0	50%	23%
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	16.9	34.7	+1.0	67%	27%
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	19.5	38.1	-1.0	33%	20%
Last 10 (10)	18.1	17.8	35.9	+0.3	50%	10%
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.2	35.2	+0.8	40%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.9	18.0	34.9	-1.1	44%	11%
vs Similar (10)	19.2	17.3	36.5	+1.9	70%	30%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	18.4	19.2	37.5	-0.8	36%	27%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	17.2	21.5	38.7	-4.3	23%	57%
Last 30 at home (16)	17.5	22.1	39.6	-4.6	25%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	20.8	37.7	-3.9	21%	50%
Last 10 (10)	16.4	22.2	38.6	-5.8	10%	40%
Last 5 (5)	13.4	20.0	33.4	-6.6	20%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	16.8	21.7	38.5	-4.9	16%	52%
vs Similar (5)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	60%	80%
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 77.75
Last 30 (30)	36.9	36.5	73.4	+0.5	47%	27%
Last 30 at home (15)	36.0	36.9	72.9	-0.9	40%	20%
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	36.1	73.9	+1.8	53%	33%
Last 10 (10)	38.8	37.3	76.1	+1.5	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	37.6	34.0	71.6	+3.6	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	38.2	38.6	76.8	-0.3	33%	44%
vs Similar (10)	36.5	36.3	72.8	+0.2	60%	20%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	36.3	34.9	71.2	+1.4	45%	18%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 77.75
Last 30 (30)	36.3	44.0	80.3	-7.7	17%	63%
Last 30 at home (16)	37.8	43.8	81.6	-6.1	19%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	34.7	44.2	78.9	-9.5	14%	64%
Last 10 (10)	35.8	45.1	80.9	-9.3	10%	60%
Last 5 (5)	30.2	42.0	72.2	-11.8	0%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	36.0	45.4	81.4	-9.4	8%	64%
vs Similar (5)	38.2	37.0	75.2	+1.2	60%	60%
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

MOGI win + total 159.5

🔒 Pro

CEAR win + total 159.5

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: MOGI leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: CEAR leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (MOGI:CEAR): split

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (MOGI:CEAR): MOGI wins more

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (MOGI:CEAR): CEAR wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Mogi (regulation)	98.5%	1.01	Betano 1.01	-	-	-	-	+9.7pp	Won
Mogi -20	75.6%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	-	+9.4pp	Lost
Mogi -18	80.8%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+8.9pp	Lost
Mogi -19	78.3%	1.34	Bet365 1.34	-	-	-	-	+8.8pp	Lost
Mogi -18.5	78.9%	1.31	Bet365 1.32	Betano 1.31	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Lost
Mogi win	98.7%	1.04	WilliamHill 1.05	1xBet 1.04	Betfair 1.04	Betano 1.01	-	+8.6pp	Won
Mogi -21	72.7%	1.45	Bet365 1.45	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Lost
Under 167	75.3%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Push
Under 166	73.2%	1.43	Bet365 1.43	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Lost
Under 167.5	75.8%	1.36	Bet365 1.36	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Under 165	71.1%	1.47	Bet365 1.47	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Lost
Mogi -19.5	76.3%	1.34	Bet365 1.37	Betano 1.31	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Lost
Cearense under 76.5	88.9%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Lost
Under 165.5	71.7%	1.44	Bet365 1.45	Betano 1.42	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Lost
Mogi -20.5	73.5%	1.40	Bet365 1.43	Betano 1.36	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Lost
Cearense under 71.5	76.5%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Lost
Under 166.5	73.8%	1.39	Bet365 1.40	Betano 1.38	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Lost
Cearense under 70.5	73.3%	1.35	Betano 1.39	1xBet 1.34	Bet365 1.32	-	-	+7.3pp	Lost
Under 169.5	79.5%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Under 174.5	87.2%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Mogi over 72.5	97.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Mogi over 71.5	98.0%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Mogi over 75.5	95.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Mogi -21.5	70.6%	1.40	Bet365 1.50	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.28	-	-	+5.7pp	Lost
Mogi over 73.5	96.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Under 184.5	96.0%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Under 179.5	92.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Mogi over 74.5	96.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Mogi -17.5	81.3%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Lost
Mogi over 76.5	94.0%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Mogi over 77.5	92.8%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Mogi -7.5	95.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Under 182.5	94.8%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Mogi over 83.5	80.4%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Mogi over 82.5	83.1%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Cearense under 80.5	94.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Cearense under 82.5	96.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Mogi over 78.5	91.3%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Mogi over 79.5	89.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Mogi over 81.5	85.5%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Mogi -8.5	94.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Under 172.5	84.4%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Mogi -12.5	90.4%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Lost
Cearense under 78.5	92.2%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Cearense under 72.5	79.5%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Lost
Mogi over 80.5	87.7%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Cearense under 74.5	84.7%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Lost
Under 177.5	90.7%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Cearense under 75.5	86.9%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Lost
Mogi over 85.5	74.3%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Over 132.5	93.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Mogi -13.5	88.9%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Lost
Over 134.5	91.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
Over 137.5	88.0%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+0.4pp	Won
Over 142.5	80.5%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-0.9pp	Won
Over 147.5	70.8%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	-2.0pp	Won
Over 139.5	85.3%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-2.2pp	Won
Over 144.5	76.9%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-3.6pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 79.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀40%

