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Olimpia Milano vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Sep 2020
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 81-67
24-12 20-23 22-18 15-14
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game104.3
Allowed / game70.0
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Italy
vs
Brescia
Italy
Position#10
Record2-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game81.5
ItalyLega A - Super CupRound 3
Other2020
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Brescia
05 Jun 2026
MIL91
BRE86
03 Jun 2026
MIL93
BRE68
01 Feb 2026
MIL81
BRE90
13 Oct 2024
MIL88
BRE85
27 May 2024
MIL77
BRE66
25 May 2024
MIL95
BRE89
28 Apr 2024
MIL83
BRE77
15 Feb 2023
MIL72
BRE75
02 Oct 2022
MIL78
BRE77
19 Feb 2022
MIL69
BRE63
12 Dec 2021
MIL76
BRE62
08 Nov 2020
MIL87
BRE56
04 Sep 2020
MIL81
BRE67
29 Sep 2019
MIL65
BRE73
25 Dec 2018
MIL87
BRE75
29 Sep 2018
MIL81
BRE59
26 May 2018
MIL89
BRE68
24 May 2018
MIL82
BRE85
26 Dec 2017
MIL74
BRE71
12 Feb 2017
MIL93
BRE79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
70-83
70
83
-13
no box
A29/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
83-89
83
89
-6
68avg 75
H05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
91-67
91
67
+24
100avg 75
H12/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
72-78
72
78
-6
58avg 75
A19/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
85-67
85
67
+18
84avg 75
A26/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
A01/02
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
H09/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
101-71
101
71
+30
no box
H27/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
W
110-77
110
77
+33
no box
A29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
W
102-62
102
62
+40
no box
A01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
20-22
16-17
14-20
19-22
17-26
26-13
21-28
19-22
22-19
20-15
30-11
15-9
19-20
17-27
21-22
23-15
18-19
25-12
19-21
14-16
18-18
24-15
21-25
23-16
19-23
17-22
18-13
26-18
28-20
24-16
23-17
32-16
27-25
33-19
18-17
24-18
30-13
27-15
21-16
161.0Avg total
86.8Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)104.370.0174.3+34.3100%
Season at home (1)101.071.0172.0+30.0100%
Season away (2)106.069.5175.5+36.5100%
Last 10 (10)86.874.2161.0+12.670%
Last 5 (5)93.471.6165.0+21.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)70.083.0153.0-13.00%
vs Similar (8)81.277.8159.0+3.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)84.473.3157.7+11.176%
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Cremona
#6
W
91-76
91
76
+15
90avg 78
H26/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
93-82
93
82
+11
89avg 78
A29/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
70-64
70
64
+6
62avg 78
H04/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
87-81
87
81
+6
84avg 78
A11/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
78-72
78
72
+6
79avg 78
H19/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
82-86
82
86
-4
71avg 78
H26/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
56-63
56
63
-7
44avg 78
A02/02
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
76-74
76
74
+2
68avg 78
H09/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
76-75
76
75
+1
no box
A29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
W
89-88
89
88
+1
no box
H01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
19-22
28-15
24-10
23-28
27-18
31-19
12-17
10-14
15-18
16-15
29-17
24-22
24-15
18-21
21-23
9-15
20-19
27-17
22-21
15-22
26-18
25-22
16-24
15-19
18-14
12-15
11-15
16-17
18-20
14-25
28-12
15-14
17-32
20-11
24-18
22-31
25-20
19-22
23-15
155.9Avg total
79.8Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.581.5164.0+1.0100%
Season at home (1)89.088.0177.0+1.0100%
Season away (1)76.075.0151.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.876.1155.9+3.780%
Last 5 (5)75.877.2153.0-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)83.889.0172.8-5.225%
vs Similar (8)76.878.2155.0-1.538%
vs Weaker (18)83.273.7156.9+9.583%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +3.8+3.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +3.8+3.8
Olimpia MilanoBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A29/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H12/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A19/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A26/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A01/02
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H09/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H27/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
