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Monaco vs Pau-Orthez Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 83-77
25-20 20-22 16-16 22-19
Position#1
Record12-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game80.9
Monaco 🏆
France
vs
Pau-Orthez
France
Position#17
Record6-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game81.5
FranceLNBRound 16
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Monaco v Pau-Orthez
08 Jan 2023
MCO83
POR77
04 Jun 2022
MCO79
POR72
02 Jun 2022
MCO94
POR65
17 Apr 2022
MCO85
POR76
06 Mar 2021
MCO102
POR95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pau-Orthez winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
W
97-78
97
78
+19
98avg 81
H06/12
LNB
Real Madrid
#2
W
95-94 OT
95
94
+1
no box
A08/12
Euroleague
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
W
95-82 OT
95
82
+13
no box
A11/12
LNB
Barcelona
#3
L
63-69
63
69
-6
no box
H14/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
92-89
92
89
+3
92avg 81
H16/12
Euroleague
Le Portel
#12
L
81-89
81
89
-8
60avg 81
A18/12
LNB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
71-79
71
79
-8
54avg 81
A23/12
Euroleague
Fos-sur-Mer
#18
W
97-53
97
53
+44
93avg 81
A27/12
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
84-82
84
82
+2
81avg 81
H29/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
80-100
80
100
-20
69avg 81
A05/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-15
22-21
15-22
27-20
17-23
28-25
20-14
23-26
13-26
22-19
22-18
19-13
13-16
16-18
16-26
18-9
28-25
24-19
20-21
20-24
13-33
28-16
22-20
18-20
21-24
26-10
15-17
9-28
32-17
16-11
18-13
31-12
17-26
25-23
18-15
24-18
17-26
30-22
21-21
12-31
167.0Avg total
85.5Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)90.980.9171.7+10.080%
Season at home (7)93.084.4177.4+8.671%
Season away (8)89.077.8166.8+11.288%
Last 10 (10)85.581.5167.0+4.060%
Last 5 (5)82.680.6163.2+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)88.085.0173.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (10)81.782.5164.2-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)89.281.2170.4+7.978%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Paris
#10
L
74-79
74
79
-5
66avg 80
H22/10
LNB
Le Portel
#12
L
84-89
84
89
-5
79avg 80
H29/10
LNB
Cholet
#7
L
83-93
83
93
-10
82avg 80
A05/11
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
W
91-80
91
80
+11
89avg 80
H19/11
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
79-91
79
91
-12
68avg 80
A27/11
LNB
Nanterre
#14
L
71-80
71
80
-9
68avg 80
H04/12
LNB
Fos-sur-Mer
#18
L
75-83
75
83
-8
68avg 80
A09/12
LNB
Le Mans
#6
W
89-85
89
85
+4
91avg 80
H17/12
LNB
Roanne
#11
W
94-75
94
75
+19
96avg 80
A23/12
LNB
Dijon
#4
W
76-64
76
64
+12
74avg 80
H27/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
22-20
15-17
19-21
25-22
15-22
16-15
28-30
19-24
22-16
20-29
22-24
22-29
25-17
17-20
27-14
19-23
15-21
27-27
18-20
13-11
19-24
20-24
19-21
26-19
17-24
13-17
19-23
19-18
22-23
23-21
25-23
27-21
21-16
22-21
24-17
26-16
14-20
19-15
17-13
163.5Avg total
81.6Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.881.5161.3-1.740%
Season at home (8)81.177.4158.5+3.862%
Season away (7)78.386.3164.6-8.014%
Last 10 (10)81.681.9163.5-0.340%
Last 5 (5)81.077.4158.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)79.783.4163.1-3.641%
vs Similar (11)81.681.2162.8+0.536%
vs Weaker (2)85.577.5163.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
MonacoPau-Orthez
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H06/12
LNB
Real Madrid
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A08/12
Euroleague
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A11/12
LNB
Barcelona
#3
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H14/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H16/12
Euroleague
Le Portel
#12
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A18/12
LNB
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A23/12
Euroleague
Fos-sur-Mer
#18
W
48-28
48
28
+20
A27/12
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H29/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A05/01
Euroleague
85.6Avg total
44.1Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.839.783.6+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.339.684.9+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)42.439.982.3+2.553%-
Last 10 (10)44.141.585.6+2.640%-
Last 5 (5)45.041.686.6+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.042.581.5-3.50%-
vs Similar (10)42.238.881.0+3.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.339.985.2+5.372%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#10
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H22/10
