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Mogi vs Vasco Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 66-65
12-12 16-16 20-14 18-23
Position#16
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game69.5
Mogi 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#7
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game59.0
Allowed / game59.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Prof. Hugo Ramos
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mogi v Vasco
01 Nov 2025
MOGI79
VASC57
17 Oct 2024
MOGI66
VASC65
25 Nov 2023
MOGI79
VASC95
13 Feb 2019
MOGI90
VASC88
01 Feb 2018
MOGI89
VASC80
04 Feb 2017
MOGI80
VASC73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Cerrado
#17
W
70-65
70
65
+5
59avg 64
H22/03
NBB
Pato
#12
L
73-100
73
100
-27
66avg 64
A25/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
69-73
69
73
-4
63avg 64
A03/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
81-79
81
79
+2
73avg 64
H07/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
64-61
64
61
+3
61avg 64
H09/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
68-80
68
80
-12
59avg 64
A13/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
66-78
66
78
-12
55avg 64
H19/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
57-97
57
97
-40
34avg 64
A22/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
72-67
72
67
+5
64avg 64
H12/10
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
70-72 OT
70
72
-2
56avg 64
H14/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
20-19
16-21
18-9
14-25
13-27
27-21
19-27
19-19
13-25
18-17
19-12
19-22
16-20
24-13
22-24
17-13
15-12
17-13
15-23
18-23
10-18
18-26
22-13
19-18
17-26
15-20
15-14
15-23
17-27
17-21
8-26
19-17
21-21
18-15
14-14
12-17
17-12
21-18
15-18
146.2Avg total
69.0Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.069.5140.5+1.550%
Season at home (2)71.069.5140.5+1.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.077.2146.2-8.240%
Last 5 (5)66.678.8145.4-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)70.080.0150.0-9.929%
vs Similar (7)76.077.1153.1-1.143%
vs Weaker (2)92.071.0163.0+21.050%
This opponent (Vasco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#13
L
63-72
63
72
-9
60avg 71
H13/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
64-56
64
56
+8
51avg 71
A20/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
85-70
85
70
+15
91avg 71
H26/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
74avg 71
H04/05
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
66-80
66
80
-14
62avg 71
A07/05
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
59-67
59
67
-8
48avg 71
A09/05
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
95-87 OT
95
87
+8
92avg 71
H12/05
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
73-76
73
76
-3
63avg 71
H14/05
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
50-59
50
59
-9
43avg 71
H12/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
68-59
68
59
+9
64avg 71
A15/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
13-16
21-15
14-23
15-16
19-20
19-9
11-11
26-17
15-8
20-15
24-30
15-25
19-13
16-19
22-15
17-18
14-22
13-25
22-15
17-25
10-11
18-17
14-14
20-22
17-23
27-16
17-20
20-16
11-16
26-24
16-20
14-11
8-14
12-20
16-14
19-13
14-18
13-15
22-13
141.1Avg total
70.7Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)59.059.0118.0+0.050%
Season at home (1)50.059.0109.0-9.00%
Season away (1)68.059.0127.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)70.770.4141.1+0.350%
Last 5 (5)69.069.6138.6-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)64.279.2143.5-15.00%
vs Similar (15)76.174.0150.1+2.160%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)80.573.9154.4+6.690%
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.3+0.3
MogiVasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cerrado
#17
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H22/03
NBB
Pato
#12
L
27-52
27
52
-25
A25/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A03/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H07/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H09/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A13/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H19/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A22/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H12/10
NBB
Botafogo
#18
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H14/10
NBB
72.7Avg total
32.7Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.540.274.8-5.727%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.237.174.4+0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)32.242.975.1-10.812%-
Last 10 (10)32.740.072.7-7.330%-
Last 5 (5)33.040.473.4-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)33.241.074.2-7.824%-
vs Similar (7)35.639.374.9-3.729%-
vs Weaker (2)45.035.580.5+9.550%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#13
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H13/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A20/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H26/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H04/05
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A07/05
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A09/05
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H12/05
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H14/05
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
22-25
22
25
-3
H12/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A15/10
NBB
66.0Avg total
31.8Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.037.474.4-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.135.273.3+2.956%-
Last 30 away (14)35.640.075.6-4.429%-
Last 10 (10)31.834.266.0-2.420%-
Last 5 (5)30.033.863.8-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.539.269.8-8.80%-
vs Similar (15)37.036.673.6+0.447%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)40.337.377.6+3.060%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 68.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.415.2
45.5%
50.9%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.2
33.0%
33.0%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.610.4
62.7%
72.7%10.4
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 69.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.213.8
47.3%
50.9%27.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.18.4
29.9%
33.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws24.017.1
71.2%
72.7%17.1
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mogi
LWLLLWWLLW
Vasco
WLLWLLWWWL
#16
League position
#7
-10.6
Net rating
+1.0
95.0
Offensive rating
95.5
105.6
Defensive rating
94.6
47.3%
Effective FG%
46.1%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
18.2%
Turnover %
20.2%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.42
33.0%
3-point %
29.9%
59.8%
Assist %
78.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.0 · 95.5Defence105.6 · 94.6Shooting47.3% · 46.1%3-point %33.0% · 29.9%Ball care18.2% · 20.2%Off. rebounds25.2% · 25.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Mogi   ■ Vasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mogi wins
3
Vasco wins
DateGameScore
02/03/24Vasco v Mogi79-73
25/11/23Mogi v Vasco79-95
13/02/19Mogi v Vasco90-88
14/12/18Vasco v Mogi75-88
01/02/18Mogi v Vasco89-80
18/11/17Vasco v Mogi75-82
04/02/17Mogi v Vasco80-73
19/11/16Vasco v Mogi94-70
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/24HBotafogo70-72 OT
12/10/24HPaulistano72-67
22/04/24AFranca57-97
19/04/24HFranca66-78
13/04/24ABauru68-80
09/04/24HPaulistano64-61
07/04/24HSao Paulo81-79
03/04/24AFranca69-73
25/03/24APato73-100
22/03/24HCerrado70-65
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/24ASao Jose68-59
12/10/24HFlamengo50-59
14/05/24HBauru73-76
12/05/24HBauru95-87 OT
09/05/24ABauru59-67
07/05/24ABauru66-80
04/05/24HBauru84-78 OT
26/04/24HPinheiros85-70
20/04/24APinheiros64-56
13/04/24HPinheiros63-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game71.071.0-
Allowed / game69.569.5-
Point differential+1.5+1.5-
Avg total140.5140.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %50%50%-
Vasco
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game59.050.068.0
Allowed / game59.059.059.0
Point differential+0.0-9.0+9.0
Avg total118.0109.0127.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unifacisa110100%83.071.0+12.0
2 Flamengo220100%65.056.5+8.5
3 Cearense110100%76.068.0+8.0
4 Sao Paulo110100%88.081.0+7.0
5 Botafogo220100%76.570.0+6.5
6 Franca110100%82.076.0+6.0
7 Minas32167%77.376.3+1.0
8 Paulistano21150%73.567.0+6.5
9 Mogi21150%71.069.5+1.5
10 Bauru21150%87.086.5+0.5
11 Vasco21150%59.059.0+0.0
12 Pinheiros21150%65.073.5-8.5
13 Pato31233%79.080.7-1.7
14 Corinthians Paulista1010%86.089.0-3.0
15 Brasilia2020%78.583.5-5.0
16 Caxias do Sul1010%68.076.0-8.0
17 Sao Jose3030%64.073.3-9.3
18 Uniao Corinthians1010%71.083.0-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mogi1216201866
Vasco1216142365
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