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Nagasaki vs Sendai Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 88-75
19-30 28-17 23-17 18-11
Position#1
Record36-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Position#11
Record27-18
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game79.4
JapanB League· Happiness Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nagasaki v Sendai
09 Nov 2026
NAGA v SEND
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
NAGA88
SEND75
28 Mar 2026
NAGA99
SEND94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sendai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
74-89
74
89
-15
60avg 82
A06/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
105-75
105
75
+30
111avg 82
A07/02
B League
Gunma
#5
W
97-80
97
80
+17
92avg 82
A14/02
B League
Gunma
#5
W
77-72
77
72
+5
68avg 82
A15/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
78-93
78
93
-15
68avg 82
H07/03
B League
Alvark
#8
L
70-91
70
91
-21
55avg 82
H08/03
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
90-80
90
80
+10
89avg 82
A11/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
81-95
81
95
-14
76avg 82
A14/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
68-58
68
58
+10
66avg 82
A15/03
B League
Sendai
#11
W
99-94
99
94
+5
99avg 82
H28/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
15-22
18-11
22-32
21-16
23-21
29-19
32-19
22-19
19-18
26-24
30-19
16-17
18-27
17-13
26-15
20-25
19-28
19-26
20-14
19-27
25-21
16-24
10-19
23-15
20-21
27-24
20-20
25-20
10-31
26-22
20-22
18-10
22-14
14-17
14-17
21-22
29-24
22-26
27-22
166.6Avg total
83.9Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)91.478.7170.1+12.780%
Season at home (22)91.378.3169.6+13.086%
Season away (23)91.479.1170.6+12.374%
Last 10 (10)83.982.7166.6+1.260%
Last 5 (5)81.683.6165.2-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)90.979.2170.1+11.775%
This opponent (Sendai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SendaiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSendai
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
79-87
79
87
-8
64avg 72
A07/02
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
76-67
76
67
+9
74avg 72
A08/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
91-96
91
96
-5
84avg 72
H14/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
83-74
83
74
+9
78avg 72
H15/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
82-92
82
92
-10
74avg 72
A08/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
97-85
97
85
+12
96avg 72
A09/03
B League
Shiga
#18
W
87-81
87
81
+6
81avg 72
A11/03
B League
Akita
#26
W
93-70
93
70
+23
87avg 72
H14/03
B League
Akita
#26
W
87-76
87
76
+11
80avg 72
H15/03
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
94-99
94
99
-5
92avg 72
A28/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-16
21-20
27-23
21-28
13-20
22-24
17-11
24-12
21-20
19-31
24-16
27-29
28-24
13-20
21-19
21-11
18-24
24-8
17-23
23-37
30-12
31-24
23-22
13-27
18-17
27-28
26-15
16-21
20-8
32-24
23-11
18-27
19-18
20-27
27-16
21-15
22-21
24-29
26-22
22-27
169.6Avg total
86.9Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)81.479.4160.8+2.160%
Season at home (23)81.076.8157.8+4.270%
Season away (22)81.982.0163.9-0.250%
Last 10 (10)86.982.7169.6+4.260%
Last 5 (5)91.682.2173.8+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)86.681.4168.0+5.260%
vs Similar (4)71.085.2156.2-14.225%
vs Weaker (21)83.776.0159.7+7.776%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -2.8-2.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -2.8-2.8
NagasakiSendai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A06/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A07/02
B League
Gunma
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A14/02
B League
Gunma
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A15/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H07/03
B League
Alvark
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H08/03
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A11/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A14/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
40-24
40
24
+16
A15/03
B League
Sendai
#11
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H28/03
B League
82.6Avg total
40.4Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.740.586.2+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.739.787.4+7.980%-
Last 30 away (15)43.841.285.0+2.653%-
Last 10 (10)40.442.282.6-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.083.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)37.540.578.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)46.340.586.8+5.968%-
This opponent (Sendai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SendaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A07/02
