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Nagasaki vs Diamond Dolphins Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 05 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 10:00
Scheduled
Position#21
Record6-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.1/10
Above normal
6.4/10
Above normal
Position#1
Record12-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game78.7
JapanB League· Happiness Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Nagasaki v Diamond Dolphins
07 Mar 2027
NAGA v DIAM
upcoming
05 Mar 2027
NAGA v DIAM
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
NAGA95
DIAM87
08 Nov 2025
NAGA91
DIAM96
03 Nov 2024
NAGA74
DIAM83
02 Nov 2024
NAGA87
DIAM68
06 Mar 2024
NAGA94
DIAM82
04 Feb 2024
NAGA90
DIAM96
03 Feb 2024
NAGA76
DIAM91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Diamond Dolphins win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
84-66
84
66
+18
79avg 78
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#16
L
85-89
85
89
-4
83avg 78
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
101-84
101
84
+17
100avg 78
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
97-76
97
76
+21
no box
A28/10
EASL
Kobe
#24
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 78
A31/10
B League
Kobe
#24
L
87-90
87
90
-3
86avg 78
A01/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
A06/11
B League
Sendai
#5
L
87-107
87
107
-20
no box
H09/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
73-82
73
82
-9
no box
A11/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
80-86
80
86
-6
no box
A14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
24-15
17-17
19-14
14-21
29-16
9-27
33-25
24-15
26-20
28-22
23-27
30-21
25-25
14-15
28-15
11-19
22-19
25-19
23-14
17-24
22-17
34-22
14-27
18-20
23-16
18-21
14-23
33-28
26-30
14-28
14-21
24-22
16-11
20-23
13-26
16-24
21-23
21-22
22-17
167.9Avg total
84.8Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.382.2159.4-4.933%
Season at home (8)78.080.8158.8-2.850%
Season away (10)76.783.3160.0-6.620%
Last 10 (10)84.883.1167.9+1.740%
Last 5 (5)80.089.0169.0-9.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)75.786.6162.4-10.918%
vs Similar (7)79.679.7159.3-0.143%
vs Weaker (12)85.073.8158.8+11.283%
This opponent (Diamond Dolphins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond DolphinsJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDolphins
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#12
W
90-78
90
78
+12
86avg 77
A11/10
B League
Shinshu
#20
W
92-77
92
77
+15
84avg 77
A19/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
W
98-69
98
69
+29
97avg 77
A21/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
W
96-85
96
85
+11
96avg 77
A25/10
B League
Shiga
#16
W
104-69
104
69
+35
105avg 77
H30/10
B League
Shiga
#16
W
87-64
87
64
+23
85avg 77
H01/11
B League
Toyama
#11
W
93-80
93
80
+13
no box
A07/11
B League
Gunma
#6
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
A09/11
B League
Akita
#23
W
110-94
110
94
+16
no box
A13/11
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
73-105
73
105
-32
no box
H15/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
11-21
24-14
27-18
13-18
32-18
25-24
22-17
24-19
24-26
31-15
19-9
23-25
20-22
20-21
33-17
31-20
29-18
24-13
20-18
28-10
23-21
17-19
19-14
22-15
23-20
26-27
22-18
18-23
16-21
25-20
17-23
26-25
31-23
27-19
26-27
14-26
14-21
26-37
19-21
172.7Avg total
91.9Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)91.278.7169.9+12.586%
Season at home (3)88.079.3167.3+8.767%
Season away (11)92.178.5170.6+13.591%
Last 10 (10)91.980.8172.7+11.180%
Last 5 (5)87.886.0173.8+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)76.885.2162.0-8.542%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)89.278.2167.4+11.172%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +4.2+4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +4.2+4.2
NagasakiDiamond Dolphins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#16
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A28/10
EASL
Kobe
#24
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A31/10
B League
Kobe
#24
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A01/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A06/11
B League
Sendai
#5
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H09/11
B League
Alvark
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A11/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A14/11
B League
85.1Avg total
44.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.380.0+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.339.680.9+1.756%-
Last 30 away (12)39.838.878.6+0.958%-
Last 10 (10)44.540.685.1+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.086.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.540.480.8+0.164%-
vs Similar (7)37.039.676.6-2.629%-
vs Weaker (12)43.038.281.2+4.867%-
This opponent (Diamond Dolphins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond DolphinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A11/10
B League
Shinshu
#20
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A19/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A21/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A25/10
B League
Shiga
#16
W
60-38
60
38
+22
H30/10
B League
Shiga
#16
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H01/11
B League
Toyama
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A07/11
B League
Gunma
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A09/11
B League
Akita
#23
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A13/11
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H15/11
B League
86.7Avg total
45.0Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.839.480.2+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (9)41.339.680.9+1.856%-
Last 30 away (21)40.639.380.0+1.352%-
Last 10 (10)45.041.786.7+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.041.084.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)34.443.177.5-8.717%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.136.982.1+8.278%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.9
54.3%
53.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.3
35.8%
32.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws14.110.8
76.6%
73.8%10.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Diamond Dolphinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Diamond Dolphins: 92.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.524.7
59.5%
53.6%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.2
33.5%
32.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.115.2
75.6%
73.8%15.2
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LLLLLWWWLW
Diamond Dolphins
LWLWWWWWWW
#21
League position
#1
+2.1
Net rating
+20.7
93.2
Offensive rating
103.7
91.1
Defensive rating
83.0
54.0%
Effective FG%
55.8%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
15.9%
Turnover %
13.5%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.8%
3-point %
33.5%
65.8%
Assist %
69.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence93.2 · 103.7Defence91.1 · 83.0Shooting54.0% · 55.8%3-point %35.8% · 33.5%Ball care15.9% · 13.5%Free throws0.22 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Diamond Dolphins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nagasaki wins
5
Diamond Dolphins wins
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AChiba80-86
11/11/26AAlvark73-82
09/11/26HSendai87-107
06/11/26AHiroshima D.73-80
01/11/26AKobe87-90
31/10/26AKobe81-71
28/10/26AMacau Hou Chon97-76
26/10/26HRyukyu101-84
23/10/26AShiga85-89
21/10/26ASaga84-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HTokyo Sunrockers73-105
13/11/26AAkita110-94
09/11/26AGunma76-87
07/11/26AToyama93-80
01/11/26HShiga87-64
30/10/26HShiga104-69
25/10/26ATokyo Sunrockers96-85
21/10/26AUtsunomiya Brex98-69
19/10/26AShinshu92-77
11/10/26AIbaraki Robots90-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game77.378.076.7
Allowed / game82.280.883.3
Point differential-4.9-2.8-6.6
Avg total159.4158.8160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%38%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%10%
Diamond Dolphins
B League 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL86%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWWLW91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14311
Win %86%67%91%
Points / game91.288.092.1
Allowed / game78.779.378.5
Point differential+12.5+8.7+13.5
Avg total169.9167.3170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%67%91%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1412286%91.278.7+12.5
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1812667%90.879.9+10.9
9 Levanga Hokkaido1711665%97.393.2+4.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Shimane167944%83.581.1+2.4
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Utsunomiya Brex167944%81.183.6-2.4
18 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Akita1851328%83.390.7-7.4
24 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
25 Saga161156%77.395.6-18.3
26 Osaka171166%70.490.4-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
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