Nagasaki will host Sendai on 9 November 2026 in the B League, with the model favouring Sendai at 62% to 38% for Nagasaki, and projecting a 79-83 win for the visitors. Nagasaki, 18th in the standings, has a 6-9 record, averaging 76.7 points and conceding 80.3, while at home they are 4-3, 76.7 points for and 77.0 against, and have won three of their last five games; their recent outings include a 73-80 loss to Hiroshima D. away, a 87-90 defeat by Kobe away, and a 81-71 victory over Kobe away. Sendai, positioned fifth, boasts an 11-4 record, 86.3 points for and 79.3 against, and on the road are 3-2, 88.6 points for and 88.6 against, with four wins in five games; recent results show a 96-69 win over Alvark at home, an 87-79 victory over Tokyo Sunrockers at home, and a 73-80 loss to Tokyo Sunrockers at home. Historically, Nagasaki leads the six meetings 4-2, though the last encounter on 29 March 2026 saw Nagasaki win 88-75. The model sets the home line at 6.5, with a 60% chance of Nagasaki covering, and a 159.5 total with a 55% over probability, while the chance of overtime sits at 5%. The projected total of 162.1 points suggests a closely contested game that will likely see Sendai edge out Nagasaki by four points.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Nagasaki winLost
38.4%fair 2.61
Best odds3.10
Implied32.2%
Edge+6.2pp
Sendai winWon
61.6%fair 1.62
Best odds1.40
Implied67.8%
Edge-6.2pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 07 Nov 14:18 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 157Actual: Over 157
Over 157
61.5%
@ 1.66+5.7pp
Under 157
38.5%
@ 2.10-5.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.66
Under
Bet365
2.10
Over/Under 162.25 · main lineActual: Over 162.25
Over 162.25
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under 162.25
no forecast
@ 1.80
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.82
Under
1xBet
1.80
Over/Under 167Actual: Over 167
Over 167
37.3%
Under 167
62.7%
@ 1.53
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
Marathon Be
1.53
📊 3. Team Totals
Nagasaki total 74.5Actual: Nagasaki over 74.5
Over 74.5
67.7%
@ 1.50+5.2pp
Under 74.5
32.3%
@ 2.55-5.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.40
Under
Betano
2.55
Bet365
2.50
1xBet
2.31
Nagasaki total 78.5 · main lineActual: Nagasaki over 78.5
Over 78.5
52.8%
@ 1.85+2.8pp
Under 78.5
47.2%
@ 1.88-2.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
Betano
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.76
Under
BetVictor
1.88
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.79
1xBet
1.68
Nagasaki total 82.5Actual: Nagasaki over 82.5
Over 82.5
37.7%
@ 2.70+2.1pp
Under 82.5
62.3%
@ 1.42-2.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.70
Betano
2.57
1xBet
2.45
Under
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.41
1xBet
1.37
Sendai total 78.5Actual: Sendai over 78.5
Over 78.5
65.8%
@ 1.42-0.2pp
Under 78.5
34.2%
@ 2.74+0.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.31
Under
1xBet
2.74
Betano
2.57
Sendai total 82.5 · main lineActual: Sendai over 82.5
Over 82.5
50.6%
@ 1.83-3.4pp
Under 82.5
49.4%
@ 2.00+3.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.58
Under
Betano
2.00
1xBet
1.91
Bet365
1.83
Sendai total 86.5Actual: Sendai over 86.5
Over 86.5
35.4%
@ 2.32-5.1pp
Under 86.5
64.6%
@ 1.52+5.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.32
1xBet
2.10
Under
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.48
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Nagasaki +2.5Actual: Sendai -2.5
NAGA +2.5
45.6%
@ 2.55+5.2pp
SEND -2.5
54.4%
@ 1.57-5.2pp
Best 5 market prices
NAGA
Bet365
2.55
Pinnacle
2.32
1xBet
2.32
Betano
2.27
SEND
Pinnacle
1.57
Betano
1.55
Marathon Be
1.50
Bet365
1.47
1xBet
1.43
Spread Nagasaki +5.5 · main lineActual: Sendai -5.5
NAGA +5.5
56.6%
@ 2.00+6.2pp
SEND -5.5
43.4%
@ 1.92-6.2pp
Best 5 market prices
NAGA
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Be
1.87
SBO
1.87
Betfair
1.83
SEND
Pinnacle
1.92
BetVictor
1.88
Betano
1.85
Betfair
1.83
SBO
1.81
Spread Nagasaki +8.5Actual: Sendai -8.5
NAGA +8.5
67.3%
@ 1.66+5.7pp
SEND -8.5
32.7%
@ 2.46-5.7pp
Best 5 market prices
NAGA
Bet365
1.66
Marathon Be
1.55
Pinnacle
1.53
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.49
SEND
Pinnacle
2.46
Betano
2.32
1xBet
2.18
Bet365
2.10
⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves
Quarter by quarter
NagasakiSendai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KCC Egis
#1
L
16-26
16
26
-10
H14/10
EASL
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
20-30
20
30
-10
A17/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#21
W
17-15
17
15
+2
H19/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
24-20
24
20
+4
