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Nagasaki vs Shimane Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 07:05
Final 74-67
11-16 20-21 21-17 22-13
Position#17
Record18-28
FormWLWLL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#12
Record27-19
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game78.4
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center (Nagasaki)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nagasaki v Shimane
25 Sep 2026
NAGA78
SHIM85
23 Sep 2026
NAGA64
SHIM89
22 Apr 2026
NAGA106
SHIM74
02 Feb 2025
NAGA96
SHIM74
01 Feb 2025
NAGA69
SHIM78
18 Dec 2024
NAGA77
SHIM73
31 Mar 2024
NAGA81
SHIM85
30 Mar 2024
NAGA74
SHIM67
25 Oct 2023
NAGA77
SHIM73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shimane winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Shimane
#12
W
99-92
99
92
+7
98avg 74
A07/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
81-101
81
101
-20
73avg 74
A10/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
76-97
76
97
-21
70avg 74
A11/02
B League
Gunma
#13
L
67-85
67
85
-18
55avg 74
H02/03
B League
Gunma
#13
L
78-91
78
91
-13
69avg 74
H03/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
94-82
94
82
+12
89avg 74
H06/03
B League
Saga
#15
L
71-80
71
80
-9
65avg 74
H20/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
90-76
90
76
+14
91avg 74
A23/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
69-102
69
102
-33
56avg 74
A24/03
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
68-76
68
76
-8
60avg 74
H27/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
29-26
24-17
28-28
16-33
29-21
21-22
15-25
15-37
12-19
23-18
26-23
22-20
14-26
17-23
14-16
24-26
24-19
19-22
11-24
25-16
27-16
23-27
19-23
19-23
32-24
9-24
11-9
17-26
34-10
23-23
16-17
14-30
23-18
25-32
7-22
16-22
13-11
18-20
21-23
167.5Avg total
79.3Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)80.885.0165.9-4.239%
Season at home (25)77.583.4160.9-6.032%
Season away (21)84.986.9171.8-2.048%
Last 10 (10)79.388.2167.5-8.930%
Last 5 (5)78.483.2161.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)77.787.6165.3-9.927%
vs Similar (12)77.284.9162.1-7.825%
vs Weaker (3)80.074.7154.7+5.333%
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#17
L
92-99
92
99
-7
82avg 76
H07/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
63-68
63
68
-5
54avg 76
H10/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
66-60
66
60
+6
60avg 76
H11/02
B League
Alvark
#2
W
87-79
87
79
+8
80avg 76
A02/03
B League
Alvark
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
70avg 76
A03/03
B League
Toyama
#24
W
97-75
97
75
+22
95avg 76
H06/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
103-91
103
91
+12
102avg 76
A20/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
82-76
82
76
+6
70avg 76
A23/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
97-75
97
75
+22
95avg 76
A24/03
B League
Saga
#15
L
64-66
64
66
-2
51avg 76
H27/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
26-29
17-24
28-28
18-15
15-18
15-11
15-24
12-9
12-19
19-14
23-18
20-24
28-18
21-13
18-24
15-24
25-25
15-17
25-24
29-17
22-21
29-21
17-16
28-25
20-24
32-23
23-19
22-15
20-14
20-23
20-24
19-23
28-22
25-15
25-15
15-16
12-17
25-15
12-18
161.0Avg total
83.1Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)83.978.4162.3+5.559%
Season at home (24)82.875.4158.2+7.362%
Season away (22)85.281.7166.9+3.555%
Last 10 (10)83.177.9161.0+5.260%
Last 5 (5)88.676.6165.2+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.383.3160.7-6.033%
vs Similar (9)80.073.0153.0+7.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)91.480.5171.9+10.967%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
NagasakiShimane
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shimane
#12
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A07/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A10/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
27-56
27
56
-29
A11/02
B League
Gunma
#13
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H02/03
B League
Gunma
#13
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H03/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H06/03
B League
Saga
#15
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H20/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A23/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A24/03
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H27/03
B League
86.7Avg total
42.3Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.543.183.6-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.342.481.7-3.139%-
Last 30 away (12)42.244.186.3-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)42.344.486.7-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)44.039.283.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.544.982.4-7.320%-
vs Similar (12)42.842.585.3+0.358%-
vs Weaker (3)46.036.382.3+9.7100%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#17
