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Nagasaki vs Diamond Dolphins Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 94-82
25-16 27-16 23-27 19-23
Position#17
Record16-25
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Position#4
Record28-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game78.1
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center (Nagasaki)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nagasaki v Diamond Dolphins
07 Mar 2027
NAGA v DIAM
upcoming
05 Mar 2027
NAGA v DIAM
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
NAGA95
DIAM87
08 Nov 2025
NAGA91
DIAM96
03 Nov 2024
NAGA74
DIAM83
02 Nov 2024
NAGA87
DIAM68
06 Mar 2024
NAGA94
DIAM82
04 Feb 2024
NAGA90
DIAM96
03 Feb 2024
NAGA76
DIAM91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Diamond Dolphins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
75-98
75
98
-23
59avg 74
H27/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
68-103
68
103
-35
57avg 74
H28/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
85-74
85
74
+11
89avg 74
A31/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
76-91
76
91
-15
68avg 74
H03/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
no box
H04/02
B League
Shimane
#12
W
99-92
99
92
+7
98avg 74
A07/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
81-101
81
101
-20
73avg 74
A10/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
76-97
76
97
-21
70avg 74
A11/02
B League
Gunma
#13
L
67-85
67
85
-18
55avg 74
H02/03
B League
Gunma
#13
L
78-91
78
91
-13
69avg 74
H03/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
25-24
18-29
14-18
17-22
16-29
16-28
19-24
26-23
23-21
21-12
15-18
20-21
19-25
17-22
20-23
23-28
18-27
20-14
22-14
18-21
29-26
24-17
28-28
16-33
29-21
21-22
15-25
15-37
12-19
23-18
26-23
22-20
14-26
17-23
14-16
24-26
24-19
19-22
11-24
172.3Avg total
79.5Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)81.185.2166.4-4.139%
Season at home (22)77.584.0161.5-6.532%
Season away (19)85.486.7172.1-1.347%
Last 10 (10)79.592.8172.3-13.320%
Last 5 (5)80.293.2173.4-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)79.488.9168.2-9.525%
vs Similar (11)77.585.1162.5-7.627%
vs Weaker (3)80.074.7154.7+5.333%
This opponent (Diamond Dolphins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond DolphinsJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDolphins
Date
Competition
Sendai
#16
W
89-85
89
85
+4
80avg 79
H27/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
82-73
82
73
+9
82avg 79
H28/01
B League
Osaka
#18
W
86-77
86
77
+9
81avg 79
H31/01
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
91-76
91
76
+15
90avg 79
A03/02
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
96-90 OT
96
90
+6
no box
A04/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
78-64
78
64
+14
76avg 79
A07/02
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
88-68
88
68
+20
86avg 79
A10/02
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
89-82
89
82
+7
90avg 79
A11/02
B League
Akita
#14
W
72-63
72
63
+9
74avg 79
H02/03
B League
Akita
#14
W
90-74
90
74
+16
91avg 79
H03/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
24-22
18-20
21-17
22-22
22-21
15-18
23-12
21-20
15-21
29-19
21-17
21-20
25-19
22-17
23-20
28-23
27-18
14-20
14-22
19-20
21-6
22-17
16-21
27-22
17-22
24-13
20-11
25-25
23-16
19-18
22-23
19-19
23-17
15-13
15-14
21-23
23-13
25-23
21-15
161.3Avg total
86.1Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)82.378.1160.4+4.268%
Season at home (19)81.778.1159.8+3.774%
Season away (22)82.878.1161.0+4.764%
Last 10 (10)86.175.2161.3+10.9100%
Last 5 (5)83.470.2153.6+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.878.5154.2-2.825%
vs Similar (9)77.980.9158.8-3.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.076.8162.8+9.288%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +2.4+2.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +2.4+2.4
NagasakiDiamond Dolphins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H27/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H28/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A31/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H04/02
B League
Shimane
#12
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A07/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A10/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
27-56
27
56
-29
A11/02
B League
Gunma
#13
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H02/03
B League
Gunma
#13
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H03/03
B League
90.3Avg total
40.8Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.143.883.9-3.640%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.443.281.6-4.829%-
Last 30 away (13)42.444.586.8-2.154%-
Last 10 (10)40.849.590.3-8.720%-
Last 5 (5)40.649.690.2-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.946.083.9-8.119%-
vs Similar (11)41.842.584.4-0.755%-
vs Weaker (3)46.036.382.3+9.7100%-
This opponent (Diamond Dolphins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond DolphinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sendai