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#16
L
14-21
14
21
-7
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
24-15
24
15
+9
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
30-21
30
21
+9
A28/10
EASL
Kobe
#23
L
11-19
11
19
-8
A31/10
B League
Kobe
#23
L
17-24
17
24
-7
A01/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#1
L
18-20
18
20
-2
A06/11
B League
40.2Avg total
19.1Scored
21.1Allowed
1st quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)
19.7
19.2
39.0
+0.5
57%
47%
Last 30 at home (18)
20.3
18.3
38.6
+2.1
67%
44%
Last 30 away (12)
18.8
20.7
39.5
-1.8
42%
50%
Last 10 (10)
19.1
21.1
40.2
-2.0
40%
50%
Last 5 (5)
20.0
19.8
39.8
+0.2
40%
40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)
17.1
19.8
36.9
-2.7
22%
33%
vs Similar (6)
16.2
19.0
35.2
-2.8
33%
33%
vs Weaker (15)
22.7
19.0
41.7
+3.7
87%
60%
This opponent (Sendai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Nagasaki +10
72.7%
1.54
Bet365
1.54
-
-
-
-
+12.3pp
Lost
Nagasaki +16.5
87.4%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+9.6pp
Lost
Sendai under 93.5
85.4%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+9.2pp
Lost
Sendai under 91.5
80.5%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+9.1pp
Lost
Sendai under 95.5
89.4%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
+8.9pp
Lost
Sendai under 94.5
87.5%
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
-
+8.7pp
Lost
Nagasaki +15.5
85.6%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+7.8pp
Lost
Nagasaki +21.5
93.9%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+7.8pp
Won
Nagasaki +9.5
70.5%
1.48
Bet365
1.58
Marathon Bet
1.48
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.41
-
+7.6pp
Lost
Sendai under 89.5
74.7%
1.35
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.30
-
-
-
+7.6pp
Lost
Nagasaki +13.5
81.4%
1.24
Betano
1.24
-
-
-
-
+7.5pp
Lost
Sendai under 97.5
92.5%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+7.4pp
Lost
Nagasaki +11.5
76.4%
1.35
Bet365
1.43
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.28
-
-
+7.4pp
Lost
Nagasaki +12.5
79.0%
1.28
Betano
1.28
-
-
-
-
+7.2pp
Lost
Nagasaki +10.5
73.5%
1.41
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.34
-
-
+7.2pp
Lost
Nagasaki over 73.5
71.1%
1.40
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.34
-
-
-
+6.9pp
Won
Nagasaki +20.5
92.9%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+6.8pp
Won
Nagasaki over 68.5
85.3%
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
-
+6.4pp
Won
Nagasaki over 72.5
74.4%
1.33
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.29
-
-
-
+6.0pp
Won
Sendai under 88.5
71.5%
1.37
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.35
-
-
-
+6.0pp
Lost
Nagasaki over 70.5
80.3%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+5.8pp
Won
Sendai +19.5
97.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.2pp
Won
Sendai +14.5
93.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+3.8pp
Won
Sendai +18.5
96.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.7pp
Won
Under 187.5
93.3%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+3.6pp
Lost
Nagasaki under 98.5
96.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.6pp
Won
Overtime: no
94.8%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+3.5pp
-
Nagasaki under 96.5
94.7%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.5pp
Won
Nagasaki under 97.5
95.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.3pp
Won
Under 177.5
82.5%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+3.0pp
Lost
Over 137.5
93.1%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+2.9pp
Won
Nagasaki under 94.5
92.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+2.8pp
Won
Over 152.5
71.3%
1.34
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
+2.5pp
Won
Under 182.5
88.9%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
+2.2pp
Lost
Under 172.5
74.0%
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
-
+2.1pp
Lost
Sendai +13.5
92.3%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+2.1pp
Won
Sendai over 69.5
90.1%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+1.8pp
Won
Nagasaki under 92.5
89.5%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+1.2pp
Won
Over 142.5
88.0%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+0.9pp
Won
Sendai +9.5
86.4%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+0.3pp
Won
Over 147.5
80.7%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
+0.2pp
Won
Nagasaki under 90.5
85.7%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+0.2pp
Won
Sendai over 71.5
86.2%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+0.1pp
Won
Sendai over 73.5
81.5%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
+0.0pp
Won
Nagasaki under 88.5
