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Murray State vs UT Arlington Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 26 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 79-66
44-30 35-36
Position#214
Record3-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game65.0
vs
Position#277
Record2-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game78.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UT Arlington winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#131
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A22/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H24/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
61-83
61
83
-22
H29/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A03/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
35-60
35
60
-25
H07/03
NCAA
Bethel (TN)
#689
W
113-37
113
37
+76
H05/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A09/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
88-67
88
67
+21
A16/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H21/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-41
39-31
36-44
44-24
30-38
31-45
39-51
38-38
14-27
21-33
54-19
59-18
39-41
29-42
44-30
44-37
36-30
43-31
30-35
45-42
144.1Avg total
74.4Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.665.0149.6+19.660%
Season at home (3)89.058.3147.3+30.767%
Season away (2)78.075.0153.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)74.469.7144.1+4.740%
Last 5 (5)84.665.0149.6+19.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)68.879.3148.1-10.50%
vs Similar ◀ (16)67.664.7132.2+2.950%
vs Weaker (3)78.061.0139.0+17.0100%
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT ArlingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#207
W
78-65
78
65
+13
A02/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
71-57
71
57
+14
H08/03
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
109-78
109
78
+31
H15/03
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
W
87-84
87
84
+3
A16/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
74-89
74
89
-15
A17/03
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#213
W
90-55
90
55
+35
H04/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
77-92
77
92
-15
H09/11
NCAA
USC
#215
L
95-98
95
98
-3
A14/11
NCAA
Texas College
#446
W
95-69
95
69
+26
H16/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A20/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-29
40-36
37-29
34-28
48-27
61-51
39-41
48-43
32-36
42-53
48-25
42-30
37-51
40-41
42-51
53-47
50-27
45-42
37-34
31-44
160.9Avg total
84.4Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.078.4163.4+6.640%
Season at home (3)87.372.0159.3+15.367%
Season away (2)81.588.0169.5-6.50%
Last 10 (10)84.476.5160.9+7.960%
Last 5 (5)85.078.4163.4+6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.782.7153.3-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)76.175.1151.2+1.047%
vs Weaker (9)83.971.8155.7+12.189%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: +2.1+2.1
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: +2.1+2.1
Murray StateUT Arlington
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#131
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A22/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H24/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H29/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A03/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
14-27
14
27
-13
H07/03
NCAA
Bethel (TN)
#689
W
54-19
54
19
+35
H05/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A09/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A16/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H21/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H23/11
NCAA
70.7Avg total
35.1Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.033.567.5+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.431.865.1+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)34.735.670.3-0.936%-
Last 10 (10)35.135.670.7-0.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.631.071.6+9.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.041.675.6-7.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)32.429.161.6+3.356%-
vs Weaker (3)35.735.070.7+0.767%-
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT ArlingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#207
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A02/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H08/03
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H15/03
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A16/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A17/03
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#213
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H04/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H09/11
NCAA
USC
#215
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A14/11
NCAA
Texas College
#446
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H16/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A20/11
NCAA
75.8Avg total
40.8Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.033.670.6+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.031.670.6+7.471%-
Last 30 away (16)35.235.270.5+0.044%-
Last 10 (10)40.835.075.8+5.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.680.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.739.073.7-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)34.933.468.4+1.553%-
vs Weaker (9)40.232.873.0+7.467%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Murray State wins
0
UT Arlington wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/24HUtah Valley State75-77
21/11/24HMd.-East. Shore79-61
16/11/24AMiddle Tenn. St.88-67
09/11/24APittsburgh68-83
05/11/24HBethel (TN)113-37
07/03/24HMissouri State35-60
03/03/24AIndiana State77-89
29/02/24HBelmont61-83
24/02/24HValparaiso80-68
22/02/24ASouthern Illinois68-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/24AMissouri State68-78
16/11/24HTexas College95-69
14/11/24AUSC95-98
09/11/24HLouisiana Tech77-92
04/11/24HNorth Texas-Dallas90-55
17/03/24AGrand Canyon74-89
16/03/24ATarleton87-84
15/03/24HStephen F. Austin109-78
08/03/24HCalifornia Baptist71-57
02/03/24AUtah Valley State78-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game84.689.078.0
Allowed / game65.058.375.0
Point differential+19.6+30.7+3.0
Avg total149.6147.3153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
UT Arlington
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game85.087.381.5
Allowed / game78.472.088.0
Point differential+6.6+15.3-6.5
Avg total163.4159.3169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake660100%76.359.2+17.2
2 Bradley76186%80.370.6+9.7
3 Belmont54180%83.275.2+8.0
4 Murray State53260%84.665.0+19.6
5 Valparaiso53260%79.864.2+15.6
6 Northern Iowa53260%79.667.4+12.2
7 Illinois (Chi.)74357%86.474.0+12.4
8 Illinois State74357%78.670.4+8.1
9 Indiana State63350%82.875.7+7.2
10 Evansville73443%71.073.6-2.6
11 Southern Illinois72529%76.076.9-0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Utah76186%84.068.6+15.4
2 Utah Valley State54180%81.268.6+12.6
3 Abilene Christian64267%82.771.0+11.7
4 California Baptist64267%79.576.0+3.5
5 UT Arlington52340%85.078.4+6.6
6 Utah Tech82625%68.174.5-6.4
7 Tarleton61517%59.082.0-23.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State443579
UT Arlington303666
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