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Mornar Bar vs Mega Bemax Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 81-89
22-16 22-28 11-26 26-19
Position#8
Record7-15
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#6
Record8-14
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game82.7
EuropeABA LeagueRound 23
Domestic2016
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Mega Bemax
28 Oct 2018
MBA80
MBE84
30 Dec 2017
MBA87
MBE83
22 Feb 2017
MBA81
MBE89
02 Nov 2016
MBA87
MBE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Bemax winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#37
L
81-92
81
92
-11
H03/01
Champions League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
93-70
93
70
+23
H08/01
ABA League
Avellino
#10
W
60-53
60
53
+7
A11/01
Champions League
FMP Beograd
#9
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A15/01
ABA League
Juventus
#17
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A17/01
Champions League
Buducnost
#4
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H22/01
ABA League
Strasbourg
#9
L
70-83
70
83
-13
H25/01
Champions League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A30/01
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H04/02
ABA League
Zadar
#12
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A10/02
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-13
21-29
13-24
24-26
22-14
27-18
19-22
25-16
20-13
8-13
17-10
15-17
24-20
20-21
18-26
23-25
24-14
12-26
13-23
25-19
19-14
15-15
21-22
23-20
19-19
21-25
16-16
14-23
23-9
20-27
13-21
15-25
15-22
18-23
19-17
22-17
16-24
19-10
16-23
11-23
153.2Avg total
74.8Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.178.2155.3-1.032%
Season at home (11)79.470.7150.1+8.664%
Season away (11)74.985.6160.5-10.70%
Last 10 (10)74.878.4153.2-3.630%
Last 5 (5)71.079.0150.0-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)69.882.9152.7-13.211%
vs Similar ◀ (7)80.975.9156.7+5.043%
vs Weaker (5)76.080.4156.4-4.440%
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BemaxLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#9
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H11/01
Champions League
Cedevita
#3
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A15/01
ABA League
Oostende
#35
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A17/01
Champions League
Zadar
#12
W
92-75
92
75
+17
H22/01
ABA League
Tenerife
#2
L
73-98
73
98
-25
H25/01
Champions League
MZT Skopje
#13
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A28/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A04/02
ABA League
Igokea
#5
W
101-84
101
84
+17
H12/02
ABA League
KK Dynamic
#7
W
84-57
84
57
+27
H17/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#2
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H18/02
Korac cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
23-16
28-23
12-23
24-18
12-26
28-19
21-26
21-16
22-28
17-23
14-15
28-13
25-14
22-27
17-21
19-24
15-27
16-27
23-20
21-23
13-21
22-24
18-7
26-16
20-19
19-20
17-18
25-21
22-21
28-19
26-23
26-17
21-12
26-10
11-18
14-20
22-19
13-23
16-15
160.8Avg total
81.6Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.282.7164.0-1.536%
Season at home (11)84.882.2167.0+2.655%
Season away (11)77.683.3160.9-5.618%
Last 10 (10)81.679.2160.8+2.450%
Last 5 (5)81.273.2154.4+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.582.0155.5-8.515%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.477.5153.9-1.150%
vs Weaker (6)83.777.7161.3+6.050%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.1-1.1
Mornar BarMega Bemax
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#37
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H03/01
Champions League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H08/01
ABA League
Avellino
#10
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A11/01
Champions League
FMP Beograd
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A15/01
ABA League
Juventus
#17
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A17/01
Champions League
Buducnost
#4
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H22/01
ABA League
Strasbourg
#9
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H25/01
Champions League
Crvena zvezda
#1
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A30/01
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H04/02
ABA League
Zadar
#12
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A10/02
ABA League
75.5Avg total
38.6Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.340.377.6-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.439.478.8-0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)35.441.176.5-5.631%-
