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Murcia vs Obradoiro CAB Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 08 May 2027
Tip-off: 17:30
Scheduled
Position#11
Record3-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game93.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
3.6/10
Below normal
Position#12
Record3-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game96.6
SpainACBRound 32· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Murcia v Obradoiro CAB
08 May 2027
MUR v OKA
upcoming
16 Mar 2024
MUR94
OKA81
27 Nov 2022
MUR80
OKA84
01 May 2022
MUR98
OKA80
27 Dec 2020
MUR93
OKA76
18 Nov 2018
MUR80
OKA58
05 Nov 2017
MUR60
OKA62
27 Nov 2016
MUR74
OKA76
27 Dec 2015
MUR87
OKA83
23 Nov 2014
MUR68
OKA64
19 Jan 2014
MUR47
OKA83
03 Feb 2013
MUR83
OKA77
04 Dec 2011
MUR60
OKA85
03 Dec 2010
MUR65
OKA74
19 Nov 2009
MUR86
OKA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Obradoiro CAB win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
100-94
100
94
+6
91avg 78
H04/10
ACB
Varese
#37
W
85-58
85
58
+27
89avg 78
H07/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#3
L
77-90
77
90
-13
64avg 78
H11/10
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
86-67
86
67
+19
80avg 78
A14/10
Champions League
Valencia
#2
L
93-116
93
116
-23
78avg 78
A18/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
88-81
88
81
+7
74avg 78
H24/10
ACB
Peristeri
#3
L
72-80
72
80
-8
60avg 78
H27/10
Champions League
Forca Lleida
#18
W
125-98
125
98
+27
117avg 78
H31/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
no box
A08/11
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
98-66
98
66
+32
no box
H11/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
28-28
24-27
30-21
16-8
23-14
27-20
19-16
13-16
20-28
24-22
20-24
15-17
19-15
32-23
20-12
14-25
22-33
24-28
33-30
18-17
19-23
26-18
25-23
15-16
17-17
18-27
22-20
34-21
26-19
25-25
40-33
20-22
19-25
16-16
16-27
29-19
21-18
15-11
33-18
173.5Avg total
89.5Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.193.3183.4-3.143%
Season at home (4)97.590.8188.2+6.875%
Season away (3)80.396.7177.0-16.30%
Last 10 (10)89.584.0173.5+5.560%
Last 5 (5)90.883.0173.8+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)85.297.5182.8-12.225%
vs Similar ◀ (6)87.793.8181.5-6.233%
vs Weaker (20)91.279.7170.9+11.585%
This opponent (Obradoiro CAB) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Obradoiro CABSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCAB
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
W
89-79
89
79
+10
no box
H26/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
95-65
95
65
+30
no box
A02/05
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
85-68
85
68
+17
73avg 78
H08/05
Primera FEB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
90-85
90
85
+5
88avg 78
A26/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
107-114 OT
107
114
-7
93avg 78
H04/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#18
W
91-89
91
89
+2
81avg 78
H11/10
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
79-72
79
72
+7
66avg 78
A17/10
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
76-106
76
106
-30
66avg 78
A25/10
ACB
Breogan
#6
L
90-110
90
110
-20
82avg 78
H01/11
ACB
Manresa
#16
L
99-100 OT
99
100
-1
no box
A07/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
19-27
20-23
24-15
28-21
25-13
19-22
23-9
26-24
21-18
18-14
20-12
14-27
29-19
22-24
25-15
22-22
21-32
26-21
30-24
22-21
27-22
20-17
22-29
25-23
21-15
20-16
13-18
19-20
14-29
17-30
26-27
22-20
21-30
19-32
28-28
19-19
17-16
12-20
25-18
178.9Avg total
90.1Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.396.6186.9-6.343%
Season at home (3)96.0104.3200.3-8.333%
Season away (4)86.090.8176.8-4.850%
Last 10 (10)90.188.8178.9+1.360%
Last 5 (5)87.095.4182.4-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.0100.5188.5-12.525%
vs Similar ◀ (1)90.085.0175.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker (25)94.375.7170.0+18.688%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +4.1+4.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +4.1+4.1
MurciaObradoiro CAB
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H04/10
ACB
Varese
#37
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H07/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#3
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H11/10
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A14/10
Champions League
Valencia
#2
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A18/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#14
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/10
ACB
Peristeri
#3
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H27/10
Champions League
Forca Lleida
#18
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H31/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A08/11
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H11/11
Champions League
80.5Avg total
40.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.682.6+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.940.283.2+2.761%-
