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Murray State vs Southern Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 57-63
23-26 34-37
Position#182
Record7-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#61
Record9-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game62.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Murray State v Southern Illinois
29 Dec 2025
MURR84
SOUT81
19 Feb 2025
MURR62
SOUT60
27 Jan 2024
MURR58
SOUT60
29 Dec 2022
MURR57
SOUT63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#55
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A17/11
NCAA
UMass
#224
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H18/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
77-60
77
60
+17
A20/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A27/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
70-67 OT
70
67
+3
H02/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
77-70 OT
77
70
+7
A04/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
L
58-69
58
69
-11
A10/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H14/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H17/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-28
53-51
36-33
33-38
41-28
36-32
34-30
32-39
35-27
27-35
29-30
33-32
25-32
33-37
27-42
39-23
27-29
41-31
26-44
41-39
139.9Avg total
70.6Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)72.069.8141.8+2.258%
Season at home (5)72.663.2135.8+9.480%
Season away (7)71.674.4146.0-2.943%
Last 10 (10)70.669.3139.9+1.360%
Last 5 (5)67.269.4136.6-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)74.079.7153.7-5.733%
vs Similar (6)67.870.8138.7-3.050%
vs Weaker (21)75.861.0136.9+14.895%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#151
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H18/11
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A22/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
W
64-61 OT
64
61
+3
A24/11
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
80-53
80
53
+27
A01/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A03/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H08/12
NCAA
Alcorn State
#131
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H11/12
NCAA
Lincoln Mo.
#215
W
88-51
88
51
+37
H14/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H17/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-27
21-17
30-26
19-30
33-26
24-31
41-21
39-32
38-46
34-39
28-39
43-35
30-30
44-38
38-23
50-28
32-26
31-26
32-30
38-38
130.0Avg total
68.8Scored
61.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)68.962.0130.9+6.969%
Season at home (6)74.558.7133.2+15.883%
Season away (7)64.164.9129.0-0.757%
Last 10 (10)68.861.2130.0+7.670%
Last 5 (5)73.262.6135.8+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)57.264.2121.5-7.00%
vs Similar (14)64.863.4128.1+1.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)75.959.5135.4+16.4100%
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: +4.4+4.42nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: +4.4+4.42nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +2.9+2.9
Murray StateSouthern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#55
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A17/11
NCAA
UMass
#224
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H18/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A20/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A27/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H02/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A04/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A10/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H14/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H17/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A22/12
NCAA
63.8Avg total
31.5Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.430.765.1+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.428.766.1+8.869%-
Last 30 away (14)30.932.963.9-2.036%-
Last 10 (10)31.532.363.8-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)26.835.462.2-8.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)32.734.066.7-1.367%-
vs Similar (6)29.734.764.3-5.033%-
vs Weaker (21)36.029.065.0+7.057%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#151
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H18/11
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A22/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A24/11
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A01/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A03/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H08/12
NCAA
Alcorn State
#131
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H11/12
NCAA
Lincoln Mo.
#215
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H14/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H17/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A22/12
NCAA
63.2Avg total
33.8Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.330.062.2+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.528.162.6+6.367%-
Last 30 away (15)30.131.861.9-1.733%-
Last 10 (10)33.829.463.2+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)32.029.661.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)24.631.255.9-6.612%-
vs Similar (14)34.030.664.6+3.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)36.927.664.5+9.275%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Murray State wins
1
Southern Illinois wins
DateGameScore
12/12/20Southern Illinois v Murray State70-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/22AMiddle Tenn. St.67-83
17/12/22HAustin Peay68-60
14/12/22HChicago State66-65
10/12/22ABellarmine58-69
04/12/22AValparaiso77-70 OT
02/12/22HIllinois State70-67 OT
27/11/22AChattanooga Mocs66-69
20/11/22ATulsa77-60
18/11/22HUMass69-71
17/11/22ATexas A&M88-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/22ASoutheast Missouri State70-68
17/12/22HChicago State63-52
14/12/22HLincoln Mo.88-51
11/12/22HAlcorn State74-68
08/12/22HIndiana State71-74
03/12/22ASt. Louis Billikens72-85
01/12/22AEvansville80-53
24/11/22ACalifornia Baptist64-61 OT
22/11/22AUNLV49-56
18/11/22HTennessee State57-44

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL58%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %58%80%43%
Points / game72.072.671.6
Allowed / game69.863.274.4
Point differential+2.2+9.4-2.9
Avg total141.8135.8146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %17%20%14%
Southern Illinois
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW69%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %69%83%57%
Points / game68.974.564.1
Allowed / game62.058.764.9
Point differential+6.9+15.8-0.7
Avg total130.9133.2129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%67%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)0% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake1310377%75.865.0+10.8
2 Indiana State139469%81.572.2+9.3
3 Southern Illinois139469%68.962.0+6.9
4 Bradley149564%68.659.7+8.9
5 Belmont149564%76.172.1+4.1
6 Illinois (Chi.)149564%68.466.7+1.7
7 Murray State127558%72.069.8+2.2
8 Valparaiso136746%70.274.2-4.0
9 Illinois State146843%66.668.4-1.8
10 Northern Iowa135838%69.966.5+3.5
11 Evansville134931%62.070.5-8.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State233457
Southern Illinois263763
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