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Nagasaki vs Sendai Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 99-94
21-22 29-24 22-26 27-22
Position#1
Record35-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game78.4
vs
Position#11
Record27-17
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game78.9
JapanB League· Happiness Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nagasaki v Sendai
09 Nov 2026
NAGA87
SEND107
29 Mar 2026
NAGA88
SEND75
28 Mar 2026
NAGA99
SEND94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sendai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
98-74
98
74
+24
96avg 82
H01/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
74-89
74
89
-15
60avg 82
A06/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
105-75
105
75
+30
111avg 82
A07/02
B League
Gunma
#5
W
97-80
97
80
+17
92avg 82
A14/02
B League
Gunma
#5
W
77-72
77
72
+5
68avg 82
A15/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
78-93
78
93
-15
68avg 82
H07/03
B League
Alvark
#8
L
70-91
70
91
-21
55avg 82
H08/03
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
90-80
90
80
+10
89avg 82
A11/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
81-95
81
95
-14
76avg 82
A14/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
68-58
68
58
+10
66avg 82
A15/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-10
23-24
23-18
24-22
19-24
15-22
18-11
22-32
21-16
23-21
29-19
32-19
22-19
19-18
26-24
30-19
16-17
18-27
17-13
26-15
20-25
19-28
19-26
20-14
19-27
25-21
16-24
10-19
23-15
20-21
27-24
20-20
25-20
10-31
26-22
20-22
18-10
22-14
14-17
14-17
164.5Avg total
83.8Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)91.278.4169.6+12.880%
Season at home (21)91.077.5168.5+13.486%
Season away (23)91.479.1170.6+12.374%
Last 10 (10)83.880.7164.5+3.160%
Last 5 (5)77.483.4160.8-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)90.879.0169.8+11.875%
This opponent (Sendai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SendaiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSendai
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
94-81
94
81
+13
96avg 71
H01/02
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
79-87
79
87
-8
64avg 71
A07/02
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
76-67
76
67
+9
74avg 71
A08/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
91-96
91
96
-5
84avg 71
H14/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
83-74
83
74
+9
78avg 71
H15/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
82-92
82
92
-10
74avg 71
A08/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
97-85
97
85
+12
96avg 71
A09/03
B League
Shiga
#18
W
87-81
87
81
+6
81avg 71
A11/03
B League
Akita
#26
W
93-70
93
70
+23
87avg 71
H14/03
B League
Akita
#26
W
87-76
87
76
+11
80avg 71
H15/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
26-19
24-19
17-22
10-16
21-20
27-23
21-28
13-20
22-24
17-11
24-12
21-20
19-31
24-16
27-29
28-24
13-20
21-19
21-11
18-24
24-8
17-23
23-37
30-12
31-24
23-22
13-27
18-17
27-28
26-15
16-21
20-8
32-24
23-11
18-27
19-18
20-27
27-16
21-15
167.8Avg total
86.9Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)81.178.9160.0+2.261%
Season at home (23)81.076.8157.8+4.270%
Season away (21)81.381.2162.5+0.052%
Last 10 (10)86.980.9167.8+6.070%
Last 5 (5)89.280.8170.0+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)84.877.0161.8+7.875%
vs Similar (5)71.684.2155.8-12.620%
vs Weaker (21)83.776.0159.7+7.776%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -2.8-2.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -2.8-2.8
NagasakiSendai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H01/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A06/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A07/02
B League
Gunma
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A14/02
B League
Gunma
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A15/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H07/03
B League
Alvark
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H08/03
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A11/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A14/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
40-24
40
24
+16
A15/03
B League
81.5Avg total
40.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.840.586.3+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.739.887.5+7.980%-
Last 30 away (15)43.841.285.0+2.653%-
Last 10 (10)40.541.081.5-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.482.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)37.540.578.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)46.440.586.9+5.968%-
This opponent (Sendai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SendaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H01/02
