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Murray State vs Southern Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 84-81
47-34 37-47
Position#102
Record10-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Position#203
Record6-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game73.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Murray State v Southern Illinois
29 Dec 2025
MURR84
SOUT81
19 Feb 2025
MURR62
SOUT60
27 Jan 2024
MURR58
SOUT60
29 Dec 2022
MURR57
SOUT63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#265
W
99-79
99
79
+20
H15/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H19/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
87-90
87
90
-3
A24/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A25/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
96-95
96
95
+1
H26/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
84-52
84
52
+32
H03/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H06/12
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
115-100
115
100
+15
A13/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H19/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
48-39
51-40
43-23
46-45
40-43
47-47
17-40
43-33
45-43
51-52
33-28
51-24
47-34
34-34
47-42
68-58
36-30
45-42
36-39
49-40
165.3Avg total
87.7Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)89.378.1167.4+11.277%
Season at home (8)90.471.4161.8+19.0100%
Season away (5)87.688.8176.4-1.240%
Last 10 (10)87.777.6165.3+10.180%
Last 5 (5)89.274.2163.4+15.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.678.9153.4-4.329%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.974.2152.1+3.657%
vs Weaker (9)79.767.4147.1+12.278%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota St
#30
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A18/11
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
79-59
79
59
+20
A23/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H24/11
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A27/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H30/11
NCAA
High Point
#10
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A04/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
83-54
83
54
+29
H11/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
84-93 OT
84
93
-9
A13/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H19/12
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
46-53
39-39
33-24
46-35
35-36
38-45
29-42
29-32
29-33
45-32
34-46
52-38
34-27
49-27
36-32
38-42
35-30
33-45
34-39
35-34
150.9Avg total
75.9Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.873.5152.3+5.246%
Season at home (6)80.365.8146.2+14.567%
Season away (7)77.480.1157.6-2.729%
Last 10 (10)75.975.0150.9+0.940%
Last 5 (5)78.075.8153.8+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.874.0146.8-1.242%
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.576.0153.5+1.546%
vs Weaker (4)78.069.0147.0+9.075%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: +7.0+7.02nd half: +3.5+3.5
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: +7.0+7.02nd half: +3.5+3.5
Murray StateSouthern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#265
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H15/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H19/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A24/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
17-40
17
40
-23
A25/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H26/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H03/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H06/12
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A13/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H19/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A21/12
NCAA
75.3Avg total
39.2Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.633.968.6+0.763%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.532.468.9+4.271%-
Last 30 away (13)32.236.068.2-3.854%-
Last 10 (10)39.236.175.3+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)39.834.674.4+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.737.370.0-4.657%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.235.069.2-0.850%-
vs Weaker (9)36.829.766.4+7.189%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota St
#30
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A18/11
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A23/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H24/11
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A27/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H30/11
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A04/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H11/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A13/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H19/12
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A21/12
NCAA
70.7Avg total
34.5Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.832.867.7+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.229.365.5+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)33.536.369.8-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)34.536.270.7-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)34.634.869.4-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.834.067.8-0.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.432.668.0+2.869%-
vs Weaker (4)34.833.268.0+1.550%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Murray State wins
5
Southern Illinois wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25AValparaiso85-79
19/12/25HDrake81-72
13/12/25AAkron115-100
06/12/25HBellarmine81-68
03/12/25HMorehead State84-52
26/11/25HGeorge Washington96-95
25/11/25AMcNeese State60-73
24/11/25AMiddle Tenn. St.87-90
19/11/25HUALR89-68
15/11/25HNicholls State99-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25ABradley69-73
19/12/25HIllinois State68-75
13/12/25ARichmond Spiders84-93 OT
11/12/25HUT Martin83-54
04/12/25AHigh Point86-84
30/11/25HUALR74-65
27/11/25AMemphis58-74
24/11/25HUAB73-81
23/11/25ADelaware79-59
18/11/25ANorth Dakota St85-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %77%100%40%
Points / game89.390.487.6
Allowed / game78.171.488.8
Point differential+11.2+19.0-1.2
Avg total167.4161.8176.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%62%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Southern Illinois
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL46%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%67%29%
Points / game78.880.377.4
Allowed / game73.565.880.1
Point differential+5.2+14.5-2.7
Avg total152.3146.2157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %15%0%29%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont1412286%82.970.4+12.5
2 Illinois State1310377%81.067.3+13.7
3 Murray State1310377%89.378.1+11.2
4 Northern Iowa129375%71.258.1+13.1
5 Bradley139469%78.569.5+8.9
6 Drake137654%79.169.2+9.9
7 Indiana State137654%76.473.2+3.2
8 Valparaiso126650%73.371.2+2.2
9 Southern Illinois136746%78.873.5+5.2
10 Illinois (Chi.)135838%77.873.7+4.1
11 Evansville134931%69.472.8-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State473784
Southern Illinois344781
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