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Murray State vs Drake Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 81-72
36-30 45-42
Position#102
Record8-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#271
Record6-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game68.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Murray State v Drake
01 Jan 2027
MURR v DRAK
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
MURR81
DRAK72
04 Feb 2025
MURR45
DRAK55
07 Feb 2023
MURR68
DRAK92
27 Nov 2019
MURR53
DRAK63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Drake winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
108-60
108
60
+48
H08/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
91-102
91
102
-11
A12/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
99-79
99
79
+20
H15/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H19/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
87-90
87
90
-3
A24/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A25/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
96-95
96
95
+1
H26/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
84-52
84
52
+32
H03/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H06/12
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
115-100
115
100
+15
A13/12
NCAA
1H
2H
47-23
61-37
42-49
49-53
48-39
51-40
43-23
46-45
40-43
47-47
17-40
43-33
45-43
51-52
33-28
51-24
47-34
34-34
47-42
68-58
169.7Avg total
91.0Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)90.578.5169.0+11.973%
Season at home (7)91.771.3163.0+20.4100%
Season away (4)88.291.2179.5-3.025%
Last 10 (10)91.078.7169.7+12.370%
Last 5 (5)87.277.6164.8+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.576.4149.9-2.938%
vs Similar ◀ (13)76.573.5150.1+3.054%
vs Weaker (9)79.767.4147.1+12.278%
This opponent (Drake) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Robert Morris
#74
L
79-81 OT
79
81
-2
H07/11
NCAA
Simpson (CA)
#601
W
89-51
89
51
+38
H11/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H15/11
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
71-62
71
62
+9
A18/11
NCAA
Buena Vista
#597
W
98-52
98
52
+46
H22/11
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
62-71
62
71
-9
H29/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A29/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
108-57
108
57
+51
H03/12
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H06/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
94-99
94
99
-5
H13/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-40
33-28
53-22
36-29
30-36
29-25
28-25
43-37
41-27
57-25
24-38
38-33
43-40
41-34
54-28
54-29
32-33
37-41
41-55
53-44
149.5Avg total
81.3Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.968.5149.4+12.555%
Season at home (9)81.768.6150.2+13.144%
Season away (2)77.568.0145.5+9.5100%
Last 10 (10)81.368.2149.5+13.150%
Last 5 (5)83.475.0158.4+8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.278.8154.0-3.50%
vs Similar ◀ (7)67.164.3131.4+2.957%
vs Weaker (18)73.660.3133.9+13.2100%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: +7.8+7.82nd half: +9.6+9.6
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: +7.8+7.82nd half: +9.6+9.6
Murray StateDrake
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H08/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A12/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H15/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H19/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A24/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
17-40
17
40
-23
A25/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H26/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H03/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H06/12
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A13/12
NCAA
77.3Avg total
40.9Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.233.467.6+0.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.632.569.1+4.169%-
Last 30 away (14)31.534.465.9-2.957%-
Last 10 (10)40.936.477.3+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)37.837.475.2+0.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)31.935.967.8-4.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.834.568.3-0.654%-
vs Weaker (9)36.829.766.4+7.189%-
This opponent (Drake) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Robert Morris
#74
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H07/11
NCAA
Simpson (CA)
#601
W
53-22
53
22
+31
H11/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H15/11
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A18/11
NCAA
Buena Vista
#597
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H22/11
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H29/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A29/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H03/12
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H06/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H13/12
NCAA
72.5Avg total
38.1Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.029.964.9+5.170%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.031.167.1+4.958%-
Last 30 away (11)33.327.861.1+5.591%-
Last 10 (10)38.134.472.5+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.838.877.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.541.075.5-6.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)30.931.662.4-0.757%-
vs Weaker (18)36.426.963.3+9.489%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Murray State wins
6
Drake wins
DateGameScore
05/02/25Murray State v Drake45-55
05/01/25Drake v Murray State59-66
18/02/24Drake v Murray State95-72
04/03/23Drake v Murray State74-62
08/02/23Murray State v Drake68-92
07/01/23Drake v Murray State82-64
27/11/19Murray State v Drake53-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25AAkron115-100
06/12/25HBellarmine81-68
03/12/25HMorehead State84-52
26/11/25HGeorge Washington96-95
25/11/25AMcNeese State60-73
24/11/25AMiddle Tenn. St.87-90
19/11/25HUALR89-68
15/11/25HNicholls State99-79
12/11/25ASMU Mustangs91-102
08/11/25HMiss. Valley St.108-60
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25HNorth Dakota St94-99
06/12/25HUAB69-74
03/12/25HWestern Illinois108-57
29/11/25AGeorgia Tech84-74
29/11/25HLSU62-71
22/11/25HBuena Vista98-52
18/11/25ACharleston71-62
15/11/25HSiu Edwardsville59-61
11/11/25HSimpson (CA)89-51
07/11/25HRobert Morris79-81 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %73%100%25%
Points / game90.591.788.2
Allowed / game78.571.391.2
Point differential+11.9+20.4-3.0
Avg total169.0163.0179.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%71%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Drake
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL55%
HomeWLWLL44%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1192
Win %55%44%100%
Points / game80.981.777.5
Allowed / game68.568.668.0
Point differential+12.5+13.1+9.5
Avg total149.4150.2145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (4)-
Overtime %9%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont1311285%82.871.4+11.5
2 Northern Iowa119282%72.457.6+14.7
3 Illinois State118373%81.267.5+13.7
4 Murray State118373%90.578.5+11.9
5 Bradley128467%78.969.6+9.3
6 Indiana State127558%77.372.2+5.1
7 Drake116555%80.968.5+12.5
8 Southern Illinois116555%80.673.5+7.2
9 Valparaiso116555%72.869.9+2.9
10 Illinois (Chi.)114736%75.773.3+2.5
11 Evansville124833%69.873.4-3.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State364581
Drake304272
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