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Murray State vs Northern Iowa Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 60-89
31-39 29-50
Position#102
Record18-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game79.1
vs
Position#88
Record15-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game66.9
Allowed / game60.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Murray State v Northern Iowa
09 Feb 2026
MURR60
NORT89
17 Feb 2025
MURR67
NORT74
14 Jan 2024
MURR60
NORT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northern Iowa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#91
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H04/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A08/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
92-79
92
79
+13
H10/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H17/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
90-101
90
101
-11
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A24/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H29/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
86-103
86
103
-17
A01/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H04/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
50-32
36-34
42-30
37-39
45-36
47-43
47-37
38-44
41-44
49-57
38-37
38-44
29-35
36-35
40-54
46-49
40-33
41-41
43-34
48-47
163.6Avg total
83.1Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)86.379.1165.4+7.272%
Season at home (14)86.973.0159.9+13.993%
Season away (11)85.586.9172.5-1.445%
Last 10 (10)83.180.5163.6+2.660%
Last 5 (5)79.881.8161.6-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)82.686.7169.3-4.129%
vs Similar (16)83.077.9160.9+5.169%
vs Weaker (7)87.968.3156.1+19.6100%
This opponent (Northern Iowa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IowaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#362
W
62-48
62
48
+14
A04/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H08/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A10/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H14/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A17/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A22/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H24/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
50-65
50
65
-15
A29/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-18
28-30
32-36
33-42
37-40
32-35
32-29
29-40
18-22
26-32
16-24
38-35
37-38
44-38
19-27
31-38
41-21
30-34
30-23
31-26
124.6Avg total
61.8Scored
62.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)66.960.0126.8+6.962%
Season at home (14)71.959.9131.7+12.079%
Season away (10)59.960.1120.0-0.240%
Last 10 (10)61.862.8124.6-1.040%
Last 5 (5)63.460.8124.2+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)58.763.3122.0-4.70%
vs Similar (12)65.965.1131.0+0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)69.456.9126.2+12.579%
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: -2.8-2.8
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: -2.8-2.8
Murray StateNorthern Iowa
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#91
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H04/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A08/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H10/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H17/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A24/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H29/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A01/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H04/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A07/02
NCAA
78.7Avg total
41.5Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.236.175.3+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.632.974.5+8.688%-
Last 30 away (14)36.539.776.2-3.243%-
Last 10 (10)41.537.278.7+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)38.038.676.6-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.339.976.1-3.671%-
vs Similar (16)38.336.875.1+1.550%-
vs Weaker (7)44.130.774.9+13.4100%-
This opponent (Northern Iowa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IowaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#362
W
34-18
34
18
+16
A04/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H08/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H14/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
18-22
18
22
-4
A17/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
16-24
16
24
-8
A22/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H24/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
19-27
19
27
-8
A29/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H07/02
NCAA
57.4Avg total
29.6Scored
27.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.229.862.0+2.443%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.229.563.6+4.759%-
Last 30 away (13)29.730.259.9-0.523%-
Last 10 (10)29.627.857.4+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)28.626.655.2+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)27.030.757.7-3.70%-
vs Similar (12)31.931.563.4+0.442%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)33.627.961.6+5.757%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Murray State wins
4
Northern Iowa wins
Murray Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26ASouthern Illinois91-81
04/02/26HIllinois (Chi.)81-74
01/02/26ABelmont86-103
29/01/26HIllinois State65-70
24/01/26ANorthern Iowa76-81
22/01/26ADrake90-101
17/01/26HIndiana State85-81
10/01/26HValparaiso92-79
08/01/26AEvansville79-69
04/01/26HBradley86-66
Northern Iowalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26HBradley61-49
31/01/26HEvansville71-55
29/01/26ASouthern Illinois50-65
24/01/26HMurray State81-76
22/01/26AIllinois State54-59
17/01/26AValparaiso44-54
14/01/26HIllinois (Chi.)61-69
10/01/26ABradley69-75
08/01/26HBelmont65-78
04/01/26AEvansville62-48

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW72%
HomeWWWLW93%
AwayWLLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %72%93%45%
Points / game86.386.985.5
Allowed / game79.173.086.9
Point differential+7.2+13.9-1.4
Avg total165.4159.9172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northern Iowa
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeLLWWW79%
AwayWLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241410
Win %62%79%40%
Points / game66.971.959.9
Allowed / game60.059.960.1
Point differential+6.9+12.0-0.2
Avg total126.8131.7120.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%57%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %8%7%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont2722581%82.273.1+9.0
2 Murray State2518772%86.379.1+7.2
3 Bradley2617965%77.472.9+4.5
4 Illinois State2516964%76.867.6+9.2
5 Northern Iowa2415962%66.960.0+6.9
6 Illinois (Chi.)25131252%74.670.3+4.3
7 Valparaiso25131252%71.470.2+1.2
8 Drake26121446%77.675.0+2.6
9 Southern Illinois25111444%74.271.6+2.6
10 Indiana State25101540%75.274.9+0.3
11 Evansville2561924%67.774.5-6.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State312960
Northern Iowa395089
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