Last 30 away (12)40.741.181.8-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.980.5+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.483.0+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.548.887.2-10.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.743.585.2-1.850%-
vs Weaker (20)42.938.080.9+4.870%-
This opponent (Obradoiro CAB) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Obradoiro CABLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H26/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
53-34
53
34
+19
A02/05
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H08/05
Primera FEB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A26/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H04/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#18
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H11/10
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A17/10
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A25/10
ACB
Breogan
#6
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H01/11
ACB
Manresa
#16
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A07/11
ACB
87.0Avg total
43.8Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.539.786.1+6.873%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.538.585.0+8.180%-
Last 30 away (15)46.440.987.3+5.567%-
Last 10 (10)43.843.287.0+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.084.4-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.247.889.0-6.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)43.046.089.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker (25)47.438.185.6+9.384%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.4
50.8%
55.8%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.710.7
32.7%
36.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws24.519.0
77.6%
76.0%19.0
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Obradoiro CABtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Obradoiro CAB: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.522.0
54.3%
55.8%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.5
31.7%
36.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.617.1
75.7%
76.0%17.1
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WLWLWLWLWW
Obradoiro CAB
LLLWWLWWWW
#11
League position
#12
+1.2
Net rating
+1.2
97.1
Offensive rating
105.5
95.9
Defensive rating
104.3
50.0%
Effective FG%
51.4%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
14.0%
Turnover %
9.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.7%
3-point %
31.7%
53.3%
Assist %
55.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.1 · 105.5Defence95.9 · 104.3Shooting50.0% · 51.4%3-point %32.7% · 31.7%Ball care14.0% · 9.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Murcia   ■ Obradoiro CAB
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Murcia wins
3
Obradoiro CAB wins
DateGameScore
16/03/24Murcia v Obradoiro CAB94-81
29/12/23Obradoiro CAB v Murcia79-87
08/04/23Obradoiro CAB v Murcia81-79
27/11/22Murcia v Obradoiro CAB80-84
01/05/22Murcia v Obradoiro CAB98-80
16/10/21Obradoiro CAB v Murcia70-104
19/05/21Obradoiro CAB v Murcia80-83 OT
27/12/20Murcia v Obradoiro CAB93-76
03/02/19Obradoiro CAB v Murcia91-79
18/11/18Murcia v Obradoiro CAB80-58
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HBamberg98-66
08/11/26AReal Madrid71-90
31/10/26HForca Lleida125-98
27/10/26HPeristeri72-80
24/10/26HLeyma Coruna88-81
18/10/26AValencia93-116
14/10/26ABamberg86-67
11/10/26HTenerife77-90
07/10/26HVarese85-58
04/10/26HBarcelona100-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AManresa99-100 OT
01/11/26HBreogan90-110
25/10/26ATenerife76-106
17/10/26ASan Pablo Burgos79-72
11/10/26HForca Lleida91-89
04/10/26HReal Madrid107-114 OT
26/09/26AMoraBanc Andorra90-85
08/05/26HGipuzkoa85-68
02/05/26AEstela95-65
26/04/26HEstudiantes89-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL43%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game90.197.580.3
Allowed / game93.390.896.7
Point differential-3.1+6.8-16.3
Avg total183.4188.2177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Obradoiro CAB
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game90.396.086.0
Allowed / game96.6104.390.8
Point differential-6.3-8.3-4.8
Avg total186.9200.3176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %29%33%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid770100%106.385.3+21.0
2 Valencia86275%100.689.1+11.5
3 Tenerife86275%87.179.6+7.5
4 Baskonia75271%95.084.3+10.7
5 Barcelona75271%97.394.4+2.9
6 Breogan85362%104.8100.1+4.6
7 Basket Zaragoza85362%92.889.1+3.6
8 Bilbao74357%92.092.6-0.6
9 Unicaja84450%87.984.1+3.8
10 Basquet Girona84450%88.195.4-7.2
11 Murcia73443%90.193.3-3.1
12 Obradoiro CAB73443%90.396.6-6.3
13 Joventut Badalona83538%90.590.4+0.1
14 Leyma Coruna83538%92.5101.2-8.8
15 San Pablo Burgos82625%91.493.0-1.6
16 Manresa82625%88.0101.0-13.0
17 MoraBanc Andorra81712%86.496.5-10.1
18 Forca Lleida81712%92.8104.6-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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