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Nagasaki vs Diamond Dolphins Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 07:05
Final 76-91
20-21 19-25 17-22 20-23
Position#17
Record15-19
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#4
Record21-13
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game79.0
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center (Nagasaki)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nagasaki v Diamond Dolphins
07 Mar 2027
NAGA v DIAM
upcoming
05 Mar 2027
NAGA v DIAM
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
NAGA95
DIAM87
08 Nov 2025
NAGA91
DIAM96
03 Nov 2024
NAGA74
DIAM83
02 Nov 2024
NAGA87
DIAM68
06 Mar 2024
NAGA94
DIAM82
04 Feb 2024
NAGA90
DIAM96
03 Feb 2024
NAGA76
DIAM91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Diamond Dolphins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
64-79
64
79
-15
49avg 74
H30/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
68-86
68
86
-18
57avg 74
H31/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
L
73-79
73
79
-6
73avg 74
H06/01
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
92-64
92
64
+28
no box
H07/01
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
75-81
75
81
-6
71avg 74
H17/01
B League
Akita
#14
L
71-78
71
78
-7
64avg 74
A20/01
B League
Akita
#14
L
79-88
79
88
-9
77avg 74
A21/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
75-98
75
98
-23
59avg 74
H27/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
68-103
68
103
-35
57avg 74
H28/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
85-74
85
74
+11
89avg 74
A31/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
18-22
12-13
21-23
10-28
15-16
22-27
21-15
21-15
28-21
19-14
5-29
25-16
23-21
22-13
22-14
17-15
24-21
10-19
24-26
25-18
17-20
10-19
19-21
29-16
12-28
20-22
18-22
18-27
25-24
18-29
14-18
17-22
16-29
16-28
19-24
26-23
23-21
21-12
15-18
158.0Avg total
75.0Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)81.283.6164.8-2.444%
Season at home (18)77.482.5159.9-5.139%
Season away (16)85.484.8170.2+0.650%
Last 10 (10)75.083.0158.0-8.020%
Last 5 (5)75.688.2163.8-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)77.785.1162.8-7.436%
vs Similar (11)79.683.5163.2-3.936%
vs Weaker (5)85.279.4164.6+5.840%
This opponent (Diamond Dolphins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond DolphinsJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDolphins
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#10
L
77-83
77
83
-6
74avg 77
A29/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
55-77
55
77
-22
50avg 77
A30/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
79-92
79
92
-13
71avg 77
H06/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
74-80
74
80
-6
71avg 77
H07/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
77-75
77
75
+2
79avg 77
H17/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
85-91
85
91
-6
75avg 77
A20/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
94-82
94
82
+12
88avg 77
A21/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
89-85
89
85
+4
80avg 77
H27/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
82-73
82
73
+9
82avg 77
H28/01
B League
Osaka
#18
W
86-77
86
77
+9
81avg 77
H31/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
17-18
25-13
18-31
16-26
20-16
6-16
13-19
21-23
27-27
12-22
19-20
21-15
14-18
19-24
20-23
22-21
17-7
18-18
20-29
23-19
22-26
17-23
23-23
23-16
25-17
12-14
34-35
26-26
24-22
18-20
21-17
22-22
22-21
15-18
23-12
21-20
15-21
29-19
21-17
161.3Avg total
79.8Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)81.579.0160.5+2.562%
Season at home (17)81.879.2161.0+2.671%
Season away (17)81.278.8159.9+2.453%
Last 10 (10)79.881.5161.3-1.750%
Last 5 (5)87.281.6168.8+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.079.0152.0-6.017%
vs Similar (9)79.683.7163.2-4.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)84.776.4161.1+8.380%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
NagasakiDiamond Dolphins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H30/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H31/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H06/01
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H07/01
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H17/01
B League
Akita
#14
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A20/01
B League
Akita
#14
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A21/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H27/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H28/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A31/01
B League
82.6Avg total
40.2Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.441.883.2-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.641.780.2-3.138%-
Last 30 away (14)44.641.986.6+2.771%-
Last 10 (10)40.242.482.6-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.645.687.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.243.081.2-4.836%-
vs Similar (11)43.741.685.4+2.164%-
vs Weaker (5)45.238.884.0+6.480%-