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H07/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H10/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H11/02
B League
Alvark
#2
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A02/03
B League
Alvark
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A03/03
B League
Toyama
#24
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H06/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A20/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A23/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A24/03
B League
Saga
#15
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H27/03
B League
80.0Avg total
40.7Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.139.482.5+3.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.836.178.9+6.757%-
Last 30 away (16)43.442.285.7+1.250%-
Last 10 (10)40.739.380.0+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)43.038.881.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.044.082.0-6.033%-
vs Similar (9)37.436.874.2+0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)48.639.187.7+9.573%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.5
52.3%
50.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.2
33.1%
33.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.911.7
69.2%
72.0%11.7
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.5
54.8%
50.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.5
32.8%
33.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws16.812.8
76.2%
72.0%12.8
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LLWLWLLLLW
Shimane
LWWWWLWWLL
#17
League position
#12
-11.6
Net rating
+7.5
102.3
Offensive rating
114.4
114.0
Defensive rating
106.9
51.2%
Effective FG%
52.3%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
20.4%
Turnover %
14.2%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.1%
3-point %
32.8%
62.0%
Assist %
57.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 114.4Defence114.0 · 106.9Shooting51.2% · 52.3%3-point %33.1% · 32.8%Ball care20.4% · 14.2%Off. rebounds31.0% · 32.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Shimane
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nagasaki wins
0
Shimane wins
DateGameScore
07/02/24Shimane v Nagasaki92-99
25/10/23Nagasaki v Shimane77-73
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/24HRyukyu68-76
24/03/24AYokohama69-102
23/03/24AYokohama90-76
20/03/24HSaga71-80
06/03/24HDiamond Dolphins94-82
03/03/24HGunma78-91
02/03/24HGunma67-85
11/02/24AUtsunomiya Brex76-97
10/02/24AUtsunomiya Brex81-101
07/02/24AShimane99-92
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/24HSaga64-66
24/03/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles97-75
23/03/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles82-76
20/03/24ADiamond Dolphins103-91
06/03/24HToyama97-75
03/03/24AAlvark80-90
02/03/24AAlvark87-79
11/02/24HSun Rockers Shibuya66-60
10/02/24HSun Rockers Shibuya63-68
07/02/24HNagasaki92-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL39%
HomeLLWLL32%
AwayWLLWL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462521
Win %39%32%48%
Points / game80.877.584.9
Allowed / game85.083.486.9
Point differential-4.2-6.0-2.0
Avg total165.9160.9171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%8%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)80% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Shimane
B League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL59%
HomeLLWWL62%
AwayWLWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462422
Win %59%62%55%
Points / game83.982.885.2
Allowed / game78.475.481.7
Point differential+5.5+7.3+3.5
Avg total162.3158.2166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%33%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (12)38% (8)0% (4)
Overtime %4%4%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex4740785%81.269.0+12.1
2 Alvark4738981%82.570.1+12.4
3 NeoPhoenix4637980%89.879.2+10.6
4 Ryukyu46331372%82.076.6+5.4
5 Diamond Dolphins47301764%82.879.4+3.5
6 Chiba47301764%84.981.9+3.1
7 SeaHorses Mikawa47291862%81.376.6+4.7
8 Shimane46271959%83.978.4+5.5
9 Hiroshima D.47262155%78.974.3+4.6
10 Brave Thunders47262155%80.677.4+3.2
11 Gunma47262155%79.880.4-0.7
12 Sun Rockers Shibuya47252253%75.174.2+1.0
13 Saga46242252%75.074.7+0.3
14 Akita47242351%73.974.5-0.5
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles47232449%73.774.9-1.2
16 Yokohama47212645%77.381.4-4.1
17 Sendai46202643%78.480.2-1.8
18 Osaka47192840%78.181.8-3.7
19 Nagasaki46182839%80.885.0-4.2
20 Kyoto46133328%76.784.4-7.7
21 Hokkaido47133428%75.282.1-7.0
22 Ibaraki Robots4683817%75.286.1-10.9
23 Shinshu4764113%71.083.4-12.4
24 Toyama474439%73.785.9-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki1120212274
Shimane1621171367
← all games of the day
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