🏀13%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 13% of the points

League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game

51%

34%

15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	18.7	51.0%	49.9%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.8	10.5	33.0%	31.7%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	14.0	10.6	75.7%	71.2%	10.6

They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 74.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game

51%

34%

15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.7	18.7	44.8%	49.9%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	7.0	29.2%	31.7%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	24.3	16.1	66.3%	71.2%	16.1

They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.3	18.0	54.1%	49.9%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.3	10.0	34.1%	31.7%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	16.2	12.9	79.6%	71.2%	12.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.1	22.2	59.8%	49.9%	44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.1	11.0	37.8%	31.7%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	22.1	16.3	73.8%	71.2%	16.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.6	17.2	49.8%	49.9%	34.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.9	10.2	30.9%	31.7%	30.5
🏀 Free throws	17.6	12.5	71.3%	71.2%	12.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.4	18.7	46.3%	49.9%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	7.0	28.1%	31.7%	20.9
🏀 Free throws	21.3	15.0	70.4%	71.2%	15.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.8	17.9	51.5%	49.9%	35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.5	8.9	30.1%	31.7%	26.6
🏀 Free throws	16.6	12.4	74.3%	71.2%	12.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	21.7	60.3%	49.9%	43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	10.6	34.9%	31.7%	31.8
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.3	71.9%	71.2%	14.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Mogi

WWLWLWLLWW

Cearense

LLLLLLWLLL

League position

#18

+0.7

Net rating

-21.2

96.5

Offensive rating

82.4

95.8

Defensive rating

103.6

50.3%

Effective FG%

44.4%

52.7%

Opp. effective FG%

58.5%

12.2%

Turnover %

16.2%

0.20

Free-throw rate

0.37

33.0%

3-point %

29.2%

62.7%

Assist %

54.1%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

10%

Profile

■ Mogi ■ Cearense

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mogi wins

Cearense wins

Date	Game	Score
09/02/26	Mogi v Cearense	88-76
10/11/25	Cearense v Mogi	76-80
02/04/25	Mogi v Cearense	75-63
06/12/24	Cearense v Mogi	76-69
24/01/24	Cearense v Mogi	93-75
25/10/23	Mogi v Cearense	63-65
04/03/22	Cearense v Mogi	82-75
03/12/21	Mogi v Cearense	86-79
26/02/21	Mogi v Cearense	84-94
14/12/20	Cearense v Mogi	85-88

Mogilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/10/26	H	Unifacisa	78-70
23/10/26	A	Bauru	79-61
21/10/26	A	Franca	74-90
17/10/26	H	Corinthians Paulista	84-73
15/05/26	A	Franca	77-78
13/05/26	A	Franca	102-90
10/05/26	H	Franca	70-88
08/05/26	H	Franca	65-97
05/05/26	A	Franca	95-93
27/04/26	H	Sao Jose	81-70

Cearenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/11/26	A	Sao Jose	53-96
22/10/26	H	Pinheiros	63-98
20/10/26	H	Osasco	69-93
16/04/26	A	Cruzeiro	77-86
14/04/26	A	Minas	56-87
06/04/26	H	Caxias do Sul	83-107
04/04/26	H	Uniao Corinthians	94-93
22/03/26	A	Franca	71-116
19/03/26	A	Paulistano	77-91
17/03/26	A	Osasco	89-90 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWW	75%
Home	WW	100%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	75%	100%	50%
Points / game	78.8	81.0	76.5
Allowed / game	73.5	71.5	75.5
Point differential	+5.2	+9.5	+1.0
Avg total	152.2	152.5	152.0
Over 159.25	25%	0%	50%
Win by 10+	50%	50%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Cearense

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLL	0%
Home	LL	0%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	61.7	66.0	53.0
Allowed / game	95.7	95.5	96.0
Point differential	-34.0	-29.5	-43.0
Avg total	157.3	161.5	149.0
Over 159.25	67%	100%	0%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Minas	5	5	0	100%	87.8	67.8	+20.0
2	Pinheiros	5	4	1	80%	83.6	66.8	+16.8
3	Unifacisa	5	4	1	80%	83.0	71.8	+11.2
4	Flamengo	4	3	1	75%	80.5	69.2	+11.2
5	Mogi	4	3	1	75%	78.8	73.5	+5.2
6	Cruzeiro	5	3	2	60%	76.0	75.0	+1.0
7	Brasilia	5	3	2	60%	84.2	84.4	-0.2
8	Paulistano	5	3	2	60%	72.8	74.6	-1.8
9	Franca	5	2	3	40%	73.2	72.6	+0.6
10	Bauru	5	2	3	40%	75.0	77.8	-2.8
11	Botafogo	5	2	3	40%	80.0	83.0	-3.0
12	Uniao Corinthians	5	2	3	40%	73.8	80.0	-6.2
13	Corinthians Paulista	3	1	2	33%	81.0	78.7	+2.3
14	Osasco	3	1	2	33%	79.0	84.7	-5.7
15	Sao Jose	4	1	3	25%	76.5	80.8	-4.2
16	Pato	4	1	3	25%	74.0	82.5	-8.5
17	Caxias do Sul	5	0	5	0%	64.2	80.4	-16.2
18	Cearense	3	0	3	0%	61.7	95.7	-34.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mogi	11	22	26	30	89
Cearense	21	21	19	17	78

← all games of the day

Mogi vs Cearense Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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