PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Mogi vs Cerrado Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 70-65
16-16 20-19 16-21 18-9
Position#14
Record7-23
FormLLWWW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game79.9
Mogi 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#17
Record8-21
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game76.7
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Prof. Hugo Ramos
Other2023-24
Meetings · Mogi v Cerrado
22 Mar 2024
MOGI70
CERR65
17 Feb 2022
MOGI87
CERR67
23 Nov 2020
MOGI81
CERR75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cerrado winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
L
68-79
68
79
-11
55avg 66
A22/01
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
75-93
75
93
-18
63avg 66
A24/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
65-102
65
102
-37
56avg 66
A08/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
81-74
81
74
+7
72avg 66
H14/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
80-94
80
94
-14
61avg 66
H16/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
49-77
49
77
-28
21avg 66
A29/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
68avg 66
A02/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
no box
A05/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
79-64
79
64
+15
75avg 66
H09/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
104-61
104
61
+43
103avg 66
H20/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
14-14
18-21
24-27
19-23
20-24
19-22
17-24
10-35
19-30
18-22
18-15
16-18
16-16
22-19
27-21
17-29
21-25
18-14
24-26
5-20
12-14
13-25
19-18
17-23
18-15
18-23
20-18
22-17
18-21
22-21
12-15
18-17
24-15
11-17
26-15
24-16
27-11
23-16
30-18
156.8Avg total
76.1Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)74.179.9154.1-5.823%
Season at home (15)77.579.5157.0-2.127%
Season away (15)70.880.3151.1-9.520%
Last 10 (10)76.180.7156.8-4.640%
Last 5 (5)78.473.0151.4+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)71.481.4152.8-10.016%
vs Similar ◀ (9)75.978.8154.7-2.933%
vs Weaker (2)92.071.0163.0+21.050%
This opponent (Cerrado) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CerradoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCerrado
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
71-84
71
84
-13
60avg 67
H19/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
61-84
61
84
-23
46avg 67
A22/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
56-73
56
73
-17
43avg 67
A24/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
103-75
103
75
+28
100avg 67
A05/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
86-72
86
72
+14
87avg 67
A07/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
83-86
83
86
-3
89avg 67
H15/02
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
95-73
95
73
+22
96avg 67
A01/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
79-82
79
82
-3
74avg 67
H08/03
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
81-84
81
84
-3
70avg 67
H10/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
69-71
69
71
-2
52avg 67
A20/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
11-23
25-20
15-17
12-29
14-18
14-15
21-22
4-19
27-15
12-19
13-20
25-17
22-13
27-21
29-24
16-18
25-16
15-20
30-18
19-25
24-23
22-22
18-16
22-15
28-19
25-21
20-18
23-19
11-20
20-23
25-20
28-24
23-12
12-24
18-24
21-18
20-18
11-20
17-15
156.8Avg total
78.4Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)75.476.7152.0-1.328%
Season at home (14)75.374.2149.5+1.129%
Season away (15)75.578.9154.4-3.527%
Last 10 (10)78.478.4156.8+0.030%
Last 5 (5)81.479.2160.6+2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.581.1152.6-9.67%
vs Similar ◀ (8)69.875.4145.1-5.625%
vs Weaker (8)86.472.4158.8+14.062%
This opponent (Mogi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
MogiCerrado
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A22/01
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A24/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
29-65
29
65
-36
A08/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H14/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H16/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
17-34
17
34
-17
A29/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A02/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A05/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H09/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H20/03
NBB
74.9Avg total
34.9Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.740.676.3-4.927%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.340.578.8-2.333%-
Last 30 away (15)33.140.673.7-7.520%-
Last 10 (10)34.940.074.9-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)37.033.870.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)34.841.576.3-6.626%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.439.875.2-4.322%-
