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Murray State vs Drake Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 01 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#25
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game67.5
vs
Position#38
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game62.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Murray State v Drake
01 Jan 2027
MURR v DRAK
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
MURR81
DRAK72
04 Feb 2025
MURR45
DRAK55
07 Feb 2023
MURR68
DRAK92
27 Nov 2019
MURR53
DRAK63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Drake win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#311
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A13/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
70-87
70
87
-17
H15/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
61-78
61
78
-17
A19/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A01/03
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
79-92
79
92
-13
H06/03
NCAA
Tennessee State
#186
W
94-64
94
64
+30
A02/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#338
W
93-71
93
71
+22
H08/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#389
W
94-57
94
57
+37
H11/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#328
W
99-78
99
78
+21
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-21
31-51
39-24
31-63
28-36
33-42
37-36
51-39
35-36
43-51
32-50
47-42
46-35
48-29
42-39
51-32
51-30
43-27
50-38
49-40
159.1Avg total
83.0Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)95.067.5162.5+27.5100%
Season at home (3)95.368.7164.0+26.7100%
Season away (1)94.064.0158.0+30.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.076.1159.1+6.960%
Last 5 (5)91.872.4164.2+19.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.489.7170.1-9.329%
vs Similar (14)81.377.8159.1+3.564%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)87.470.6158.0+16.9100%
This opponent (Drake) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#88
L
62-86
62
86
-24
A15/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
61-66
61
66
-5
H19/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A26/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
53-75
53
75
-22
H01/03
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
67-63
67
63
+4
A05/03
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
100-79
100
79
+21
A06/03
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
51-72
51
72
-21
A07/03
NCAA
Central College
#494
W
101-48
101
48
+53
H05/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H08/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#333
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-38
33-48
36-31
25-35
37-36
34-38
24-39
29-36
27-31
40-32
48-41
52-38
27-34
24-38
50-22
51-26
33-27
42-41
30-29
51-43
142.5Avg total
72.2Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.762.7148.3+23.0100%
Season at home (3)85.762.7148.3+23.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.270.3142.5+1.950%
Last 5 (5)81.667.8149.4+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)72.081.6153.6-9.68%
vs Similar (12)74.876.3151.1-1.650%
vs Weaker (5)82.468.0150.4+14.4100%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +0.6+0.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +0.6+0.6
Murray StateDrake
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#311
W
43-21
43
21
+22
A13/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H15/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A19/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H21/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A01/03
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H06/03
NCAA
Tennessee State
#186
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A02/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#338
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H08/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#389
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H11/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#328
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H14/11
NCAA
74.8Avg total
40.3Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.836.276.0+3.667%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.235.276.4+6.182%-
Last 30 away (13)37.837.575.4+0.346%-
Last 10 (10)40.334.574.8+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.238.482.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.739.976.6-3.157%-
vs Similar (14)37.936.274.1+1.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.033.378.3+11.7100%-
This opponent (Drake) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#88
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A15/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H19/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A26/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H01/03
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A05/03
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A06/03
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A07/03
NCAA
Central College
#494
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H05/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H08/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#333
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H14/11
NCAA
66.9Avg total
34.1Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.335.770.0-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.934.771.6+2.250%-
Last 30 away (14)31.336.968.1-5.636%-
Last 10 (10)34.132.866.9+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)37.630.668.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)33.939.072.9-5.117%-
vs Similar (12)33.036.269.2-3.250%-
vs Weaker (5)35.229.464.6+5.880%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Murray State wins
7
Drake wins
DateGameScore
22/01/26Drake v Murray State101-90
19/12/25Murray State v Drake81-72
05/02/25Murray State v Drake45-55
05/01/25Drake v Murray State59-66
18/02/24Drake v Murray State95-72
04/03/23Drake v Murray State74-62
08/02/23Murray State v Drake68-92
07/01/23Drake v Murray State82-64
27/11/19Murray State v Drake53-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HTexas Southern99-78
11/11/26HAlcorn State94-57
08/11/26HNorthwestern St.93-71
02/11/26ATennessee State94-64
06/03/26HIllinois (Chi.)79-92
01/03/26ABradley78-87
21/02/26HEvansville88-75
19/02/26AIllinois State61-78
15/02/26HBelmont70-87
13/02/26AIndiana State74-72
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSouth Dakota Coyotes81-72
08/11/26HSouthern Univ.75-68
05/11/26HCentral College101-48
07/03/26AIllinois (Chi.)51-72
06/03/26ABelmont100-79
05/03/26ASouthern Illinois67-63
01/03/26HNorthern Iowa53-75
26/02/26AValparaiso71-74
19/02/26HSouthern Illinois61-66
15/02/26ANorthern Iowa62-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game95.095.394.0
Allowed / game67.568.764.0
Point differential+27.5+26.7+30.0
Avg total162.5164.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Drake
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game85.785.7-
Allowed / game62.762.7-
Point differential+23.0+23.0-
Avg total148.3148.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State440100%95.067.5+27.5
2 Drake330100%85.762.7+23.0
3 Illinois (Chi.)43175%79.564.8+14.8
4 Belmont43175%73.562.2+11.2
5 Southern Illinois32167%85.070.0+15.0
6 Valparaiso32167%77.373.0+4.3
7 Indiana State42250%80.265.8+14.5
8 Evansville42250%76.076.2-0.2
9 Bradley52340%59.856.4+3.4
10 Northern Iowa52340%85.286.0-0.8
11 Illinois State41325%81.275.8+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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