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Mornar Bar vs Cedevita Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 102-103
27-25 26-19 33-34 16-25
Position#10
Record3-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#2
Record6-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game81.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 11
Domestic2018
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Cedevita
15 Dec 2018
MBA102
CED103
10 Feb 2018
MBA89
CED94
04 Feb 2017
MBA74
CED79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cedevita winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#11
L
69-92
69
92
-23
H31/10
Eurocup
Cibona
#8
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A04/11
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
73-90
73
90
-17
A07/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#3
L
95-99
95
99
-4
H11/11
ABA League
Torino
#24
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H14/11
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
71-104
71
104
-33
A17/11
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
76-111
76
111
-35
A21/11
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
L
97-103
97
103
-6
H26/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A08/12
ABA League
Frankfurt
#16
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H12/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
26-23
8-22
12-21
10-28
26-14
13-21
24-21
12-23
21-27
14-22
26-18
25-32
18-30
23-20
29-17
20-21
25-19
20-20
21-23
16-23
16-27
27-25
12-29
15-31
26-31
13-26
22-23
23-27
19-27
27-19
28-30
23-14
18-15
23-24
20-29
26-25
16-21
15-18
26-23
174.2Avg total
80.7Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.290.0173.2-6.830%
Season at home (4)92.295.0187.2-2.825%
Season away (6)77.286.7163.8-9.533%
Last 10 (10)80.793.5174.2-12.820%
Last 5 (5)82.297.4179.6-15.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)80.794.2174.9-13.625%
vs Similar (12)81.982.2164.2-0.350%
vs Weaker (5)93.872.4166.2+21.4100%
This opponent (Cedevita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CedevitaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#8
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H11/11
Premijer liga
Alba Berlin
#4
W
109-102
109
102
+7
A14/11
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#6
W
95-81
95
81
+14
A17/11
ABA League
GKK Sibenik
#9
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A19/11
Premijer liga
Gdynia
#23
W
94-87
94
87
+7
H21/11
Eurocup
Bosco
#12
L
53-73
53
73
-20
A23/11
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
104-75
104
75
+29
H25/11
ABA League
Zadar
#2
L
63-69
63
69
-6
A06/12
Premijer liga
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
95-82
95
82
+13
H07/12
ABA League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A12/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-12
13-23
17-22
27-22
32-11
29-27
18-25
30-39
25-16
22-19
26-19
22-27
23-18
20-29
26-19
19-30
18-19
26-15
19-30
31-23
11-24
17-14
14-24
11-11
19-21
30-14
27-20
28-20
21-20
16-14
19-19
7-16
27-27
22-21
21-21
25-13
8-17
19-21
23-21
26-21
168.7Avg total
86.3Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)87.681.5169.1+6.160%
Season at home (6)88.779.5168.2+9.267%
Season away (4)86.084.5170.5+1.550%
Last 10 (10)86.382.4168.7+3.960%
Last 5 (5)78.275.8154.0+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.385.5166.8-4.233%
vs Similar (7)76.474.6151.0+1.943%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.679.8168.3+8.875%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
Mornar BarCedevita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#11
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H31/10
Eurocup
Cibona
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A04/11
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A07/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#3
L
43-62
43
62
-19
H11/11
ABA League
Torino
#24
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H14/11
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A17/11
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A21/11
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H26/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A08/12
ABA League
Frankfurt
#16
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H12/12
Eurocup
88.8Avg total
40.4Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.344.285.5-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.744.086.7-1.333%-
Last 30 away (15)39.844.484.2-4.640%-
Last 10 (10)40.448.488.8-8.020%-
Last 5 (5)39.648.287.8-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)42.049.791.7-7.725%-
vs Similar (12)39.041.880.8-2.833%-
vs Weaker (5)44.436.480.8+8.080%-
This opponent (Cedevita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CedevitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H11/11
Premijer liga
Alba Berlin
#4
W
61-38
61
38
+23
A14/11
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#6
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A17/11
ABA League
GKK Sibenik
#9
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A19/11
Premijer liga
Gdynia
#23
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H21/11
Eurocup
Bosco
#12
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A23/11
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H25/11
ABA League
Zadar
#2
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A06/12
Premijer liga
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H07/12
ABA League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A12/12
Eurocup
80.9Avg total
42.7Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.680.4+1.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.139.479.5+0.869%-
Last 30 away (14)41.739.881.5+1.964%-
Last 10 (10)42.738.280.9+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)38.038.676.6-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.343.080.3-5.733%-
vs Similar (7)38.341.379.6-3.057%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.237.780.9+5.581%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.3
52.6%
51.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.3
33.8%
33.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.513.0
66.7%
72.5%13.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cedevitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita: 92.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.323.7
57.4%
51.6%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.09.7
42.2%
33.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.815.7
72.0%
72.5%15.7
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LWLLLWLLLL
Cedevita
LWLWLWLWWW
#10
League position
#2
-17.3
Net rating
+11.4
105.7
Offensive rating
122.0
122.9
Defensive rating
110.6
51.8%
Effective FG%
59.5%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
16.3%
Turnover %
14.2%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.8%
3-point %
42.2%
57.3%
Assist %
55.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 122.0Defence122.9 · 110.6Shooting51.8% · 59.5%3-point %33.8% · 42.2%Ball care16.3% · 14.2%Off. rebounds30.7% · 30.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Cedevita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mornar Bar wins
4
Cedevita wins
DateGameScore
10/02/18Mornar Bar v Cedevita89-94
18/11/17Cedevita v Mornar Bar99-74
04/02/17Mornar Bar v Cedevita74-79
06/11/16Cedevita v Mornar Bar99-73
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/18HFrankfurt83-87
08/12/18AFMP Beograd84-82
26/11/18HIgokea97-103
21/11/18AUnicaja76-111
17/11/18ACrvena zvezda71-104
14/11/18HTorino86-83
11/11/18HBuducnost95-99
07/11/18AUnics Kazan73-90
04/11/18ACibona73-84
31/10/18HRytas69-92
Cedevitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/18ALokomotiv Kuban76-80
07/12/18HPetrol Olimpija95-82
06/12/18AZadar63-69
25/11/18HKK Krka Novo mesto104-75
23/11/18ABosco53-73
21/11/18HGdynia94-87
19/11/18AGKK Sibenik88-96
17/11/18AFMP Beograd95-81
14/11/18AAlba Berlin109-102
11/11/18HSkrljevo86-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2018
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW30%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %30%25%33%
Points / game83.292.277.2
Allowed / game90.095.086.7
Point differential-6.8-2.8-9.5
Avg total173.2187.2163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cedevita
ABA League 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW60%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game87.688.786.0
Allowed / game81.579.584.5
Point differential+6.1+9.2+1.5
Avg total169.1168.2170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda10100100%87.770.3+17.4
2 Buducnost108280%81.874.0+7.8
3 Mega Bemax107370%82.379.7+2.6
4 Cedevita106460%87.681.5+6.1
5 Partizan105550%83.081.2+1.8
6 FMP Beograd104640%81.182.9-1.8
7 Cibona104640%79.583.8-4.3
8 Zadar114736%83.586.9-3.4
9 Igokea114736%85.990.6-4.7
10 Petrol Olimpija103730%81.685.4-3.8
11 Mornar Bar103730%83.290.0-6.8
12 KK Krka Novo mesto103730%75.285.3-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar27263316102
Cedevita25193425103
← all games of the day
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