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Monaco vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 92-89
28-25 24-19 20-21 20-24
Position#4
Record9-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game80.4
Monaco 🏆
vs
Position#17
Record3-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game84.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 14
European cup2022
Meetings · Monaco v Alba Berlin
06 Dec 2024
MCO100
ABE80
20 Oct 2023
MCO86
ABE75
16 Dec 2022
MCO92
ABE89
08 Apr 2022
MCO91
ABE74
29 Jan 2019
MCO61
ABE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Limoges
#15
L
80-84
80
84
-4
78avg 82
H20/11
LNB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
93-96
93
96
-3
87avg 82
H22/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
W
80-79
80
79
+1
72avg 82
H25/11
Euroleague
Le Mans
#6
W
90-81
90
81
+9
83avg 82
A29/11
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
84-75
84
75
+9
72avg 82
A01/12
Euroleague
Ada Blois
#16
W
88-70
88
70
+18
87avg 82
H04/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
W
97-78
97
78
+19
98avg 82
H06/12
LNB
Real Madrid
#2
W
95-94 OT
95
94
+1
no box
A08/12
Euroleague
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
W
95-82 OT
95
82
+13
no box
A11/12
LNB
Barcelona
#3
L
63-69
63
69
-6
no box
H14/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
20-22
16-21
20-21
18-21
20-24
22-34
33-17
17-14
17-19
19-17
27-29
25-19
24-24
24-17
17-21
20-20
25-25
15-15
24-15
23-15
30-20
20-20
15-15
33-15
22-21
15-22
27-20
17-23
28-25
20-14
23-26
13-26
22-19
22-18
19-13
13-16
16-18
16-26
18-9
167.3Avg total
86.5Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.780.4163.1+2.369%
Season at home (6)82.581.2163.7+1.367%
Season away (7)82.979.7162.6+3.171%
Last 10 (10)86.580.8167.3+5.770%
Last 5 (5)87.678.6166.2+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)88.085.0173.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (11)79.082.2161.2-3.245%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.481.3169.6+7.182%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
99-91
99
91
+8
101avg 83
H20/11
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
no box
H22/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
76-86
76
86
-10
71avg 83
A24/11
Euroleague
Gottingen
#7
L
95-96
95
96
-1
93avg 83
A27/11
BBL
Barcelona
#3
L
86-88
86
88
-2
82avg 83
H01/12
Euroleague
Gottingen
#8
W
99-71
99
71
+28
no box
A04/12
German Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
95-90
95
90
+5
94avg 83
A06/12
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
75-104
75
104
-29
62avg 83
H08/12
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#18
W
91-83
91
83
+8
86avg 83
H10/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 83
A14/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
22-20
27-25
27-22
19-20
21-17
17-18
18-20
21-18
17-21
21-22
17-25
20-20
23-25
27-26
25-25
19-30
27-15
11-26
29-17
27-24
24-22
31-16
17-9
25-20
19-23
27-17
24-30
18-24
17-30
17-30
23-20
27-20
13-29
21-18
30-16
15-18
14-22
23-23
24-22
175.8Avg total
87.6Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.684.3164.9-3.723%
Season at home (6)86.084.7170.7+1.333%
Season away (7)76.084.0160.0-8.014%
Last 10 (10)87.688.2175.8-0.640%
Last 5 (5)87.286.6173.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)80.588.3168.8-7.817%
vs Similar (7)80.780.9161.6-0.129%
vs Weaker (16)87.978.4166.4+9.588%
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +2.8+2.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +2.8+2.8
MonacoAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limoges
#15
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H20/11
LNB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H22/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H25/11
Euroleague
Le Mans
#6
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A29/11
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A01/12
Euroleague
Ada Blois
#16
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H04/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H06/12
LNB
Real Madrid
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A08/12
Euroleague
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A11/12
LNB
Barcelona
#3
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H14/12
Euroleague
83.3Avg total
42.7Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.681.2+1.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.538.381.8+5.173%-
Last 30 away (15)39.640.980.5-1.353%-
Last 10 (10)42.740.683.3+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.439.683.0+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.042.581.5-3.50%-
