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FMP Beograd vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 111-94
28-25 22-26 28-27 33-16
Position#11
Record9-16
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#13
Record6-19
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game89.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 26· Belgrade
Domestic2023
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Mornar Bar
04 Apr 2025
FBE87
MBA72
06 Apr 2024
FBE111
MBA94
15 Apr 2023
FBE101
MBA76
17 Oct 2021
FBE83
MBA81
05 Apr 2021
FBE94
MBA92
08 Dec 2018
FBE82
MBA84
05 Jan 2018
FBE79
MBA84
15 Jan 2017
FBE92
MBA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
54-87
54
87
-33
43avg 71
A21/01
ABA League
Split
#8
L
66-78
66
78
-12
57avg 71
A29/01
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
78-64
78
64
+14
75avg 71
H04/02
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
74-82
74
82
-8
57avg 71
A10/02
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
64avg 71
A14/02
Korac cup
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
86-72
86
72
+14
80avg 71
H02/03
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
L
85-94
85
94
-9
73avg 71
A11/03
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
57-88
57
88
-31
47avg 71
A16/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
W
84-76
84
76
+8
79avg 71
H21/03
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
75-72
75
72
+3
63avg 71
A28/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
19-20
14-18
8-23
18-18
9-12
26-18
13-30
19-15
29-22
16-9
14-18
15-21
20-21
20-16
19-24
16-17
20-23
19-18
20-22
26-19
19-22
28-18
13-13
16-22
23-17
21-21
25-34
16-20
15-23
14-22
12-23
21-14
17-24
26-14
20-24
25-21
9-19
22-15
19-17
152.7Avg total
73.4Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)76.884.0160.9-7.236%
Season at home (12)79.584.3163.8-4.833%
Season away (13)74.483.8158.2-9.438%
Last 10 (10)73.479.3152.7-5.940%
Last 5 (5)77.480.4157.8-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)73.287.6160.8-14.312%
vs Similar (9)80.476.1156.6+4.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)87.787.0174.7+0.767%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
84avg 64
H20/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
72-79
72
79
-7
63avg 64
A27/01
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
88-85
88
85
+3
79avg 64
H05/02
ABA League
Mega Basket
#4
L
87-101
87
101
-14
76avg 64
A11/02
ABA League
Podgorica
#4
L
92-94
92
94
-2
no box
A13/02
Montenegrin Cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
66-102
66
102
-36
44avg 64
H03/03
ABA League
Split
#8
L
75-87
75
87
-12
63avg 64
A08/03
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
86-84
86
84
+2
82avg 64
H15/03
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
89-105
89
105
-16
79avg 64
A23/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
80-78
80
78
+2
68avg 64
H30/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
36-21
13-23
16-20
15-21
22-17
22-18
13-23
21-17
25-23
20-19
22-26
27-26
21-24
17-22
22-29
18-19
15-30
21-15
38-30
23-21
13-26
14-31
16-24
19-24
24-26
11-17
21-20
20-17
19-17
18-28
29-22
28-30
18-17
15-28
28-30
27-23
30-20
9-20
14-15
172.7Avg total
82.6Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.289.5166.7-12.424%
Season at home (13)77.787.4165.1-9.746%
Season away (12)76.691.8168.4-15.20%
Last 10 (10)82.690.1172.7-7.540%
Last 5 (5)79.291.2170.4-12.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)76.488.6165.0-12.122%
vs Similar (2)79.081.0160.0-2.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: -6.5-6.5Q4: -2.0-2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: -6.5-6.5Q4: -2.0-2.0
FMP BeogradMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A21/01
ABA League
Split
#8
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A29/01
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H04/02
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A10/02
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A14/02
Korac cup
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H02/03
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A11/03
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A16/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H21/03
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A28/03
ABA League
76.1Avg total
36.5Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.941.978.9-5.027%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.541.981.5-2.447%-
Last 30 away (15)34.341.976.3-7.67%-
Last 10 (10)36.539.676.1-3.120%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.277.6-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.043.978.9-8.912%-
vs Similar (9)38.939.278.1-0.344%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)41.042.783.7-1.733%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#9
W
62-43
62
43
+19
H20/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A27/01
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H05/02
ABA League
Mega Basket
#4
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A11/02
ABA League
Podgorica
#4
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A13/02
Montenegrin Cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H03/03
ABA League
Split
#8
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A08/03
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H15/03
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A23/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H30/03
ABA League
88.8Avg total
44.7Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.043.283.2-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.642.585.1+0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)37.543.981.4-6.520%-
Last 10 (10)44.744.188.8+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.244.288.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)40.342.983.3-2.641%-
vs Similar (2)39.544.083.5-4.50%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.0
47.6%
54.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.56.9
28.2%
34.1%20.7
🏀 Free throws18.713.9
74.3%
73.8%13.9
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.9
50.5%
54.3%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.5
35.7%
34.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.414.9
69.6%
73.8%14.9
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
WWLLWLLWLL
Mornar Bar
WLWLLLLWLW
#11
League position
#13
-8.5
Net rating
-8.4
98.0
Offensive rating
108.1
106.6
Defensive rating
116.5
45.6%
Effective FG%
51.8%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
15.5%
Turnover %
12.5%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
23.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
28.2%
3-point %
35.7%
57.9%
Assist %
56.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.0 · 108.1Defence106.6 · 116.5Shooting45.6% · 51.8%3-point %28.2% · 35.7%Ball care15.5% · 12.5%Off. rebounds30.0% · 23.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
FMP Beograd wins
5
Mornar Bar wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/24AZadar75-72
21/03/24HBuducnost84-76
16/03/24APartizan57-88
11/03/24AStudentski Centar85-94
02/03/24HBorac Mozzart86-72
14/02/24ACrvena zvezda75-80
10/02/24ACedevita Olimpija74-82
04/02/24HIgokea78-64
29/01/24ASplit66-78
21/01/24ACrvena zvezda54-87
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24HBorac Mozzart80-78
23/03/24ACedevita Olimpija89-105
15/03/24HIgokea86-84
08/03/24ASplit75-87
03/03/24HCrvena zvezda66-102
13/02/24APodgorica92-94
11/02/24AMega Basket87-101
05/02/24HCibona88-85
27/01/24AKK Krka Novo mesto72-79
20/01/24HStudentski Centar91-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW36%
HomeLLWWW33%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %36%33%38%
Points / game76.879.574.4
Allowed / game84.084.383.8
Point differential-7.2-4.8-9.4
Avg total160.9163.8158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)0% (2)100% (5)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW24%
HomeWWLWW46%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %24%46%0%
Points / game77.277.776.6
Allowed / game89.587.491.8
Point differential-12.4-9.7-15.2
Avg total166.7165.1168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)83% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2521484%88.772.2+16.6
2 Partizan2519676%92.475.7+16.7
3 Buducnost2619773%84.877.0+7.8
4 Mega Basket26161062%86.482.3+4.1
5 Cedevita Olimpija26161062%86.084.0+2.0
6 Zadar25141156%79.075.8+3.2
7 Igokea26131350%78.581.4-3.0
8 Split25111444%76.580.0-3.4
9 Studentski Centar26111542%84.886.2-1.3
10 Borac Mozzart26101638%79.483.9-4.5
11 FMP Beograd2591636%76.884.0-7.2
12 Cibona2691735%78.284.2-6.0
13 Mornar Bar2561924%77.289.5-12.4
14 KK Krka Novo mesto2652119%75.487.5-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd28222833111
Mornar Bar2526271694
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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