W
59-41
59
41
+18
A29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
81.4Avg total
43.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.737.277.9+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.437.680.1+4.862%-
Last 30 away (14)38.636.875.4+1.950%-
Last 10 (10)43.338.181.4+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)48.236.684.8+11.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.046.086.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (8)40.637.077.6+3.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)40.736.977.6+3.862%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H26/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A29/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H04/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A11/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H19/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H26/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A02/02
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H09/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
78.5Avg total
37.8Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.579.2+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.339.780.0+0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)38.939.478.3-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)37.840.778.5-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)37.441.478.8-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)38.842.281.0-3.550%-
vs Similar (8)37.837.875.5+0.050%-
vs Weaker (18)40.739.780.4+1.050%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 24% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.316.0
46.6%
-32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.7
37.2%
-26.1
🏀 Free throws24.718.5
74.9%
-18.5
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.4
50.5%
-38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.09.2
41.8%
-27.6
🏀 Free throws16.713.0
77.8%
-13.0
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Sep 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWWWWWLWLL
Brescia
WWWLLWWWWW
#1
League position
#10
+5.4
Net rating
+11.9
109.1
Offensive rating
117.1
103.7
Defensive rating
105.1
50.3%
Effective FG%
55.0%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
19.3%
Turnover %
16.7%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.2%
3-point %
41.8%
55.9%
Assist %
59.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Olimpia Milano wins
5
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
19/01/20Brescia v Olimpia Milano78-72
29/09/19Olimpia Milano v Brescia65-73
20/04/19Brescia v Olimpia Milano92-86 OT
25/12/18Olimpia Milano v Brescia87-75
29/09/18Olimpia Milano v Brescia81-59
30/05/18Brescia v Olimpia Milano70-76
28/05/18Brescia v Olimpia Milano74-80
26/05/18Olimpia Milano v Brescia89-68
24/05/18Olimpia Milano v Brescia82-85
22/04/18Brescia v Olimpia Milano88-85 OT
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/09/20ACantu102-62
29/08/20AVarese110-77
27/08/20HCantu101-71
09/02/20HCremona77-74
01/02/20ABrindisi77-74
26/01/20ATrieste85-67
19/01/20ABrescia72-78
12/01/20HTreviso91-67
05/01/20HCantu83-89
29/12/19AVirtus Bologna70-83
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/09/20HVarese89-88
29/08/20ACantu76-75
09/02/20HTrieste76-74
02/02/20ATrento56-63
26/01/20HBrindisi82-86
19/01/20HOlimpia Milano78-72
11/01/20AReggiana87-81
04/01/20HVenezia70-64
29/12/19ACantu93-82
26/12/19HCremona91-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A - Super Cup 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game104.3101.0106.0
Allowed / game70.071.069.5
Point differential+34.3+30.0+36.5
Avg total174.3172.0175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brescia
Lega A - Super Cup 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.589.076.0
Allowed / game81.588.075.0
Point differential+1.0+1.0+1.0
Avg total164.0177.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sassari110100%114.071.0+43.0
2 Olimpia Milano330100%104.370.0+34.3
3 Virtus Bologna220100%83.070.5+12.5
4 Pesaro110100%83.071.0+12.0
5 Venezia220100%83.074.0+9.0
6 Trieste220100%83.580.0+3.5
7 Brescia220100%82.581.5+1.0
8 Fortitudo Bologna21150%90.583.5+7.0
9 Reggiana21150%82.582.0+0.5
10 Trento2020%78.081.5-3.5
11 Treviso2020%76.085.0-9.0
12 Brindisi1010%71.083.0-12.0
13 Varese2020%82.599.5-17.0
14 Cremona2020%71.591.5-20.0
15 Cantu3030%69.393.0-23.7
16 Virtus Roma1010%71.0114.0-43.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2420221581
Brescia1223181467
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