vs Similar (11)37.238.575.7-1.455%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.640.084.6+4.676%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H20/11
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H22/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/11
Euroleague
Gottingen
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A27/11
BBL
Barcelona
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H01/12
Euroleague
Gottingen
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A04/12
German Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A06/12
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H08/12
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#18
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H10/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A14/12
Euroleague
85.3Avg total
41.1Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.182.8+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.443.185.6-0.750%-
Last 30 away (16)41.139.480.4+1.756%-
Last 10 (10)41.144.285.3-3.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.846.486.2-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)42.345.888.2-3.533%-
vs Similar (7)38.938.177.0+0.757%-
vs Weaker (16)42.540.282.7+2.362%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.4
51.9%
53.5%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.48.3
38.8%
36.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws22.517.6
78.2%
78.5%17.6
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.5
55.6%
53.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.7
36.6%
36.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.615.5
71.8%
78.5%15.5
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
LWWWWWWWLL
Alba Berlin
LWLWWLLLLW
#4
League position
#17
+7.2
Net rating
-6.6
115.7
Offensive rating
110.2
108.5
Defensive rating
116.8
54.1%
Effective FG%
55.3%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
58.6%
15.3%
Turnover %
18.7%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
38.8%
3-point %
36.6%
59.2%
Assist %
66.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.7 · 110.2Defence108.5 · 116.8Shooting54.1% · 55.3%3-point %38.8% · 36.6%Ball care15.3% · 18.7%Off. rebounds29.0% · 29.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Monaco   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Monaco wins
3
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
08/04/22Monaco v Alba Berlin91-74
22/12/21Alba Berlin v Monaco92-84
29/01/19Monaco v Alba Berlin61-75
03/01/19Alba Berlin v Monaco83-74
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/22HBarcelona63-69
11/12/22ABoulogne-Levallois95-82 OT
08/12/22AReal Madrid95-94 OT
06/12/22HLyon-Villeurbanne97-78
04/12/22HAda Blois88-70
01/12/22ALyon-Villeurbanne84-75
29/11/22ALe Mans90-81
25/11/22HBayern80-79
22/11/22HFenerbahce93-96
20/11/22HLimoges80-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/22AVirtus Bologna76-85
10/12/22HBayreuth91-83
08/12/22HFenerbahce75-104
06/12/22ABasketball Braunschweig95-90
04/12/22AGottingen99-71
01/12/22HBarcelona86-88
27/11/22AGottingen95-96
24/11/22AOlympiacos76-86
22/11/22HCrvena zvezda84-88 OT
20/11/22HLudwigsburg99-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL69%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %69%67%71%
Points / game82.782.582.9
Allowed / game80.481.279.7
Point differential+2.3+1.3+3.1
Avg total163.1163.7162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)75% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %15%17%14%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %23%33%14%
Points / game80.686.076.0
Allowed / game84.384.784.0
Point differential-3.7+1.3-8.0
Avg total164.9170.7160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %15%17%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1410471%84.477.4+6.9
2 Barcelona1410471%79.175.3+3.9
3 Monaco139469%82.780.4+2.3
4 Olympiacos149564%86.477.5+8.9
5 Baskonia149564%85.380.1+5.1
6 Real Madrid149564%83.278.4+4.8
7 Anadolu Efes147750%82.978.3+4.6
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv147750%81.582.0-0.5
9 Zalgiris Kaunas147750%76.178.7-2.6
10 Crvena zvezda147750%73.676.6-3.1
11 Panathinaikos146843%80.281.7-1.5
12 Valencia146843%81.284.6-3.4
13 Lyon-Villeurbanne146843%73.978.1-4.1
14 Virtus Bologna146843%75.679.9-4.3
15 Partizan145936%84.386.8-2.5
16 Bayern145936%74.978.8-3.9
17 Olimpia Milano1441029%68.976.0-7.1
18 Alba Berlin1331023%80.684.3-3.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monaco2824202092
Alba Berlin2519212489
← all games of the day
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