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A08/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H14/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H15/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A08/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
61-36
61
36
+25
A09/03
B League
Shiga
#18
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A11/03
B League
Akita
#26
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H14/03
B League
Akita
#26
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H15/03
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A28/03
B League
84.7Avg total
43.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.579.9+2.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.638.779.3+1.944%-
Last 30 away (14)42.138.480.5+3.850%-
Last 10 (10)43.241.584.7+1.730%-
Last 5 (5)48.641.690.2+7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)42.842.885.6+0.040%-
vs Similar (4)36.844.080.8-7.20%-
vs Weaker (21)41.936.578.3+5.457%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.817.9
58.1%
53.1%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.111.3
35.2%
33.7%33.9
🏀 Free throws18.414.2
77.2%
73.1%14.2
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sendaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sendai: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.7
51.6%
53.1%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.812.5
35.9%
33.7%37.5
🏀 Free throws17.513.7
78.3%
73.1%13.7
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
WWLWLLWWWL
Sendai
LWWWWLWLWL
#1
League position
#11
+1.4
Net rating
+4.7
98.0
Offensive rating
98.6
96.6
Defensive rating
93.9
55.4%
Effective FG%
52.7%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
15.1%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.2%
3-point %
35.9%
72.9%
Assist %
66.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.0 · 98.6Defence96.6 · 93.9Shooting55.4% · 52.7%3-point %35.2% · 35.9%Ball care15.1% · 13.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Sendai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nagasaki wins
2
Sendai wins
DateGameScore
28/03/26Nagasaki v Sendai99-94
29/12/24Sendai v Nagasaki76-70
28/12/24Sendai v Nagasaki66-79
12/11/23Sendai v Nagasaki81-86
11/11/23Sendai v Nagasaki94-70
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26HSendai99-94
15/03/26ARyukyu68-58
14/03/26ARyukyu81-95
11/03/26AKyoto90-80
08/03/26HAlvark70-91
07/03/26HAlvark78-93
15/02/26AGunma77-72
14/02/26AGunma97-80
07/02/26AUtsunomiya Brex105-75
06/02/26AUtsunomiya Brex74-89
Sendailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26ANagasaki94-99
15/03/26HAkita87-76
14/03/26HAkita93-70
11/03/26AShiga87-81
09/03/26ASun Rockers Shibuya97-85
08/03/26ASun Rockers Shibuya82-92
15/02/26HDiamond Dolphins83-74
14/02/26HDiamond Dolphins91-96
08/02/26AKoshigaya Alphas76-67
07/02/26AKoshigaya Alphas79-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW80%
HomeWWLLW86%
AwayWWWLW74%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452223
Win %80%86%74%
Points / game91.491.391.4
Allowed / game78.778.379.1
Point differential+12.7+13.0+12.3
Avg total170.1169.6170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%64%61%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Sendai
B League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL60%
HomeWLWWW70%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452322
Win %60%70%50%
Points / game81.481.081.9
Allowed / game79.476.882.0
Point differential+2.1+4.2-0.2
Avg total160.8157.8163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%35%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)40% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki4536980%91.478.7+12.7
2 Diamond Dolphins45351078%84.173.1+11.1
3 Utsunomiya Brex46341274%85.981.0+4.9
4 Chiba45321371%83.075.7+7.3
5 SeaHorses Mikawa45311469%83.777.5+6.2
6 Ryukyu46311567%81.275.0+6.2
7 Alvark45301567%80.177.5+2.6
8 Hokkaido46301665%88.685.9+2.7
9 Gunma45291664%82.774.1+8.6
10 Sendai45271860%81.479.4+2.1
11 Hiroshima D.46271959%86.983.2+3.6
12 NeoPhoenix45261958%84.682.1+2.5
13 Shimane45232251%81.380.6+0.7
14 Saga46232350%82.282.6-0.4
15 Yokohama46192741%79.182.2-3.1
16 Osaka46182839%80.382.9-2.6
17 Sun Rockers Shibuya46182839%76.781.0-4.3
18 Shiga46172937%80.685.1-4.5
19 Koshigaya Alphas46163035%74.281.7-7.5
20 Nagoya Fighting Eagles45153033%80.383.1-2.8
21 Altiri Chiba45153033%79.884.2-4.4
22 Kyoto46153133%72.280.1-7.9
23 Ibaraki Robots46143230%75.880.5-4.7
24 Brave Thunders45123327%75.583.5-8.0
25 Toyama46113524%81.889.8-8.0
26 Akita4683817%73.585.5-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki1928231888
Sendai3017171175
← all games of the day
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