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Nagasaki vs Nagoya Fighting Eagles Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 08:05
Final 97-83
18-18 34-19 26-15 19-31
Position#1
Record38-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.1
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#23
Record16-31
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game83.0
JapanB League· Happiness Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nagasaki v Nagoya Fighting Eagles
05 Apr 2026
NAGA99
NAGO88
04 Apr 2026
NAGA97
NAGO83
10 Dec 2023
NAGA72
NAGO67
09 Dec 2023
NAGA71
NAGO84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagoya Fighting Eagles winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Nagasaki
5.5out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 87.5
83.2▼ 4.2
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.0
78.6▼ 0.4
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 59%
62%▲ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 21.3
22.6▲ 1.3
🔥 Form · Nagoya Fighting Eagles
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 80.0
76.8▼ 3.2
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.6
82.2▲ 0.6
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 55%
51%▼ 4%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 19.0
19.0▲ 0.0
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#5
W
97-80
97
80
+17
A14/02
B League
Gunma
#5
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A15/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
78-93
78
93
-15
H07/03
B League
Alvark
#8
L
70-91
70
91
-21
H08/03
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A11/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
81-95
81
95
-14
A14/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A15/03
B League
Sendai
#11
W
99-94
99
94
+5
H28/03
B League
Sendai
#11
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H29/03
B League
Osaka
#17
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A01/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
19-18
26-24
30-19
16-17
18-27
17-13
26-15
20-25
19-28
19-26
20-14
19-27
25-21
16-24
10-19
23-15
20-21
27-24
20-20
25-20
10-31
26-22
20-22
18-10
22-14
14-17
14-17
21-22
29-24
22-26
27-22
19-30
28-17
23-17
18-11
20-22
28-18
11-12
21-19
163.7Avg total
82.8Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)91.178.5169.5+12.681%
Season at home (23)91.278.1169.3+13.087%
Season away (24)91.078.8169.8+12.275%
Last 10 (10)82.880.9163.7+1.970%
Last 5 (5)83.278.6161.8+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)90.679.1169.7+11.575%
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#15
L
85-86
85
86
-1
H14/02
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
78-87
78
87
-9
H15/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
91-95
91
95
-4
H07/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
69-91
69
91
-22
H08/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A11/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
L
79-85 OT
79
85
-6
H14/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H15/03
B League
Shimane
#14
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H28/03
B League
Shimane
#14
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H29/03
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A01/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
17-15
22-20
23-28
19-18
17-21
21-27
21-21
26-24
18-25
31-26
16-20
13-23
16-23
12-21
28-24
27-23
13-25
17-13
15-15
17-27
19-20
21-13
16-13
14-14
22-16
15-30
23-22
21-27
16-18
22-14
19-25
14-26
22-17
23-15
20-19
20-18
18-24
19-19
17-22
162.5Avg total
77.9Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)80.183.0163.1-2.934%
Season at home (25)79.984.2164.1-4.428%
Season away (22)80.581.6162.0-1.141%
Last 10 (10)77.984.6162.5-6.710%
Last 5 (5)76.882.2159.0-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.181.8159.9-3.838%
vs Similar (15)81.984.2166.1-2.327%
vs Weaker (2)88.588.0176.5+0.550%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -1.1-1.1
NagasakiNagoya Fighting Eagles
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A14/02
B League
Gunma
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A15/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H07/03
B League
Alvark
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H08/03
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A11/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A14/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
40-24
40
24
+16
A15/03
B League
Sendai
#11
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H28/03
B League
Sendai
#11
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H29/03
B League
Osaka
#17
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A01/04
B League
84.7Avg total
42.1Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.840.686.4+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.540.487.9+7.173%-
Last 30 away (15)44.140.784.8+3.360%-