Last 10 (10)38.636.975.5+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)37.037.674.6-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)36.441.678.0-5.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.637.375.9+1.343%-
vs Weaker (5)38.639.878.4-1.260%-
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BemaxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#9
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H11/01
Champions League
Cedevita
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A15/01
ABA League
Oostende
#35
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A17/01
Champions League
Zadar
#12
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H22/01
ABA League
Tenerife
#2
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H25/01
Champions League
MZT Skopje
#13
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A04/02
ABA League
Igokea
#5
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H12/02
ABA League
KK Dynamic
#7
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H17/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H18/02
Korac cup
81.3Avg total
42.2Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.538.777.2-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.938.779.5+2.260%-
Last 30 away (15)36.138.774.8-2.520%-
Last 10 (10)42.239.181.3+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)42.037.879.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.440.575.8-5.18%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.637.976.5+0.760%-
vs Weaker (6)43.737.781.3+6.067%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.9
50.7%
51.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.5
36.2%
34.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.512.5
71.4%
73.3%12.5
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Bemaxtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Bemax: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.318.9
49.3%
51.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.3
30.4%
34.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.013.3
70.0%
73.3%13.3
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LLLLWLLWWL
Mega Bemax
LWWWLLWLLW
#8
League position
#6
+0.8
Net rating
+0.4
99.4
Offensive rating
100.3
98.6
Defensive rating
99.9
52.1%
Effective FG%
47.7%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
19.3%
Turnover %
17.4%
22.7%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.2%
3-point %
30.4%
54.0%
Assist %
66.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 100.3Defence98.6 · 99.9Shooting52.1% · 47.7%3-point %36.2% · 30.4%Ball care19.3% · 17.4%Off. rebounds22.7% · 33.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Mega Bemax
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mornar Bar wins
2
Mega Bemax wins
DateGameScore
21/12/16Mega Bemax v Mornar Bar60-53
19/11/16Mega Bemax v Mornar Bar93-87
02/11/16Mornar Bar v Mega Bemax87-85
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/17AZadar62-80
04/02/17HCedevita74-79
30/01/17ACrvena zvezda71-82
25/01/17HStrasbourg70-83
22/01/17HBuducnost78-71
17/01/17AJuventus74-82
15/01/17AFMP Beograd85-92
11/01/17AAvellino60-53
08/01/17HPetrol Olimpija93-70
03/01/17HCibona81-92
Mega Bemaxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/17HPartizan65-77
17/02/17HKK Dynamic84-57
12/02/17HIgokea101-84
04/02/17AKK Krka Novo mesto82-73
28/01/17AMZT Skopje74-75
25/01/17HTenerife73-98
22/01/17HZadar92-75
17/01/17AOostende74-82
15/01/17ACedevita85-89
11/01/17HStrasbourg86-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2016
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL32%
HomeWWWWL64%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%64%0%
Points / game77.179.474.9
Allowed / game78.270.785.6
Point differential-1.0+8.6-10.7
Avg total155.3150.1160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mega Bemax
ABA League 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW36%
HomeLWLWW55%
AwayLLLLW18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %36%55%18%
Points / game81.284.877.6
Allowed / game82.782.283.3
Point differential-1.5+2.6-5.6
Avg total164.0167.0160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)40% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2322196%85.767.5+18.2
2 Cedevita2317674%88.980.3+8.6
3 Buducnost2216673%82.175.5+6.6
4 Partizan2216673%79.574.2+5.3
5 Cibona23111248%79.980.0-0.2
6 Igokea22101245%74.978.7-3.8
7 FMP Beograd23101343%78.079.9-1.8
8 Petrol Olimpija2291341%79.581.9-2.4
9 Karpos2391439%74.880.6-5.8
10 Mega Bemax2281436%81.282.7-1.5
11 MZT Skopje2381535%78.482.8-4.4
12 Mornar Bar2271532%77.178.2-1.0
13 KK Krka Novo mesto2271532%71.880.7-8.9
14 Zadar2271532%77.987.4-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar2222112681
Mega Bemax1628261989
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