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Borac Mozzart vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-71
28-16 16-14 16-21 19-20
Position#10
Record5-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Position#13
Record1-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game90.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 12· Dvorana Borac
Domestic2023
Meetings · Borac Mozzart v Mornar Bar
08 Feb 2025
BOR90
MBA71
16 Dec 2023
BOR79
MBA71
26 Nov 2022
BOR90
MBA87
23 Apr 2022
BOR91
MBA78
30 Dec 2020
BOR76
MBA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Borac Mozzart winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Borac MozzartLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMozzart
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#4
W
90-89
90
89
+1
78avg 73
A06/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
87-93
87
93
-6
78avg 73
H15/10
ABA League
Split
#8
L
61-75
61
75
-14
48avg 73
A20/10
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
64-70
64
70
-6
50avg 73
H29/10
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
78-82
78
82
-4
65avg 73
A04/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
W
87-76
87
76
+11
78avg 73
H10/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
96-75
96
75
+21
87avg 73
H18/11
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
56-101
56
101
-45
36avg 73
A27/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
67-86
67
86
-19
52avg 73
H02/12
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
80-79
80
79
+1
67avg 73
A08/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
28-32
23-20
15-12
20-24
15-19
20-22
32-28
6-20
29-16
12-21
14-18
22-15
18-11
15-16
9-28
25-20
14-25
17-20
22-17
23-27
23-20
21-9
20-20
24-16
25-17
22-17
25-25
16-24
13-31
14-31
13-15
11-20
23-15
15-30
18-21
19-16
21-21
21-29
19-13
159.2Avg total
76.6Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.582.3159.7-4.845%
Season at home (6)81.279.8161.0+1.350%
Season away (5)73.085.2158.2-12.240%
Last 10 (10)76.682.6159.2-6.040%
Last 5 (5)77.283.4160.6-6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.090.7169.7-11.733%
vs Similar (12)86.285.5171.7+0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)90.481.0171.4+9.462%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
71-78
71
78
-7
64avg 64
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cibona
#12
L
72-73
72
73
-1
68avg 64
A04/11
ABA League
Sabah Baku
#28
L
74-81
74
81
-7
63avg 64
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Mega Basket
#4
L
65-99
65
99
-34
47avg 64
H12/11
ABA League
Nymburk
#10
L
76-97
76
97
-21
64avg 64
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
75-95
75
95
-20
58avg 64
A20/11
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
68-103
68
103
-35
52avg 64
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Split
#8
L
76-93
76
93
-17
66avg 64
H26/11
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
64-84
64
84
-20
48avg 64
A02/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
62avg 64
H09/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
15-21
12-18
16-18
20-18
19-15
15-25
18-15
20-16
22-17
16-27
16-21
16-23
24-23
6-23
19-30
15-22
20-23
19-28
22-24
17-29
22-23
21-26
15-17
7-28
22-24
19-33
20-18
21-18
22-23
14-23
19-29
13-22
17-25
13-18
21-19
16-18
20-22
23-22
15-24
160.4Avg total
71.5Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)71.590.5162.1-19.09%
Season at home (5)72.489.6162.0-17.220%
Season away (6)70.891.3162.2-20.50%
Last 10 (10)71.588.9160.4-17.40%
Last 5 (5)71.492.2163.6-20.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)74.390.4164.7-16.111%
vs Similar (2)95.091.0186.0+4.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Borac Mozzart) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -8.5-8.5Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -3.4-3.4
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -8.5-8.5Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -3.4-3.4
Borac MozzartMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Borac MozzartLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#4
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A06/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H15/10
ABA League
Split
#8
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A20/10
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H29/10
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A04/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H10/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H18/11
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
29-55
29
55
-26
A27/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H02/12
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A08/12
ABA League
81.3Avg total
39.9Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.742.084.7+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.438.982.4+4.562%-
Last 30 away (14)41.945.487.3-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)39.941.481.3-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.641.481.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.244.983.1-6.711%-
vs Similar (12)45.941.887.7+4.258%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.439.984.2+4.575%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cibona
#12
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A04/11
ABA League
Sabah Baku
#28
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Mega Basket
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H12/11
ABA League
Nymburk
#10
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A20/11
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Split
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H26/11
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A02/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H09/12
ABA League
80.7Avg total
37.6Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.045.683.6-7.527%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.145.584.5-6.427%-
Last 30 away (15)37.045.782.7-8.727%-
Last 10 (10)37.643.180.7-5.540%-
Last 5 (5)35.446.481.8-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)37.944.782.6-6.830%-
vs Similar (2)47.552.5100.0-5.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Borac Mozzart) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Borac Mozzarttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Borac Mozzart: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.223.9
51.7%
54.3%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.95.0
25.1%
34.1%15.0
🏀 Free throws18.313.0
71.0%
73.8%13.0
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.118.0
47.2%
54.3%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.1
31.0%
34.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws14.010.2
72.9%
73.8%10.2
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Borac Mozzart
WLLWWLLLLW
Mornar Bar
LLLLLLLLLL
#10
League position
#13
-7.5
Net rating
-23.5
98.6
Offensive rating
94.0
106.2
Defensive rating
117.5
47.5%
Effective FG%
47.0%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
15.9%
Turnover %
16.9%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
22.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.22
25.1%
3-point %
31.0%
43.9%
Assist %
56.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence98.6 · 94.0Defence106.2 · 117.5Shooting47.5% · 47.0%3-point %25.1% · 31.0%Ball care15.9% · 16.9%Off. rebounds27.8% · 22.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 0%
■ Borac Mozzart   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Borac Mozzart wins
3
Mornar Bar wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/23AZadar80-79
02/12/23HBuducnost67-86
27/11/23APartizan56-101
18/11/23HFMP Beograd96-75
10/11/23HStudentski Centar87-76
04/11/23ACedevita Olimpija78-82
29/10/23HIgokea64-70
20/10/23ASplit61-75
15/10/23HCrvena zvezda87-93
06/10/23AMega Basket90-89
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HCedevita Olimpija74-86
02/12/23AIgokea64-84
26/11/23HSplit76-93
22/11/23ABahcesehir Kol.68-103
20/11/23ACrvena zvezda75-95
15/11/23HNymburk76-97
12/11/23HMega Basket65-99
08/11/23ASabah Baku74-81
04/11/23ACibona72-73
01/11/23HBahcesehir Kol.71-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Borac Mozzart
ABA League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW45%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game77.581.273.0
Allowed / game82.379.885.2
Point differential-4.8+1.3-12.2
Avg total159.7161.0158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2023
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %9%20%0%
Points / game71.572.470.8
Allowed / game90.589.691.3
Point differential-19.0-17.2-20.5
Avg total162.1162.0162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1110191%89.274.3+14.9
2 Igokea129375%84.879.6+5.2
3 Cedevita Olimpija129375%84.782.6+2.1
4 Partizan118373%95.273.5+21.7
5 Buducnost118373%83.575.0+8.5
6 Studentski Centar116555%86.485.8+0.5
7 Zadar126650%83.380.3+3.0
8 Mega Basket115645%84.880.9+3.9
9 Borac Mozzart115645%77.582.3-4.8
10 Cibona125742%77.283.8-6.5
11 Split113827%72.879.5-6.6
12 FMP Beograd123925%79.388.6-9.2
13 KK Krka Novo mesto1221017%73.685.7-12.1
14 Mornar Bar111109%71.590.5-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Borac Mozzart2816161979
Mornar Bar1614212071
← all games of the day
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