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Southern Illinois vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 68-64
34-30 34-34
Position#61
Record16-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game67.1
Allowed / game60.5
vs
Position#182
Record11-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game69.7
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Southern Illinois v Murray State
12 Jan 2027
SOUT v MURR
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
SOUT81
MURR91
22 Jan 2025
SOUT64
MURR74
21 Feb 2024
SOUT72
MURR68
24 Jan 2023
SOUT68
MURR64
11 Dec 2020
SOUT70
MURR66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#297
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H17/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A22/12
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A30/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
63-45
63
45
+18
H01/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H05/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A07/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A12/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H15/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H18/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-26
31-26
32-30
38-38
26-23
37-34
23-28
40-17
27-30
26-19
29-35
28-34
26-36
43-25
32-35
37-22
42-30
36-40
30-25
31-32
123.1Avg total
64.6Scored
58.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)67.160.5127.6+6.676%
Season at home (10)71.057.3128.3+13.790%
Season away (11)63.563.5127.0+0.164%
Last 10 (10)64.658.5123.1+6.190%
Last 5 (5)66.862.8129.6+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)59.863.3123.2-3.533%
vs Similar (13)63.461.2124.5+2.269%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)73.761.3135.0+12.591%
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#338
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H17/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A22/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H30/12
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
78-61
78
61
+17
A01/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H05/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A07/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A11/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H14/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A18/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-29
41-31
26-44
41-39
23-26
34-37
41-21
37-40
34-27
33-31
29-44
35-38
27-28
40-47
39-28
42-36
30-34
35-46
36-36
46-37
139.5Avg total
69.6Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)71.269.7140.9+1.655%
Season at home (9)72.263.8136.0+8.478%
Season away (11)70.574.5144.9-4.036%
Last 10 (10)69.669.9139.5-0.350%
Last 5 (5)71.874.8146.6-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)69.674.4144.0-4.838%
vs Similar (8)69.470.5139.9-1.150%
vs Weaker (14)75.262.4137.6+12.893%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +6.0+6.02nd half: +0.2+0.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +6.0+6.02nd half: +0.2+0.2
Southern IllinoisMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#297
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H17/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A22/12
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
26-23
26
23
+3
A30/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H01/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H05/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A07/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A12/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H15/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H18/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A21/01
NCAA
59.7Avg total
29.9Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.329.661.9+2.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.128.363.4+6.957%-
Last 30 away (16)29.830.860.6-0.944%-
Last 10 (10)29.929.859.7+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)31.832.264.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)25.232.757.8-7.50%-
vs Similar (13)32.829.261.9+3.662%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)35.628.564.1+7.264%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#338
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H17/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A22/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H30/12
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A01/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H05/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A07/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A11/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H14/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A18/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H21/01
NCAA
62.9Avg total
31.2Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.131.564.6+1.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.729.965.6+5.753%-
Last 30 away (15)30.533.163.7-2.627%-
Last 10 (10)31.231.762.9-0.530%-
Last 5 (5)32.234.066.2-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)31.233.664.9-2.438%-
vs Similar (8)30.533.063.5-2.538%-
vs Weaker (14)35.629.565.1+6.143%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Southern Illinois wins
0
Murray State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23AMissouri State61-57
18/01/23HEvansville78-70
15/01/23HIllinois State69-57
12/01/23AIndiana State69-61
07/01/23ANorthern Iowa57-69
05/01/23HDrake53-49
01/01/23HBelmont63-45
30/12/22AMurray State63-57
22/12/22ASoutheast Missouri State70-68
17/12/22HChicago State63-52
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23HIndiana State82-73
18/01/23ABelmont65-80
14/01/23HIllinois (Chi.)81-64
11/01/23ANorthern Iowa67-75
07/01/23ADrake64-82
05/01/23HBradley67-58
01/01/23AEvansville78-61
30/12/22HSouthern Illinois57-63
22/12/22AMiddle Tenn. St.67-83
17/12/22HAustin Peay68-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Illinois
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW76%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %76%90%64%
Points / game67.171.063.5
Allowed / game60.557.363.5
Point differential+6.6+13.7+0.1
Avg total127.6128.3127.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)50% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Murray State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW55%
HomeWLWWW78%
AwayLWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %55%78%36%
Points / game71.272.270.5
Allowed / game69.763.874.5
Point differential+1.6+8.4-4.0
Avg total140.9136.0144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%22%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %10%11%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Illinois2116576%67.160.5+6.6
2 Drake2115671%74.063.6+10.4
3 Belmont2115671%74.870.3+4.5
4 Bradley2113862%71.061.5+9.5
5 Indiana State2113862%78.070.0+7.9
6 Northern Iowa2011955%70.266.3+3.9
7 Murray State2011955%71.269.7+1.6
8 Illinois (Chi.)2191243%67.070.5-3.5
9 Valparaiso2191243%68.672.2-3.7
10 Illinois State2181338%65.568.2-2.7
11 Evansville2141719%61.975.3-13.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southern Illinois343468
Murray State303464
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