#16
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H27/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H28/01
B League
Osaka
#18
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H31/01
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A03/02
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A04/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A07/02
B League
Kyoto
#21
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A10/02
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A11/02
B League
Akita
#14
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H02/03
B League
Akita
#14
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H03/03
B League
84.4Avg total
44.9Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.939.081.9+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.237.780.9+5.571%-
Last 30 away (16)42.640.182.8+2.544%-
Last 10 (10)44.939.584.4+5.480%-
Last 5 (5)43.636.680.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.539.581.0+2.050%-
vs Similar (9)40.736.377.0+4.344%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.440.384.7+4.165%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.5
50.4%
50.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.5
33.7%
33.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws16.912.1
71.6%
72.0%12.1
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Diamond Dolphinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Diamond Dolphins: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.3
53.1%
50.9%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.8
39.6%
33.5%32.4
🏀 Free throws13.010.3
79.2%
72.0%10.3
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LLLLWLLWLL
Diamond Dolphins
WWWWWWWWWW
#17
League position
#4
-17.8
Net rating
+15.9
101.4
Offensive rating
115.9
119.2
Defensive rating
100.0
50.5%
Effective FG%
55.6%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
18.8%
Turnover %
18.4%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
36.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.19
33.7%
3-point %
39.6%
68.9%
Assist %
70.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 115.9Defence119.2 · 100.0Shooting50.5% · 55.6%3-point %33.7% · 39.6%Ball care18.8% · 18.4%Off. rebounds26.9% · 36.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)20% · 100%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Diamond Dolphins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nagasaki wins
3
Diamond Dolphins wins
DateGameScore
04/02/24Nagasaki v Diamond Dolphins90-96 OT
03/02/24Nagasaki v Diamond Dolphins76-91
08/11/23Diamond Dolphins v Nagasaki101-97
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HGunma78-91
02/03/24HGunma67-85
11/02/24AUtsunomiya Brex76-97
10/02/24AUtsunomiya Brex81-101
07/02/24AShimane99-92
04/02/24HDiamond Dolphins90-96 OT
03/02/24HDiamond Dolphins76-91
31/01/24AHiroshima D.85-74
28/01/24HNeoPhoenix68-103
27/01/24HNeoPhoenix75-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HAkita90-74
02/03/24HAkita72-63
11/02/24AKyoto89-82
10/02/24AKyoto88-68
07/02/24AHiroshima D.78-64
04/02/24ANagasaki96-90 OT
03/02/24ANagasaki91-76
31/01/24HOsaka86-77
28/01/24HSendai82-73
27/01/24HSendai89-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL39%
HomeLLLLL32%
AwayLWWLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412219
Win %39%32%47%
Points / game81.177.585.4
Allowed / game85.284.086.7
Point differential-4.1-6.5-1.3
Avg total166.4161.5172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%5%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)80% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Diamond Dolphins
B League 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW68%
HomeWWWWW74%
AwayWWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games411922
Win %68%74%64%
Points / game82.381.782.8
Allowed / game78.178.178.1
Point differential+4.2+3.7+4.7
Avg total160.4159.8161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%21%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)83% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix4134783%90.278.5+11.7
2 Utsunomiya Brex4134783%79.168.1+11.0
3 Alvark4133880%81.969.1+12.8
4 Ryukyu41291271%81.677.0+4.6
5 Diamond Dolphins41281368%82.378.1+4.2
6 Chiba41271466%85.781.7+4.0
7 SeaHorses Mikawa41261563%81.876.6+5.2
8 Shimane41231856%83.378.7+4.7
9 Gunma41231856%79.080.2-1.2
10 Brave Thunders41221954%80.377.3+3.0
11 Hiroshima D.41212051%78.774.3+4.4
12 Sun Rockers Shibuya41212051%75.574.6+1.0
13 Saga41212051%75.274.7+0.5
14 Akita41212051%74.074.5-0.5
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles41202149%73.574.8-1.3
16 Sendai41182344%78.979.7-0.8
17 Yokohama41182344%76.982.0-5.1
18 Nagasaki41162539%81.185.2-4.1
19 Osaka41152637%77.682.5-5.0
20 Kyoto41132832%77.684.3-6.7
21 Hokkaido41122929%74.580.6-6.1
22 Ibaraki Robots4173417%73.785.1-11.4
23 Shinshu4163515%70.583.8-13.2
24 Toyama4143710%74.085.5-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki2527231994
Diamond Dolphins1616272382
← all games of the day
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