Last 10 (10)42.142.684.7-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.685.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)37.540.578.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)46.440.687.0+5.868%-
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#15
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H14/02
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H15/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H07/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H08/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A11/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H14/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H15/03
B League
Shimane
#14
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H28/03
B League
Shimane
#14
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H29/03
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A01/04
B League
79.9Avg total
37.2Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.641.481.0-1.833%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.142.981.9-3.824%-
Last 30 away (13)40.239.579.7+0.846%-
Last 10 (10)37.242.779.9-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)36.641.478.0-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.041.679.6-3.623%-
vs Similar (15)40.340.780.9-0.440%-
vs Weaker (2)44.545.590.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.719.1
58.4%
53.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.9
33.0%
33.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.813.9
78.1%
73.1%13.9
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagoya Fighting Eaglestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagoya Fighting Eagles: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.721.5
54.2%
53.1%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.77.3
27.3%
33.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws16.912.8
75.7%
73.1%12.8
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
WWWWLWLLWW
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
LWLLLLLLLL
#1
League position
#23
+1.0
Net rating
-7.7
95.3
Offensive rating
87.0
94.2
Defensive rating
94.8
54.1%
Effective FG%
48.9%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
15.9%
Turnover %
17.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.0%
3-point %
27.3%
74.1%
Assist %
66.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence95.3 · 87.0Defence94.2 · 94.8Shooting54.1% · 48.9%3-point %33.0% · 27.3%Ball care15.9% · 17.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Nagoya Fighting Eagles
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nagasaki wins
2
Nagoya Fighting Eagles wins
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/26AOsaka80-71
29/03/26HSendai88-75
28/03/26HSendai99-94
15/03/26ARyukyu68-58
14/03/26ARyukyu81-95
11/03/26AKyoto90-80
08/03/26HAlvark70-91
07/03/26HAlvark78-93
15/02/26AGunma77-72
14/02/26AGunma97-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/26AKyoto74-83
29/03/26HShimane79-77
28/03/26HShimane78-84
15/03/26HBrave Thunders74-82
14/03/26HBrave Thunders79-85 OT
11/03/26ADiamond Dolphins72-76
08/03/26HNeoPhoenix69-91
07/03/26HNeoPhoenix91-95
15/02/26HYokohama78-87
14/02/26HYokohama85-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW81%
HomeWLLWW87%
AwayWWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472324
Win %81%87%75%
Points / game91.191.291.0
Allowed / game78.578.178.8
Point differential+12.6+13.0+12.2
Avg total169.5169.3169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%65%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
B League 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL34%
HomeLLLLW28%
AwayLWLLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472522
Win %34%28%41%
Points / game80.179.980.5
Allowed / game83.084.281.6
Point differential-2.9-4.4-1.1
Avg total163.1164.1162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%16%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (16)33% (9)43% (7)
Overtime %9%8%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki4738981%91.178.5+12.6
2 Diamond Dolphins48371177%83.972.9+11.0
3 Utsunomiya Brex48361275%86.280.6+5.5
4 SeaHorses Mikawa47331470%83.877.3+6.5
5 Ryukyu48331569%81.474.7+6.7
6 Gunma48321667%82.573.4+9.1
7 Chiba48321667%82.576.1+6.4
8 Hokkaido48311765%88.285.8+2.5
9 Alvark47301764%80.478.1+2.3
10 NeoPhoenix48291960%85.182.2+2.8
11 Hiroshima D.48282058%86.983.3+3.5
12 Sendai48282058%81.079.6+1.4
13 Saga48252352%82.282.1+0.0
14 Shimane48232548%80.680.6+0.1
15 Yokohama48202842%79.182.2-3.2
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya47192840%76.981.0-4.1
17 Osaka48192940%80.282.7-2.6
18 Shiga48183038%80.785.0-4.3
19 Nagoya Fighting Eagles47163134%80.183.0-2.9
20 Altiri Chiba48163233%79.384.1-4.8
21 Koshigaya Alphas48163233%74.181.9-7.8
22 Kyoto48163233%72.480.2-7.8
23 Ibaraki Robots48143429%75.980.8-4.9
24 Brave Thunders48133527%75.683.3-7.6
25 Toyama48113723%81.089.8-8.9
26 Akita4783917%73.485.2-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki1834261997
Nagoya Fighting Eagles1819153183
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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