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Nanterre vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 82-70
15-24 27-9 19-19 21-18
Position#12
Record9-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#4
Record10-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game75.5
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Quarter-finals· Palais des Sports Maurice Thorez
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nanterre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NanterreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNanterre
Date
Competition
Nymburk
#3
W
90-86
90
86
+4
91avg 90
A04/03
Champions League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
74-88
74
88
-14
88avg 90
H09/03
LNB
Nymburk
#3
L
77-100
77
100
-23
67avg 90
H11/03
Champions League
Murcia
#7
W
76-71
76
71
+5
69avg 90
H19/03
Champions League
Saint Quentin
#10
W
76-67
76
67
+9
84avg 90
A23/03
LNB
Szombathely
#35
W
95-89
95
89
+6
96avg 90
A26/03
Champions League
Limoges
#14
W
96-87
96
87
+9
117avg 90
H28/03
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
74-89
74
89
-15
84avg 90
A05/04
LNB
AEK Athens
#4
L
69-76
69
76
-7
69avg 90
A09/04
Champions League
Cholet
#4
L
78-88
78
88
-10
88avg 90
A12/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
18-20
25-23
23-15
20-28
20-16
20-23
14-21
19-27
12-21
25-27
21-25
16-20
21-9
27-17
12-25
20-17
14-12
26-14
16-24
21-27
22-20
25-22
27-20
27-30
19-18
22-18
28-21
19-24
24-23
22-19
9-23
25-23
16-19
19-14
9-20
19-25
19-23
21-28
19-12
164.6Avg total
80.5Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.581.6163.1-0.156%
Season at home (8)79.881.1160.9-1.450%
Season away (8)83.282.1165.4+1.162%
Last 10 (10)80.584.1164.6-3.650%
Last 5 (5)82.485.8168.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)79.588.8168.4-9.315%
vs Similar (13)83.077.5160.5+5.577%
vs Weaker (3)92.079.0171.0+13.0100%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#19
W
77-71
77
71
+6
72avg 78
A04/03
Champions League
Peristeri
#9
W
96-67
96
67
+29
94avg 78
H08/03
Basket League
Wurzburg
#19
W
84-77
84
77
+7
86avg 78
H11/03
Champions League
Lavrio
#12
W
90-79
90
79
+11
90avg 78
A15/03
Basket League
Tortona
#5
L
82-83
82
83
-1
76avg 78
A19/03
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
104-83
104
83
+21
108avg 78
H23/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#31
W
60-56
60
56
+4
52avg 78
A26/03
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
89-76
89
76
+13
83avg 78
H05/04
Basket League
Nanterre
#12
W
76-69
76
69
+7
69avg 78
H09/04
Champions League
PAOK
#6
L
69-94
69
94
-25
58avg 78
A12/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-22
18-19
14-14
13-16
23-16
23-17
28-15
22-19
19-34
20-14
20-17
25-12
26-21
24-14
15-9
25-35
21-27
16-18
24-23
21-15
27-26
24-21
22-19
31-17
15-19
10-16
11-14
24-7
14-14
29-18
27-16
19-28
23-25
19-16
14-19
20-9
17-27
16-14
18-30
18-23
158.2Avg total
82.7Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.875.5157.2+6.377%
Season at home (7)86.673.4160.0+13.1100%
Season away (6)76.277.8154.0-1.750%
Last 10 (10)82.775.5158.2+7.280%
Last 5 (5)79.675.6155.2+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.096.0171.0-21.00%
vs Similar (4)86.882.2169.0+4.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)85.377.3162.6+8.078%
This opponent (Nanterre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +3.7+3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +3.7+3.7
NanterreAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NanterreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nymburk
#3
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A04/03
Champions League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H09/03
LNB
Nymburk
#3
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H11/03
Champions League
Murcia
#7
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H19/03
Champions League
Saint Quentin
#10
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A23/03
LNB
Szombathely
#35
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A26/03
Champions League
Limoges
#14
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H28/03
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A05/04
LNB
AEK Athens
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A09/04
Champions League
Cholet
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A12/04
LNB
82.5Avg total
39.5Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.742.784.4-1.133%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.942.684.5-0.741%-
Last 30 away (13)41.442.984.3-1.523%-
Last 10 (10)39.543.082.5-3.520%-
Last 5 (5)42.246.488.6-4.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)40.845.886.6-4.915%-
vs Similar (13)42.239.581.6+2.754%-
vs Weaker (3)42.740.082.7+2.733%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#19
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A04/03
Champions League
Peristeri
#9
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H08/03
Basket League
Wurzburg
#19
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H11/03
Champions League
Lavrio
#12
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A15/03
Basket League
Tortona
#5
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A19/03
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H23/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#31
