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Murray State vs Drake Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 45-55
18-32 27-23
Position#214
Record11-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game70.9
vs
Drake 🏆
USA
Position#8
Record20-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game58.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Murray State v Drake
01 Jan 2027
MURR v DRAK
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
MURR81
DRAK72
04 Feb 2025
MURR45
DRAK55
07 Feb 2023
MURR68
DRAK92
27 Nov 2019
MURR53
DRAK63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Drake winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#141
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H03/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A05/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A09/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H11/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
A16/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H18/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
74-64
74
64
+10
A23/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
77-95
77
95
-18
H25/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A30/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
L
56-77
56
77
-21
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-33
43-41
26-26
40-33
33-27
38-41
26-21
32-26
36-33
40-43
35-41
26-33
34-32
40-32
37-55
40-40
25-20
49-58
19-43
37-34
143.1Avg total
69.8Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)73.770.9144.7+2.848%
Season at home (12)72.264.9137.1+7.258%
Season away (11)75.577.5152.9-2.036%
Last 10 (10)69.873.3143.1-3.540%
Last 5 (5)68.477.6146.0-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)70.374.1144.4-3.929%
vs Similar (15)70.074.1144.1-4.140%
vs Weaker (7)73.771.9145.6+1.957%
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A01/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
59-66
59
66
-7
H05/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A09/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
63-40
63
40
+23
H11/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H16/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
71-53
71
53
+18
A18/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H23/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
69-62 OT
69
62
+7
A25/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H30/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-32
37-42
26-26
33-40
31-31
33-26
25-20
38-20
34-30
32-32
32-25
39-28
43-29
38-42
35-25
20-30
36-24
30-28
28-27
47-38
128.6Avg total
68.4Scored
60.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)71.358.0129.4+13.391%
Season at home (13)71.254.1125.2+17.192%
Season away (9)71.663.8135.3+7.889%
Last 10 (10)68.460.2128.6+8.280%
Last 5 (5)72.460.6133.0+11.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)71.067.2138.2+3.880%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)73.362.6135.9+10.788%
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -3.5-3.51st half: +5.4+5.42nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +2.1+2.1
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -3.5-3.51st half: +5.4+5.42nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +2.1+2.1
Murray StateDrake
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#141
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H03/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A05/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A09/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
26-21
26
21
+5
H11/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A16/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H18/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A23/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H25/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
25-20
25
20
+5
A30/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
L
19-43
19
43
-24
A01/02
NCAA
62.7Avg total
29.6Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.134.766.8-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.233.665.9-1.431%-
Last 30 away (14)31.936.067.9-4.143%-
Last 10 (10)29.633.162.7-3.550%-
Last 5 (5)30.038.268.2-8.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)31.639.370.9-7.70%-
vs Similar (15)31.734.466.1-2.740%-
vs Weaker (7)30.333.163.4-2.957%-
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A01/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H05/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A09/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
25-20
25
20
+5
H11/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H16/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A18/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H23/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A25/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H30/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A01/02
NCAA
59.2Avg total
32.3Scored
26.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.028.764.7+7.473%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.326.864.1+10.576%-
Last 30 away (13)34.431.165.5+3.369%-
Last 10 (10)32.326.959.2+5.480%-
Last 5 (5)34.826.060.8+8.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)37.232.669.8+4.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)35.228.163.3+7.179%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Murray State wins
5
Drake wins
DateGameScore
05/01/25Drake v Murray State59-66
18/02/24Drake v Murray State95-72
04/03/23Drake v Murray State74-62
08/02/23Murray State v Drake68-92
07/01/23Drake v Murray State82-64
27/11/19Murray State v Drake53-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25AMissouri State56-77
30/01/25AEvansville74-78
25/01/25HBelmont77-95
23/01/25ASouthern Illinois74-64
18/01/25HBradley61-74
16/01/25AIllinois (Chi.)93-97 OT
11/01/25HValparaiso58-47
09/01/25ANorthern Iowa71-68
05/01/25ADrake66-59
03/01/25HIllinois State68-74
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25ASouthern Illinois75-65
30/01/25HNorthern Iowa66-52
25/01/25AMissouri State69-62 OT
23/01/25HValparaiso81-71
18/01/25AIndiana State71-53
16/01/25HIllinois State66-62
11/01/25HEvansville63-40
09/01/25ABradley64-57
05/01/25HMurray State59-66
01/01/25AIllinois (Chi.)70-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL48%
HomeWLWLL58%
AwayWLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %48%58%36%
Points / game73.772.275.5
Allowed / game70.964.977.5
Point differential+2.8+7.2-2.0
Avg total144.7137.1152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%42%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %13%0%27%
Drake
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeLWWWW92%
AwayLWWWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %91%92%89%
Points / game71.371.271.6
Allowed / game58.054.163.8
Point differential+13.3+17.1+7.8
Avg total129.4125.2135.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%77%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2220291%71.358.0+13.3
2 Bradley2318578%79.369.0+10.3
3 Illinois (Chi.)2315865%81.274.6+6.6
4 Belmont2315865%81.478.8+2.6
5 Northern Iowa2314961%75.067.7+7.4
6 Illinois State2314961%76.871.7+5.2
7 Murray State23111248%73.770.9+2.8
8 Indiana State23111248%80.079.6+0.4
9 Valparaiso23101343%76.974.6+2.3
10 Southern Illinois23101343%73.274.2-1.0
11 Evansville2391439%66.370.3-4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State182745
Drake322355
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