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Nagasaki vs Shimane Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 08:05
Final 69-78
23-15 12-13 15-22 19-28
Position#16
Record14-19
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game76.7
vs
Shimane 🏆
Japan
Position#8
Record21-12
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game74.5
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nagasaki v Shimane
25 Sep 2026
NAGA78
SHIM85
23 Sep 2026
NAGA64
SHIM89
22 Apr 2026
NAGA106
SHIM74
02 Feb 2025
NAGA96
SHIM74
01 Feb 2025
NAGA69
SHIM78
18 Dec 2024
NAGA77
SHIM73
31 Mar 2024
NAGA81
SHIM85
30 Mar 2024
NAGA74
SHIM67
25 Oct 2023
NAGA77
SHIM73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shimane winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
97-85 OT
97
85
+12
86avg 69
A22/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
79-66
79
66
+13
78avg 69
A28/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
70-76
70
76
-6
56avg 69
A29/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
75-79
75
79
-4
66avg 69
H04/01
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
67-90
67
90
-23
59avg 69
H05/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
71-78
71
78
-7
62avg 69
A10/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
70-82
70
82
-12
58avg 69
A11/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
76-80
76
80
-4
68avg 69
H25/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
78-83
78
83
-5
71avg 69
H26/01
B League
Shiga
#24
W
101-89
101
89
+12
101avg 69
A29/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
16-31
25-15
24-16
27-8
14-15
18-25
20-18
29-21
9-20
20-13
12-22
22-21
13-12
24-23
16-23
23-27
16-16
12-22
16-25
31-20
16-7
12-24
12-27
23-21
14-23
18-15
15-23
16-24
28-18
17-17
15-21
24-27
19-15
13-16
22-25
34-22
15-27
26-20
26-20
159.2Avg total
78.4Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)74.576.7151.3-2.242%
Season at home (18)71.776.2147.9-4.533%
Season away (15)77.977.3155.3+0.653%
Last 10 (10)78.480.8159.2-2.430%
Last 5 (5)79.282.4161.6-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)71.879.0150.8-7.233%
vs Similar (12)71.577.5149.0-6.025%
vs Weaker (9)84.378.4162.8+5.967%
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
Gunma
#6
L
84-87
84
87
-3
81avg 73
H22/12
B League
Chiba
#5
W
85-81 OT
85
81
+4
72avg 73
A28/12
B League
Chiba
#5
W
86-78
86
78
+8
82avg 73
A29/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
67-78
67
78
-11
59avg 73
H04/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
86-93
86
93
-7
78avg 73
H05/01
B League
Shiga
#24
W
93-65
93
65
+28
94avg 73
A11/01
B League
Shiga
#24
W
81-61
81
61
+20
78avg 73
A12/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
78-89
78
89
-11
74avg 73
H23/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
80-77
80
77
+3
76avg 73
H24/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
90-69
90
69
+21
89avg 73
H29/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
27-24
22-29
18-20
17-14
13-15
15-21
14-9
24-19
18-21
19-18
25-20
14-25
23-23
18-12
12-18
31-13
28-26
16-28
11-26
28-11
12-18
32-20
21-16
14-16
18-15
22-13
27-17
18-26
19-16
22-25
19-22
20-21
27-24
21-11
12-21
24-16
16-16
23-20
27-17
160.8Avg total
83.0Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)80.874.5155.4+6.364%
Season at home (19)81.972.5154.5+9.468%
Season away (14)79.477.3156.6+2.157%
Last 10 (10)83.077.8160.8+5.260%
Last 5 (5)84.472.2156.6+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.481.6161.0-2.240%
vs Similar (11)76.577.7154.3-1.255%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.472.6158.0+12.971%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
NagasakiShimane
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A22/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A28/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A29/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H04/01
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H05/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A10/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A11/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H25/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H26/01
B League
Shiga
#24
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A29/01
B League
79.7Avg total
40.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.139.978.0-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.038.975.9-1.956%-
Last 30 away (14)39.441.080.4-1.629%-
Last 10 (10)40.439.379.7+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.040.884.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.942.877.7-7.922%-
vs Similar (12)37.837.275.1+0.642%-
vs Weaker (9)41.840.682.3+1.267%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H22/12
B League
Chiba
#5
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A28/12
