PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Middle Tenn. St. vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 83-67
44-26 39-41
Position#143
Record7-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game64.6
vs
Position#182
Record7-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game68.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Middle Tenn. St. v Murray State
23 Nov 2025
MIDD90
MURR87
16 Nov 2024
MIDD67
MURR88
21 Dec 2022
MIDD83
MURR67
02 Dec 2020
MIDD78
MURR61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middle Tenn. St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Winthrop
#232
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A12/11
NCAA
Rice
#164
W
81-46
81
46
+35
H16/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
51-75
51
75
-24
A19/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#48
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H26/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H26/11
NCAA
Montana State
#54
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H27/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#252
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A01/12
NCAA
Maryville
#437
W
69-46
69
46
+23
H03/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
85-75 OT
85
75
+10
A10/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-41
40-35
44-18
37-28
22-41
29-34
40-26
24-28
33-26
42-37
33-32
39-39
35-29
29-42
41-25
28-21
30-30
40-40
40-47
33-35
136.1Avg total
70.2Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)71.064.6135.6+6.464%
Season at home (7)73.359.1132.4+14.186%
Season away (4)67.074.2141.2-7.225%
Last 10 (10)70.265.9136.1+4.360%
Last 5 (5)72.669.0141.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.877.4154.2-0.660%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.173.7149.8+2.450%
vs Weaker (13)73.462.2135.5+11.285%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wilson College
#489
W
90-53
90
53
+37
H13/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A17/11
NCAA
UMass
#224
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H18/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
77-60
77
60
+17
A20/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A27/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
70-67 OT
70
67
+3
H02/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
77-70 OT
77
70
+7
A04/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
L
58-69
58
69
-11
A10/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H14/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
46-27
44-26
35-28
53-51
36-33
33-38
41-28
36-32
34-30
32-39
35-27
27-35
29-30
33-32
25-32
33-37
27-42
39-23
27-29
41-31
139.2Avg total
72.9Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)72.568.5141.0+3.964%
Season at home (5)72.663.2135.8+9.480%
Season away (6)72.373.0145.3-0.750%
Last 10 (10)72.966.3139.2+6.670%
Last 5 (5)67.866.2134.0+1.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.079.7153.7-5.733%
vs Similar ◀ (5)68.068.4136.4-0.460%
vs Weaker (22)76.161.0137.1+15.195%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +2.7+2.7
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +2.7+2.7
Middle Tenn. St.Murray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Winthrop
#232
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A12/11
NCAA
Rice
#164
W
44-18
44
18
+26
H16/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A19/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#48
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H26/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H26/11
NCAA
Montana State
#54
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H27/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#252
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A01/12
NCAA
Maryville
#437
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H03/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A10/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H16/12
NCAA
66.1Avg total
34.6Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.832.066.8+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.129.965.9+6.269%-
Last 30 away (14)33.434.467.8-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)34.631.566.1+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)35.832.668.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.233.468.6+1.860%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.433.969.3+1.560%-
vs Weaker (13)34.230.564.7+3.654%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wilson College
#489
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H13/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A17/11
NCAA
UMass
#224
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H18/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A20/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A27/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H02/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A04/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A10/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H14/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H17/12
NCAA
64.1Avg total
33.5Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.130.465.5+4.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.428.766.1+8.869%-
Last 30 away (14)32.532.364.8+0.243%-
Last 10 (10)33.530.664.1+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)28.632.060.6-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.734.066.7-1.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)30.432.863.2-2.440%-
vs Weaker (22)36.529.365.9+7.259%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Middle Tenn. St. wins
2
Murray State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/22HChattanooga Mocs73-82
10/12/22ABelmont85-75 OT
03/12/22HMaryville69-46
01/12/22ASt. Bonaventure64-71
27/11/22HMontana State72-71
26/11/22HStephen F. Austin75-63
26/11/22HHofstra64-54
19/11/22AMissouri State51-75
16/11/22HRice81-46
12/11/22AWinthrop68-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/22HAustin Peay68-60
14/12/22HChicago State66-65
10/12/22ABellarmine58-69
04/12/22AValparaiso77-70 OT
02/12/22HIllinois State70-67 OT
27/11/22AChattanooga Mocs66-69
20/11/22ATulsa77-60
18/11/22HUMass69-71
17/11/22ATexas A&M88-79
13/11/22HWilson College90-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL64%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %64%86%25%
Points / game71.073.367.0
Allowed / game64.659.174.2
Point differential+6.4+14.1-7.2
Avg total135.6132.4141.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%71%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %9%0%25%
Murray State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%80%50%
Points / game72.572.672.3
Allowed / game68.563.273.0
Point differential+3.9+9.4-0.7
Avg total141.0135.8145.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %18%20%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sam Houston St.1210283%80.552.7+27.8
2 Western Kentucky108280%77.566.6+10.9
3 UTEP107370%72.368.1+4.2
4 Liberty139469%76.661.2+15.5
5 Kennesaw State128467%73.165.9+7.2
6 Delaware128467%71.268.9+2.2
7 Middle Tenn. St.117464%71.064.6+6.4
8 New Mexico State106460%79.664.6+15.0
9 Louisiana Tech127558%77.668.2+9.4
10 Jacksonville State126650%74.272.0+2.2
11 Missouri State125742%65.361.8+3.6
12 Florida International104640%74.977.1-2.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake1310377%75.865.0+10.8
2 Indiana State129375%83.572.6+10.9
3 Bradley128467%68.859.8+9.0
4 Southern Illinois128467%68.861.5+7.3
5 Murray State117464%72.568.5+3.9
6 Illinois (Chi.)138562%69.567.9+1.5
7 Belmont127558%77.074.4+2.6
8 Illinois State136746%67.869.5-1.6
9 Valparaiso136746%70.274.2-4.0
10 Northern Iowa114736%70.966.6+4.3
11 Evansville123925%61.171.2-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Middle Tenn. St.443983
Murray State264167
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.