LNB
Le Portel
#12
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H29/10
LNB
Cholet
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A05/11
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H19/11
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A27/11
LNB
Nanterre
#14
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H04/12
LNB
Fos-sur-Mer
#18
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A09/12
LNB
Le Mans
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H17/12
LNB
Roanne
#11
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A23/12
LNB
Dijon
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H27/12
LNB
81.3Avg total
40.6Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.941.881.7-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.140.581.6+0.650%-
Last 30 away (14)38.543.481.9-4.929%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.781.3-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.838.479.2+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.642.280.8-3.629%-
vs Similar (11)41.041.782.7-0.745%-
vs Weaker (2)44.539.083.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.522.4
54.0%
53.7%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.3
31.2%
35.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws21.616.3
75.5%
75.2%16.3
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.1
57.9%
53.7%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.3
35.3%
35.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws14.611.7
80.1%
75.2%11.7
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
LWWLLWLWWW
Pau-Orthez
WWWLLLWLLL
#1
League position
#17
+7.4
Net rating
+0.1
116.4
Offensive rating
109.0
109.0
Defensive rating
108.9
51.4%
Effective FG%
56.0%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
14.2%
Turnover %
19.8%
35.4%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.2%
3-point %
35.3%
56.2%
Assist %
62.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.4 · 109.0Defence109.0 · 108.9Shooting51.4% · 56.0%3-point %31.2% · 35.3%Ball care14.2% · 19.8%Off. rebounds35.4% · 27.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Monaco   ■ Pau-Orthez
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Monaco wins
1
Pau-Orthez wins
DateGameScore
09/06/22Pau-Orthez v Monaco83-85
07/06/22Pau-Orthez v Monaco82-76
04/06/22Monaco v Pau-Orthez79-72
02/06/22Monaco v Pau-Orthez94-65
17/04/22Monaco v Pau-Orthez85-76
24/10/21Pau-Orthez v Monaco66-74
06/03/21Monaco v Pau-Orthez102-95 OT
06/12/20Pau-Orthez v Monaco86-90
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/23APartizan80-100
29/12/22HZalgiris Kaunas84-82
27/12/22AFos-sur-Mer97-53
23/12/22AOlimpia Milano71-79
18/12/22ALe Portel81-89
16/12/22HAlba Berlin92-89
14/12/22HBarcelona63-69
11/12/22ABoulogne-Levallois95-82 OT
08/12/22AReal Madrid95-94 OT
06/12/22HLyon-Villeurbanne97-78
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/22HDijon76-64
23/12/22ARoanne94-75
17/12/22HLe Mans89-85
09/12/22AFos-sur-Mer75-83
04/12/22HNanterre71-80
27/11/22ALyon-Villeurbanne79-91
19/11/22HGravelines-Dunkerque91-80
05/11/22ACholet83-93
29/10/22HLe Portel84-89
22/10/22HParis74-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
LNB 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWLLWW71%
AwayWWWLW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %80%71%88%
Points / game90.993.089.0
Allowed / game80.984.477.8
Point differential+10.0+8.6+11.2
Avg total171.7177.4166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%57%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Pau-Orthez
LNB 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW40%
HomeLWLWW62%
AwayLLLLW14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %40%62%14%
Points / game79.881.178.3
Allowed / game81.577.486.3
Point differential-1.7+3.8-8.0
Avg total161.3158.5164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco1512380%90.980.9+10.0
2 Cholet1612475%83.578.9+4.6
3 Boulogne-Levallois1511473%88.783.3+5.3
4 Dijon1611569%89.284.1+5.1
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne159660%86.279.2+7.0
6 Limoges169756%78.077.2+0.8
7 JL Bourg169756%86.387.3-1.0
8 Le Mans158753%86.983.7+3.2
9 Strasbourg168850%78.479.4-1.1
10 Roanne167944%92.191.5+0.6
11 Gravelines-Dunkerque167944%80.082.1-2.1
12 Paris167944%87.190.8-3.7
13 Pau-Orthez156940%79.881.5-1.7
14 Nanterre1661038%80.482.4-2.1
15 Ada Blois1551033%81.689.7-8.1
16 Le Portel1651131%79.479.8-0.3
17 Nancy1651131%80.486.8-6.4
18 Fos-sur-Mer1641225%74.283.4-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monaco2520162283
Pau-Orthez2022161977
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