vs Weaker (2)45.035.580.5+9.550%-
This opponent (Cerrado) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CerradoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H19/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A22/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A24/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A05/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A07/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H15/02
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A01/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H08/03
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H10/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A20/03
NBB
78.0Avg total
39.5Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.537.875.3-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.835.873.6+2.057%-
Last 30 away (16)37.239.676.8-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)39.538.578.0+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.838.682.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.140.977.0-4.921%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)33.637.471.0-3.850%-
vs Weaker (8)43.832.976.6+10.988%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.316.2
44.6%
51.8%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.6
35.4%
33.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.812.2
68.5%
72.6%12.2
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cerradotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cerrado: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.4
50.3%
51.8%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.09.0
37.5%
33.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.413.8
71.1%
72.6%13.8
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mogi
WWWLLLWLLL
Cerrado
LLLWLWWLLL
#14
League position
#17
-7.7
Net rating
-0.3
101.1
Offensive rating
106.6
108.9
Defensive rating
106.9
48.3%
Effective FG%
52.6%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
18.0%
Turnover %
19.5%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.4%
3-point %
37.5%
63.6%
Assist %
51.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.1 · 106.6Defence108.9 · 106.9Shooting48.3% · 52.6%3-point %35.4% · 37.5%Ball care18.0% · 19.5%Off. rebounds30.0% · 30.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Mogi   ■ Cerrado
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Mogi wins
1
Cerrado wins
DateGameScore
28/11/23Cerrado v Mogi70-62
17/02/22Mogi v Cerrado87-67
21/11/21Cerrado v Mogi74-86
24/02/21Cerrado v Mogi78-84
23/11/20Mogi v Cerrado81-75
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/24HBrasilia104-61
09/03/24HSao Jose79-64
05/03/24ABotafogo87-84 OT
02/03/24AVasco73-79
29/02/24AFlamengo49-77
16/02/24HUniao Corinthians80-94
14/02/24HCaxias do Sul81-74
08/02/24AMinas65-102
24/01/24ACearense75-93
22/01/24AUnifacisa68-79
Cerradolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/24ASao Jose69-71
10/03/24HVasco81-84
08/03/24HBotafogo79-82
01/03/24ABrasilia95-73
15/02/24HFlamengo83-86
07/02/24ACaxias do Sul86-72
05/02/24AUniao Corinthians103-75
24/01/24ACorinthians Paulista56-73
22/01/24APinheiros61-84
19/01/24HMinas71-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW23%
HomeLWLWW27%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %23%27%20%
Points / game74.177.570.8
Allowed / game79.979.580.3
Point differential-5.8-2.1-9.5
Avg total154.1157.0151.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%13%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)25% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Cerrado
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL28%
HomeLLLLL29%
AwayLWWWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %28%29%27%
Points / game75.475.375.5
Allowed / game76.774.278.9
Point differential-1.3+1.1-3.5
Avg total152.0149.5154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%14%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won10% (10)0% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo3025583%84.973.7+11.2
2 Franca2924583%87.476.0+11.4
3 Vasco2922776%77.072.1+4.9
4 Minas3022873%86.374.8+11.6
5 Bauru32211166%80.979.0+1.9
6 Unifacisa32201262%84.079.4+4.6
7 Paulistano29181162%75.271.5+3.7
8 Corinthians Paulista29161355%80.478.3+2.1
9 Sao Jose31171455%80.177.2+2.9
10 Cearense30161453%78.777.1+1.6
11 Sao Paulo28141450%78.680.0-1.4
12 Pinheiros29131645%75.377.7-2.3
13 Pato30121840%76.779.9-3.2
14 Uniao Corinthians30102033%75.083.8-8.8
15 Cerrado2982128%75.476.7-1.3
16 Caxias do Sul3082227%71.979.6-7.7
17 Botafogo3382524%79.088.2-9.2
18 Mogi3072323%74.179.9-5.8
19 Brasilia3042613%72.687.8-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mogi1620161870
Cerrado161921965
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.