This opponent (Diamond Dolphins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond DolphinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#10
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A29/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A30/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H06/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H07/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H17/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A20/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A21/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H27/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H28/01
B League
Osaka
#18
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H31/01
B League
81.7Avg total
41.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.481.1+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.739.081.7+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)40.739.880.5+0.940%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.281.7+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.642.086.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.840.781.5+0.250%-
vs Similar (9)41.038.279.2+2.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.539.682.1+2.960%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.3
53.4%
50.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.47.7
27.1%
33.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.310.9
66.9%
72.0%10.9
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Diamond Dolphinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Diamond Dolphins: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.3
52.2%
50.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.2
33.5%
33.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws14.011.0
78.6%
72.0%11.0
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
WLLLLLWLLL
Diamond Dolphins
WWWWLWLLLL
#17
League position
#4
-9.0
Net rating
-2.0
96.1
Offensive rating
106.3
105.1
Defensive rating
108.3
48.0%
Effective FG%
51.4%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
18.6%
Turnover %
21.0%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
37.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.21
27.1%
3-point %
33.5%
70.7%
Assist %
66.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.1 · 106.3Defence105.1 · 108.3Shooting48.0% · 51.4%3-point %27.1% · 33.5%Ball care18.6% · 21.0%Off. rebounds26.1% · 37.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Diamond Dolphins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nagasaki wins
1
Diamond Dolphins wins
DateGameScore
08/11/23Diamond Dolphins v Nagasaki101-97
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24AHiroshima D.85-74
28/01/24HNeoPhoenix68-103
27/01/24HNeoPhoenix75-98
21/01/24AAkita79-88
20/01/24AAkita71-78
17/01/24HKyoto75-81
07/01/24HShinshu92-64
06/01/24HShinshu73-79
31/12/23HHiroshima D.68-86
30/12/23HHiroshima D.64-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24HOsaka86-77
28/01/24HSendai82-73
27/01/24HSendai89-85
21/01/24ASeaHorses Mikawa94-82
20/01/24ASeaHorses Mikawa85-91
17/01/24HRyukyu77-75
07/01/24HNeoPhoenix74-80
06/01/24HNeoPhoenix79-92
30/12/23ABrave Thunders55-77
29/12/23ABrave Thunders77-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW44%
HomeLWLLL39%
AwayLLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %44%39%50%
Points / game81.277.485.4
Allowed / game83.682.584.8
Point differential-2.4-5.1+0.6
Avg total164.8159.9170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%6%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)80% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Diamond Dolphins
B League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayWLLLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %62%71%53%
Points / game81.581.881.2
Allowed / game79.079.278.8
Point differential+2.5+2.6+2.4
Avg total160.5161.0159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%18%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)83% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix3531489%90.776.4+14.3
2 Alvark3429585%81.867.0+14.8
3 Utsunomiya Brex3528780%78.468.2+10.2
4 Ryukyu34231168%80.176.0+4.1
5 SeaHorses Mikawa35231266%82.876.9+5.9
6 Chiba34211362%85.482.7+2.8
7 Diamond Dolphins34211362%81.579.0+2.5
8 Shimane35211460%84.278.4+5.8
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya35201557%77.075.2+1.8
10 Brave Thunders35191654%79.677.4+2.2
11 Hiroshima D.34181653%78.673.6+5.1
12 Saga34181653%75.375.0+0.3
13 Akita34171750%72.874.0-1.2
14 Gunma34161847%78.381.8-3.5
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles35161946%71.974.7-2.8
16 Nagasaki34151944%81.283.6-2.4
17 Yokohama35152043%76.682.4-5.8
18 Sendai34142041%78.580.6-2.1
19 Osaka34132138%77.782.4-4.6
20 Kyoto35122334%78.183.8-5.7
21 Hokkaido35112431%75.080.1-5.1
22 Shinshu3562917%71.283.9-12.7
23 Toyama3443012%73.784.9-11.1
24 Ibaraki Robots353329%73.185.5-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki2019172076
Diamond Dolphins2125222391
← all games of the day
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