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A07/02
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A08/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H14/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H15/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A08/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
61-36
61
36
+25
A09/03
B League
Shiga
#18
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A11/03
B League
Akita
#26
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H14/03
B League
Akita
#26
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H15/03
B League
84.4Avg total
43.9Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.279.1+2.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.638.779.3+1.944%-
Last 30 away (14)41.437.678.9+3.850%-
Last 10 (10)43.940.584.4+3.440%-
Last 5 (5)47.838.085.8+9.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)42.041.083.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (5)36.443.079.4-6.60%-
vs Weaker (21)41.936.578.3+5.457%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.218.1
58.0%
53.1%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.210.9
33.9%
33.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws19.414.9
76.8%
73.1%14.9
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sendaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sendai: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.4
51.2%
53.1%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.512.8
37.1%
33.7%38.4
🏀 Free throws17.213.2
76.7%
73.1%13.2
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
WLWLLWWWLW
Sendai
WWWWLWLWLW
#1
League position
#11
+3.6
Net rating
+6.8
98.2
Offensive rating
99.5
94.6
Defensive rating
92.7
54.3%
Effective FG%
53.4%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
13.9%
Turnover %
13.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.9%
3-point %
37.1%
73.1%
Assist %
66.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.2 · 99.5Defence94.6 · 92.7Shooting54.3% · 53.4%3-point %33.9% · 37.1%Ball care13.9% · 13.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Sendai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nagasaki wins
2
Sendai wins
DateGameScore
29/12/24Sendai v Nagasaki76-70
28/12/24Sendai v Nagasaki66-79
12/11/23Sendai v Nagasaki81-86
11/11/23Sendai v Nagasaki94-70
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26ARyukyu68-58
14/03/26ARyukyu81-95
11/03/26AKyoto90-80
08/03/26HAlvark70-91
07/03/26HAlvark78-93
15/02/26AGunma77-72
14/02/26AGunma97-80
07/02/26AUtsunomiya Brex105-75
06/02/26AUtsunomiya Brex74-89
01/02/26HHiroshima D.98-74
Sendailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26HAkita87-76
14/03/26HAkita93-70
11/03/26AShiga87-81
09/03/26ASun Rockers Shibuya97-85
08/03/26ASun Rockers Shibuya82-92
15/02/26HDiamond Dolphins83-74
14/02/26HDiamond Dolphins91-96
08/02/26AKoshigaya Alphas76-67
07/02/26AKoshigaya Alphas79-87
01/02/26HAltiri Chiba94-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW80%
HomeWWWLL86%
AwayWWWLW74%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442123
Win %80%86%74%
Points / game91.291.091.4
Allowed / game78.477.579.1
Point differential+12.8+13.4+12.3
Avg total169.6168.5170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%67%61%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Sendai
B League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW61%
HomeWLWWW70%
AwayLWLWW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442321
Win %61%70%52%
Points / game81.181.081.3
Allowed / game78.976.881.2
Point differential+2.2+4.2+0.0
Avg total160.0157.8162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%35%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)40% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki4435980%91.278.4+12.8
2 Diamond Dolphins4435980%84.272.7+11.5
3 Utsunomiya Brex44331175%85.480.0+5.5
4 Chiba44311370%82.975.8+7.1
5 SeaHorses Mikawa44301468%83.977.9+6.0
6 Alvark44301468%80.077.2+2.9
7 Ryukyu44291566%81.074.8+6.2
8 Hokkaido44291566%87.985.4+2.5
9 Gunma44281664%82.674.0+8.6
10 Sendai44271761%81.178.9+2.2
11 Hiroshima D.45261958%86.783.3+3.4
12 NeoPhoenix44251957%84.482.1+2.3
13 Shimane44222250%81.280.7+0.6
14 Saga45222349%82.082.5-0.5
15 Sun Rockers Shibuya44182641%76.580.7-4.2
16 Osaka45182740%80.382.6-2.3
17 Yokohama45182740%78.782.0-3.2
18 Koshigaya Alphas45162936%73.881.4-7.6
19 Nagoya Fighting Eagles44152934%80.483.1-2.8
20 Altiri Chiba44152934%80.084.2-4.2
21 Shiga44152934%80.485.9-5.5
22 Ibaraki Robots45143131%75.680.3-4.7
23 Kyoto45143131%71.880.5-8.6
24 Brave Thunders44123227%75.983.7-7.9
25 Toyama44113325%82.490.0-7.6
26 Akita4583718%73.885.5-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki2129222799
Sendai2224262294
← all games of the day
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