81.1%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
-0.4pp
Won
Nagasaki under 87.5
78.4%
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
-
-0.4pp
Won
Sendai over 74.5
78.8%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
-0.8pp
Won
Sendai +8.5
84.4%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-1.7pp
Won
Sendai +4.5
74.2%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-2.0pp
Won
Sendai over 75.5
75.8%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
-2.0pp
Won
Nagasaki under 86.5
75.6%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
-2.2pp
Lost
Sendai +3.5
71.1%
1.22
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-4.7pp
Won
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They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Nagasaki: 77.7 points a game allowed
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
41.1
20.3
49.4%
53.6%
40.6
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
26.6
8.4
31.6%
32.9%
25.2
🏀Free throws
16.4
11.9
72.6%
73.8%
11.9
Their opponents take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Sendaitheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Sendai: 77.8 points a game allowed
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
39.9
21.8
54.6%
53.6%
43.6
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
27.7
8.0
28.9%
32.9%
24.0
🏀Free throws
13.6
10.2
75.0%
73.8%
10.2
Their opponents take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Nagasaki: 78.6 points a game allowed
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
39.4
19.8
50.3%
53.6%
39.6
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
25.9
8.5
32.9%
32.9%
25.6
🏀Free throws
18.5
13.4
72.6%
73.8%
13.4
Their opponents take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Sendaitheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Sendai: 80.6 points a game allowed
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.5 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
37.9
20.7
54.7%
53.6%
41.5
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
28.8
9.2
32.1%
32.9%
27.7
🏀Free throws
15.4
11.5
74.5%
73.8%
11.5
Their opponents take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
💪 9. Team Strengths
Side by side
Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LLWWWLWLLL
Sendai
WWLWWWWWWW
#20
League position
#5
+2.1
Net rating
+8.1
93.2
Offensive rating
97.8
91.1
Defensive rating
89.7
54.0%
Effective FG%
53.5%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
15.9%
Turnover %
13.3%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.22
35.8%
3-point %
34.9%
65.8%
Assist %
65.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%
Profile
■ Nagasaki■ Sendai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
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Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the
pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the
operation of our website.
Session and security cookies, your logged-in state, your
subscription status, and the record of this cookie choice itself. These cannot be switched
off because the site cannot be delivered without them.
Functionality Cookies
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site
behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to
build a profile of you.
Your preferred tours and filters, which notices you have dismissed, your
theme choice, and display preferences you have chosen. Kept for up to two years, and you
can clear them from your browser at any time.
These are what "Essential Only" keeps. Choosing "Allow Necessary Cookies
Only" inside this panel switches them off as well.
Performance Cookies
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to
produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics
internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them
our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Which pages and predictions are read, how long pages take to
load, and which features are used, including Google Analytics. Reported in
aggregate, never sold, and not used to identify you personally when you are not signed in.
These are off unless you switch them on here or choose "Accept All".
Third Party Marketing/Targeting
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include
limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the
effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they
will not be adjusted to your interests.
Set by our advertising partners. Switching these off does not
reduce the number of adverts you see; it only makes them less relevant to you.
🔒
A Pro feature
Filtering, slicing and choosing dates are part of Pro -
unlock every pick, all slicers, Challenger/ITF boards, set scores and games markets.