B League
Chiba
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A29/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H04/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
59-39
59
39
+20
H05/01
B League
Shiga
#24
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A11/01
B League
Shiga
#24
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A12/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H23/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H24/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H29/01
B League
78.1Avg total
40.8Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.677.6+2.470%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.837.578.2+3.269%-
Last 30 away (14)39.137.776.8+1.471%-
Last 10 (10)40.837.378.1+3.580%-
Last 5 (5)39.235.875.0+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.445.085.4-4.640%-
vs Similar (11)37.137.074.1+0.164%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.135.477.5+6.686%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.817.9
48.6%
51.2%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.5
35.3%
33.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.513.1
67.2%
72.7%13.1
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.520.9
51.6%
51.2%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.0
34.7%
33.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.413.6
73.9%
72.7%13.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
WLLLLLLLWW
Shimane
WWLWWLLWWL
#16
League position
#8
-3.5
Net rating
+7.7
104.9
Offensive rating
112.7
108.4
Defensive rating
105.1
50.5%
Effective FG%
51.8%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
19.1%
Turnover %
15.1%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.3%
3-point %
34.7%
64.6%
Assist %
68.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 112.7Defence108.4 · 105.1Shooting50.5% · 51.8%3-point %35.3% · 34.7%Ball care19.1% · 15.1%Off. rebounds32.7% · 32.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Shimane
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Nagasaki wins
1
Shimane wins
DateGameScore
18/12/24Nagasaki v Shimane77-73
31/03/24Nagasaki v Shimane81-85 OT
30/03/24Nagasaki v Shimane74-67
07/02/24Shimane v Nagasaki92-99
25/10/23Nagasaki v Shimane77-73
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/25AShiga101-89
26/01/25HBrave Thunders78-83
25/01/25HBrave Thunders76-80
11/01/25AHiroshima D.70-82
10/01/25AHiroshima D.71-78
05/01/25HYokohama67-90
04/01/25HYokohama75-79
29/12/24ASendai70-76
28/12/24ASendai79-66
22/12/24AIbaraki Robots97-85 OT
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/25HHiroshima D.90-69
24/01/25HSeaHorses Mikawa80-77
23/01/25HSeaHorses Mikawa78-89
12/01/25AShiga81-61
11/01/25AShiga93-65
05/01/25HNagoya Fighting Eagles86-93
04/01/25HNagoya Fighting Eagles67-78
29/12/24AChiba86-78
28/12/24AChiba85-81 OT
22/12/24HGunma84-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW42%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayWLLLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331815
Win %42%33%53%
Points / game74.571.777.9
Allowed / game76.776.277.3
Point differential-2.2-4.5+0.6
Avg total151.3147.9155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%11%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)27% (11)-
Overtime %6%6%7%
Shimane
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeLLLWW68%
AwayLWWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331914
Win %64%68%57%
Points / game80.881.979.4
Allowed / game74.572.577.3
Point differential+6.3+9.4+2.1
Avg total155.4154.5156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%42%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)75% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %12%11%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix3228488%92.678.6+14.1
2 Utsunomiya Brex3428682%86.275.9+10.3
3 Gunma3425974%79.271.2+8.0
4 Ryukyu34241071%84.277.3+6.9
5 Alvark34241071%77.170.8+6.2
6 SeaHorses Mikawa34231168%80.274.2+5.9
7 Shimane33211264%80.874.5+6.3
8 Chiba34211362%80.577.0+3.5
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya34191556%75.271.2+4.0
10 Kyoto34181653%81.180.1+1.0
11 Diamond Dolphins34181653%82.482.4+0.0
12 Osaka33171652%82.882.1+0.6
13 Akita34161847%72.673.3-0.7
14 Hiroshima D.34161847%77.881.8-4.0
15 Nagasaki33141942%74.576.7-2.2
16 Yokohama34142041%75.879.4-3.6
17 Nagoya Fighting Eagles34142041%76.681.3-4.7
18 Hokkaido34132138%73.678.8-5.2
19 Saga34112332%73.977.0-3.1
20 Koshigaya Alphas34112332%77.981.9-4.1
21 Brave Thunders33102330%75.584.3-8.8
22 Sendai3482624%73.782.3-8.6
23 Ibaraki Robots3482624%73.382.1-8.9
24 Shiga323299%74.888.1-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki2312151969
Shimane1513222878
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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