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Varese vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Sep 2020
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 94-89 (OT)
17-23 16-20 26-16 22-22 13-8
Position#12
Record-
FormLWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Brescia
Italy
Position#11
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyLega ARound 1
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Varese v Brescia
14 Feb 2026
VAR98
BRE96
25 Jan 2025
VAR77
BRE118
30 Mar 2024
VAR92
BRE95
28 Jan 2023
VAR80
BRE72
26 Sep 2021
VAR75
BRE72
27 Sep 2020
VAR94
BRE89
13 Sep 2020
VAR102
BRE100
11 Mar 2020
VAR v BRE
upcoming
07 Oct 2018
VAR81
BRE80
16 May 2018
VAR64
BRE69
11 Feb 2018
VAR100
BRE72
19 Nov 2016
VAR68
BRE74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
W
84-79
84
79
+5
84avg 78
A05/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
87-93
87
93
-6
81avg 78
A12/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
91-85
91
85
+6
85avg 78
H19/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
76-79
76
79
-3
66avg 78
A26/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
77-110
77
110
-33
no box
H29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
L
88-89
88
89
-1
no box
A01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
W
84-77
84
77
+7
no box
H04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
L
72-81
72
81
-9
no box
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
77-91
77
91
-14
no box
A10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
W
102-100
102
100
+2
no box
H13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
14-27
22-11
25-24
25-28
18-22
27-25
17-18
20-20
22-18
33-21
16-26
20-24
28-20
13-20
15-15
16-32
25-27
19-33
17-18
31-22
20-25
22-19
15-23
24-22
14-16
24-20
22-19
18-22
17-19
19-21
18-19
20-19
21-23
18-25
18-24
33-29
17-24
32-30
20-17
172.2Avg total
83.8Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.888.4172.2-4.640%
Last 5 (5)84.687.6172.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.691.9171.5-12.212%
vs Similar ◀ (7)82.487.3169.7-4.929%
vs Weaker (15)84.575.1159.6+9.567%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
78-72
78
72
+6
79avg 77
H19/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
82-86
82
86
-4
71avg 77
H26/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
56-63
56
63
-7
44avg 77
A02/02
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
76-74
76
74
+2
68avg 77
H09/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
76-75
76
75
+1
no box
A29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
W
89-88
89
88
+1
no box
H01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
67-81
67
81
-14
no box
A04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
79-91
79
91
-12
no box
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
W
88-78
88
78
+10
no box
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
L
100-102
100
102
-2
no box
A13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-15
20-19
27-17
22-21
15-22
26-18
25-22
16-24
15-19
18-14
12-15
11-15
16-17
18-20
14-25
28-12
15-14
17-32
20-11
24-18
22-31
25-20
19-22
23-15
12-24
23-20
18-22
14-15
23-24
16-26
20-15
20-26
19-17
21-25
26-22
22-14
29-33
24-17
30-32
17-20
160.1Avg total
79.1Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.181.0160.1-1.950%
Last 5 (5)84.688.0172.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.888.2164.0-12.50%
vs Similar ◀ (7)76.977.7154.6-0.943%
vs Weaker (19)84.275.2159.3+9.079%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
VareseBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A05/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A12/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H19/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A26/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
41-59
41
59
-18
H29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
88.2Avg total
42.6Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.082.6+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.439.482.8+3.964%-
Last 30 away (16)40.142.482.5-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)42.645.688.2-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)43.044.287.2-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.946.886.6-6.912%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.741.781.4-2.043%-
vs Weaker (15)43.437.781.1+5.767%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H19/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H26/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A02/02
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H09/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
81.0Avg total
38.3Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.080.2+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.639.980.5+0.753%-
Last 30 away (15)39.740.279.9-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)38.342.781.0-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)42.847.490.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.043.581.5-5.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.937.175.0+0.757%-
vs Weaker (19)41.540.481.8+1.153%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.116.0
56.9%
51.2%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.512.4
38.2%
35.9%37.2
🏀 Free throws18.314.9
81.4%
75.8%14.9
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.4
50.5%
51.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.09.2
41.8%
35.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.713.0
77.8%
75.8%13.0
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WLLWLLLWLW
Brescia
LWLLWWWLLW
#12
League position
#11
+6.7
Net rating
+11.9
122.5
Offensive rating
117.1
115.8
Defensive rating
105.1
57.1%
Effective FG%
55.0%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
15.2%
Turnover %
16.7%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.2%
3-point %
41.8%
59.5%
Assist %
59.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence122.5 · 117.1Defence115.8 · 105.1Shooting57.1% · 55.0%3-point %38.2% · 41.8%Ball care15.2% · 16.7%Off. rebounds27.7% · 31.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Varese   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Varese wins
7
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
13/09/20Varese v Brescia102-100
01/09/20Brescia v Varese89-88
10/11/19Brescia v Varese91-74
20/01/19Brescia v Varese78-73
07/10/18Varese v Brescia81-80
16/05/18Varese v Brescia64-69 OT
14/05/18Brescia v Varese77-75
12/05/18Brescia v Varese68-61
11/02/18Varese v Brescia100-72
23/10/17Brescia v Varese73-67
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/09/20HBrescia102-100
10/09/20AOlimpia Milano77-91
07/09/20ACantu72-81
04/09/20HCantu84-77
01/09/20ABrescia88-89
29/08/20HOlimpia Milano77-110
26/01/20AFortitudo Bologna76-79
19/01/20HTrieste91-85
12/01/20ASassari87-93
05/01/20ATreviso84-79
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/09/20AVarese100-102
10/09/20HCantu88-78
07/09/20HOlimpia Milano79-91
04/09/20AOlimpia Milano67-81
01/09/20HVarese89-88
29/08/20ACantu76-75
09/02/20HTrieste76-74
02/02/20ATrento56-63
26/01/20HBrindisi82-86
19/01/20HOlimpia Milano78-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Brescia
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Roma110100%81.076.0+5.0
2 Treviso110100%84.080.0+4.0
3 Trento1010%80.084.0-4.0
4 Fortitudo Bologna1010%76.081.0-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Varese171626221394
Brescia23201622889
← all games of the day
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