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Brescia vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 80-81
24-23 24-24 12-12 20-22
Position#11
Record0-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game94.0
vs
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game65.0
ItalyLega ARound 2
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Brescia v Virtus Bologna
09 Feb 2026
BRE79
VIR87
17 Jun 2025
BRE74
VIR96
01 Dec 2024
BRE98
VIR97
25 Mar 2024
BRE73
VIR87
18 Dec 2022
BRE77
VIR89
14 Nov 2021
BRE74
VIR103
04 Oct 2020
BRE80
VIR81
26 Oct 2019
BRE80
VIR82
24 Apr 2019
BRE77
VIR75
18 Mar 2018
BRE66
VIR70
16 Feb 2018
BRE97
VIR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A02/02
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H09/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
W
89-88
89
88
+1
H01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
79-91
79
91
-12
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
L
100-102
100
102
-2
A13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#12
L
89-94 OT
89
94
-5
A27/09
Lega A
Buducnost
#12
L
81-93
81
93
-12
A29/09
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
18-14
12-15
11-15
16-17
18-20
14-25
28-12
15-14
17-32
20-11
24-18
22-31
25-20
19-22
23-15
12-24
23-20
18-22
14-15
23-24
16-26
20-15
20-26
19-17
21-25
26-22
22-14
29-33
24-17
30-32
17-20
23-17
20-16
16-26
22-22
23-19
20-23
22-23
16-28
164.0Avg total
80.1Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)89.094.0183.0-5.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)89.094.0183.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)80.183.9164.0-3.840%
Last 5 (5)87.491.6179.0-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)74.287.8162.0-13.50%
vs Similar (7)78.680.4159.0-1.929%
vs Weaker (19)84.275.2159.3+9.079%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#14
W
87-66
87
66
+21
A29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#9
W
79-75 OT
79
75
+4
H01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#8
W
87-73
87
73
+14
A04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#8
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cremona
#14
W
79-56
79
56
+23
H09/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#9
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
W
88-76
88
76
+12
A18/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A20/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H27/09
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#21
W
76-61
76
61
+15
A30/09
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
21-10
24-24
25-10
11-15
23-7
15-29
19-17
18-24
17-22
31-11
21-16
11-14
15-22
34-27
24-23
19-15
25-15
13-13
22-13
17-18
22-9
19-25
16-20
19-24
21-18
22-17
26-17
16-21
17-24
18-8
17-22
25-15
20-15
20-14
19-21
19-24
17-11
17-3
23-23
151.1Avg total
80.6Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)84.065.0149.0+19.0100%
Season at home (1)84.065.0149.0+19.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.670.5151.1+10.180%
Last 5 (5)78.069.8147.8+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)68.075.0143.0-7.00%
vs Similar (3)82.382.3164.7+0.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)85.072.4157.4+12.692%
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +3.0+3.0
BresciaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A02/02
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H09/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#12
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A27/09
Lega A
Buducnost
#12
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A29/09
Eurocup
82.7Avg total
39.9Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.380.6+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.540.881.3-0.350%-
Last 30 away (16)40.239.880.1+0.456%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.882.7-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)43.643.487.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.243.883.0-4.550%-
vs Similar (7)38.038.076.0+0.057%-
vs Weaker (19)41.540.481.8+1.153%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#14
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#9
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#8
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#8
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cremona
#14
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H09/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#9
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A18/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A20/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H27/09
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#21
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A30/09
Eurocup
71.5Avg total
37.0Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.936.076.9+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.034.676.6+7.479%-
Last 30 away (16)40.037.177.1+2.956%-
Last 10 (10)37.034.571.5+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)38.635.874.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.045.078.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (3)39.342.081.3-2.70%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)41.434.976.3+6.577%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.0
49.5%
51.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.19.2
39.8%
35.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.013.1
77.1%
75.8%13.1
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.7
59.4%
51.2%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.09.6
40.0%
35.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.912.5
69.8%
75.8%12.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LLLWLLWWWL
Virtus Bologna
WWLWWWLWWW
#11
League position
#1
+7.8
Net rating
+22.2
116.3
Offensive rating
118.1
108.5
Defensive rating
95.9
53.3%
Effective FG%
59.6%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
45.4%
16.0%
Turnover %
19.2%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.8%
3-point %
40.0%
63.1%
Assist %
69.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence116.3 · 118.1Defence108.5 · 95.9Shooting53.3% · 59.6%3-point %39.8% · 40.0%Ball care16.0% · 19.2%Off. rebounds32.4% · 31.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Brescia   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Brescia wins
3
Virtus Bologna wins
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/20ABuducnost81-93
27/09/20AVarese89-94 OT
13/09/20AVarese100-102
10/09/20HCantu88-78
07/09/20HOlimpia Milano79-91
04/09/20AOlimpia Milano67-81
01/09/20HVarese89-88
29/08/20ACantu76-75
09/02/20HTrieste76-74
02/02/20ATrento56-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/20ALietkabelis76-61
27/09/20HCantu84-65
20/09/20AOlimpia Milano68-75
18/09/20ASassari88-76
13/09/20AReggiana74-72
09/09/20HCremona79-56
07/09/20HFortitudo Bologna84-86
04/09/20AFortitudo Bologna87-73
01/09/20HReggiana79-75 OT
29/08/20ACremona87-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game89.0-89.0
Allowed / game94.0-94.0
Point differential-5.0--5.0
Avg total183.0-183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %100%-100%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game84.084.0-
Allowed / game65.065.0-
Point differential+19.0+19.0-
Avg total149.0149.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano220100%95.567.5+28.0
2 Trieste110100%102.077.0+25.0
3 Virtus Bologna110100%84.065.0+19.0
4 Venezia220100%79.066.5+12.5
5 Sassari110100%95.085.0+10.0
6 Varese110100%94.089.0+5.0
7 Virtus Roma110100%81.076.0+5.0
8 Reggiana21150%79.084.0-5.0
9 Treviso21150%74.092.0-18.0
10 Brescia1010%89.094.0-5.0
11 Fortitudo Bologna1010%76.081.0-5.0
12 Trento2020%80.585.5-5.0
13 Brindisi1010%67.075.0-8.0
14 Pesaro1010%85.095.0-10.0
15 Cantu1010%65.084.0-19.0
16 Cremona2020%71.592.5-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2424122080
Virtus Bologna2324122281
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