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Nagasaki vs Shiga Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 13 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 08:05
Scheduled
Position#21
Record6-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.1/10
Above normal
4.1/10
Below normal
Position#16
Record7-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game88.8
JapanB League· Happiness Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Nagasaki v Shiga
13 Dec 2026
NAGA v SHIG
upcoming
12 Dec 2026
NAGA v SHIG
upcoming
16 Apr 2025
NAGA69
SHIG67
15 Dec 2024
NAGA83
SHIG73
14 Dec 2024
NAGA84
SHIG79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Shiga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
84-66
84
66
+18
79avg 80
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#16
L
85-89
85
89
-4
83avg 80
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
101-84
101
84
+17
100avg 80
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
97-76
97
76
+21
no box
A28/10
EASL
Kobe
#24
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 80
A31/10
B League
Kobe
#24
L
87-90
87
90
-3
86avg 80
A01/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
A06/11
B League
Sendai
#5
L
87-107
87
107
-20
no box
H09/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
73-82
73
82
-9
no box
A11/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
80-86
80
86
-6
no box
A14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
24-15
17-17
19-14
14-21
29-16
9-27
33-25
24-15
26-20
28-22
23-27
30-21
25-25
14-15
28-15
11-19
22-19
25-19
23-14
17-24
22-17
34-22
14-27
18-20
23-16
18-21
14-23
33-28
26-30
14-28
14-21
24-22
16-11
20-23
13-26
16-24
21-23
21-22
22-17
167.9Avg total
84.8Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.382.2159.4-4.933%
Season at home (8)78.080.8158.8-2.850%
Season away (10)76.783.3160.0-6.620%
Last 10 (10)84.883.1167.9+1.740%
Last 5 (5)80.089.0169.0-9.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.786.6162.4-10.918%
vs Similar ◀ (7)79.679.7159.3-0.143%
vs Weaker (12)85.073.8158.8+11.283%
This opponent (Shiga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShigaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShiga
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#20
W
95-76
95
76
+19
98avg 74
H12/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
67-99
67
99
-32
52avg 74
A19/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
92-80
92
80
+12
82avg 74
H21/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
W
89-85
89
85
+4
83avg 74
H23/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
69-104
69
104
-35
60avg 74
A30/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
64-87
64
87
-23
57avg 74
A01/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
H06/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
91-96
91
96
-5
no box
A08/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
87-90
87
90
-3
no box
H12/11
B League
Yokohama
#18
W
98-88
98
88
+10
no box
A14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
28-20
19-17
20-24
22-28
17-31
21-19
7-21
18-26
22-17
23-14
29-23
21-14
16-29
27-9
25-33
20-31
18-29
13-24
18-20
10-28
21-23
19-17
14-19
25-17
13-20
15-16
28-22
30-23
21-20
19-30
21-23
23-11
20-30
26-21
18-28
23-21
21-27
31-19
23-21
171.3Avg total
83.3Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.488.8175.2-2.444%
Season at home (8)89.283.0172.2+6.262%
Season away (8)83.694.6178.2-11.025%
Last 10 (10)83.388.0171.3-4.750%
Last 5 (5)84.287.2171.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)82.091.5173.5-9.521%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.678.6163.2+6.080%
vs Weaker (1)92.080.0172.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -3.1-3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -3.1-3.1
NagasakiShiga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#16
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A28/10
EASL
Kobe
#24
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A31/10
B League
Kobe
#24
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A01/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A06/11
B League
Sendai
#5
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H09/11
B League
Alvark
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A11/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A14/11
B League
85.1Avg total
44.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.380.0+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.339.680.9+1.756%-
Last 30 away (12)39.838.878.6+0.958%-
Last 10 (10)44.540.685.1+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.086.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.540.480.8+0.164%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.039.676.6-2.629%-
vs Weaker (12)43.038.281.2+4.867%-
This opponent (Shiga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#20
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H12/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A19/10
B League
Kobe
#24
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H21/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H23/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
38-60
38
60
-22
A30/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A01/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H06/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A08/11
B League
Chiba
#14
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H12/11
B League
Yokohama
#18
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A14/11
B League
87.7Avg total
41.7Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.844.084.8-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.342.084.3+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)39.345.985.3-6.627%-
Last 10 (10)41.746.087.7-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.444.085.4-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)40.746.787.4-6.121%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.238.880.0+2.470%-
vs Weaker (1)40.043.083.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.9
54.3%
53.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.3
35.8%
32.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws14.110.8
76.6%
73.8%10.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shiga: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.5
52.6%
53.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.59.0
28.6%
32.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.817.3
72.7%
73.8%17.3
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LLLLLWWWLW
Shiga
WLLWLLWWLW
#21
League position
#16
+2.1
Net rating
-4.6
93.2
Offensive rating
87.7
91.1
Defensive rating
92.3
54.0%
Effective FG%
48.2%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
15.9%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.8%
3-point %
28.6%
65.8%
Assist %
79.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.2 · 87.7Defence91.1 · 92.3Shooting54.0% · 48.2%3-point %35.8% · 28.6%Ball care15.9% · 15.2%Free throws0.22 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Shiga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Nagasaki wins
1
Shiga wins
DateGameScore
23/10/26Shiga v Nagasaki89-85
14/12/25Shiga v Nagasaki84-106
13/12/25Shiga v Nagasaki82-107
16/04/25Nagasaki v Shiga69-67 OT
29/01/25Shiga v Nagasaki89-101
15/12/24Nagasaki v Shiga83-73
14/12/24Nagasaki v Shiga84-79
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AChiba80-86
11/11/26AAlvark73-82
09/11/26HSendai87-107
06/11/26AHiroshima D.73-80
01/11/26AKobe87-90
31/10/26AKobe81-71
28/10/26AMacau Hou Chon97-76
26/10/26HRyukyu101-84
23/10/26AShiga85-89
21/10/26ASaga84-66
Shigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AYokohama98-88
12/11/26HChiba87-90
08/11/26ASeaHorses Mikawa91-96
06/11/26HBrave Thunders81-75
01/11/26ADiamond Dolphins64-87
30/10/26ADiamond Dolphins69-104
23/10/26HNagasaki89-85
21/10/26HKobe92-80
19/10/26ARyukyu67-99
12/10/26HShinshu95-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game77.378.076.7
Allowed / game82.280.883.3
Point differential-4.9-2.8-6.6
Avg total159.4158.8160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%38%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%10%
Shiga
B League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW44%
HomeWWWWL62%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %44%62%25%
Points / game86.489.283.6
Allowed / game88.883.094.6
Point differential-2.4+6.2-11.0
Avg total175.2172.2178.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1412286%91.278.7+12.5
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1812667%90.879.9+10.9
9 Levanga Hokkaido1711665%97.393.2+4.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Shimane167944%83.581.1+2.4
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Utsunomiya Brex167944%81.183.6-2.4
18 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Akita1851328%83.390.7-7.4
24 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
25 Saga161156%77.395.6-18.3
26 Osaka171166%70.490.4-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
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