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A26/03
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H05/04
Basket League
Nanterre
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H09/04
Champions League
PAOK
#6
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A12/04
Basket League
81.4Avg total
41.6Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.039.382.3+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.638.883.4+5.869%-
Last 30 away (14)41.239.981.1+1.350%-
Last 10 (10)41.639.881.4+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.839.278.0-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.047.089.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (4)42.040.882.8+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.738.382.1+5.470%-
This opponent (Nanterre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nanterretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nanterre: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.6
53.8%
52.1%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.9
35.1%
35.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.614.3
69.4%
74.0%14.3
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.7
56.7%
52.1%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.3
34.4%
35.0%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.815.6
75.0%
74.0%15.6
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nanterre
LLLWWWWLLW
AEK Athens
LWWWWLWWWW
#12
League position
#4
-5.7
Net rating
+10.0
105.7
Offensive rating
110.5
111.4
Defensive rating
100.5
53.4%
Effective FG%
54.7%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
16.8%
Turnover %
15.9%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.1%
3-point %
34.4%
77.2%
Assist %
64.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 110.5Defence111.4 · 100.5Shooting53.4% · 54.7%3-point %35.1% · 34.4%Ball care16.8% · 15.9%Off. rebounds24.9% · 25.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Nanterre   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nanterre wins
1
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
09/04/25AEK Athens v Nanterre76-69
Nanterrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25ACholet78-88
09/04/25AAEK Athens69-76
05/04/25AMonaco74-89
28/03/25HLimoges96-87
26/03/25ASzombathely95-89
23/03/25ASaint Quentin76-67
19/03/25HMurcia76-71
11/03/25HNymburk77-100
09/03/25HLyon-Villeurbanne74-88
04/03/25ANymburk90-86
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25APAOK69-94
09/04/25HNanterre76-69
05/04/25HPAOK89-76
26/03/25APromitheas60-56
23/03/25HMaroussi104-83
19/03/25ATortona82-83
15/03/25ALavrio90-79
11/03/25HWurzburg84-77
08/03/25HPeristeri96-67
04/03/25AWurzburg77-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nanterre
Champions League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL56%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayWLWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%50%62%
Points / game81.579.883.2
Allowed / game81.681.182.1
Point differential-0.1-1.4+1.1
Avg total163.1160.9165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
Champions League 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW77%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %77%100%50%
Points / game81.886.676.2
Allowed / game75.573.477.8
Point differential+6.3+13.1-1.7
Avg total157.2160.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife14140100%84.871.4+13.4
2 Unicaja1413193%94.476.8+17.6
3 AEK Athens1310377%81.875.5+6.3
4 Nymburk1612475%86.477.7+8.8
5 Galatasaray1712571%85.880.3+5.5
6 Tortona1611569%81.276.0+5.2
7 Murcia128467%82.877.4+5.3
8 Bonn106460%81.281.4-0.2
9 Manresa127558%87.881.8+6.1
10 Rytas127558%86.581.8+4.8
11 Nanterre169756%81.581.6-0.1
12 Petkim Spor1810856%80.881.7-0.8
13 CSM Oradea21150%85.070.0+15.0
14 Levice21150%93.585.5+8.0
15 MoraBanc Andorra21150%91.086.0+5.0
16 Karsiyaka84450%80.877.0+3.8
17 Rilski Sportist21150%79.576.5+3.0
18 Norrkoping21150%77.075.5+1.5
19 Wurzburg126650%84.183.8+0.3
20 Juventus21150%80.080.5-0.5
21 Sassari21150%74.075.5-1.5
22 Trepca21150%80.081.5-1.5
23 Fribourg Olympic21150%82.585.0-2.5
24 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%75.078.0-3.0
25 Manisa147750%87.090.0-3.0
26 Reggiana168850%78.281.8-3.6
27 PAOK21150%75.079.5-4.5
28 Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan94544%83.284.1-0.9
29 Hapoel Holon94544%78.179.4-1.3
30 Benfica83538%75.984.5-8.6
31 Promitheas145936%79.184.1-5.0
32 Oostende93633%77.178.9-1.8
33 Igokea62433%82.286.5-4.3
34 Saint Quentin93633%72.879.0-6.2
35 Szombathely1551033%80.187.3-7.2
36 Peristeri82625%71.674.9-3.2
37 VEF Riga61517%77.380.3-3.0
38 Slask Wroclaw61517%74.582.3-7.8
39 FMP Beograd61517%74.283.8-9.7
40 Vechta61517%78.588.5-10.0
41 Chemnitz81712%77.585.8-8.2
42 Keravnos1010%79.082.0-3.0
43 Spartak Subotica1010%84.087.0-3.0
44 Sabah Baku1010%71.075.0-4.0
45 Cholet1010%70.076.0-6.0
46 BC Nokia1010%64.071.0-7.0
47 Antwerp Giants1010%73.091.0-18.0
48 Kolossos Rhodes6060%64.583.2-18.7
49 Szczecin6060%64.783.3-18.7
50 Den Bosch1010%72.092.0-20.0
51 Kutaisi1010%87.0111.0-24.0
52 Caledonia Gladiators1010%59.090.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nanterre1527192182
AEK Athens249191870
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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