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Nardo vs Orzinuovi Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 103-83
31-15 20-15 25-28 27-25
Position#19
Record10-26
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game81.7
Nardo 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#14
Record16-20
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game79.8
ItalySerie A2Round 37· Palasport San Giuseppe da Copertino
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nardo v Orzinuovi
19 Apr 2025
NARD103
ORZI83
01 Nov 2023
NARD90
ORZI88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nardo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orzinuovi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NardoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNardo
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
74-87
74
87
-13
60avg 64
A15/02
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
82-69
82
69
+13
77avg 64
A26/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
73-98
73
98
-25
57avg 64
A02/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
65-76
65
76
-11
56avg 64
H09/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
107-65
107
65
+42
109avg 64
H15/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
77-87
77
87
-10
73avg 64
A23/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
74-70
74
70
+4
64avg 64
H30/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
73-87
73
87
-14
62avg 64
H02/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
77-92
77
92
-15
67avg 64
A06/04
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
72-99
72
99
-27
48avg 64
H13/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
27-23
15-25
18-16
25-19
19-10
20-16
18-24
16-28
18-26
26-24
13-20
18-20
16-15
18-23
13-18
25-8
30-24
22-17
30-16
23-24
19-20
27-24
8-19
24-13
8-25
20-13
22-19
22-21
15-26
19-23
17-17
20-30
12-21
25-16
20-25
11-24
13-29
20-28
28-18
160.4Avg total
77.4Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)74.681.7156.3-7.128%
Season at home (18)78.179.9157.9-1.844%
Season away (18)71.183.6154.7-12.411%
Last 10 (10)77.483.0160.4-5.630%
Last 5 (5)74.687.0161.6-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)73.981.5155.5-7.625%
vs Similar ◀ (6)77.079.2156.2-2.233%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OrzinuoviItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrzinuovi
Date
Competition
Forli
#6
L
57-61
57
61
-4
53avg 73
H16/02
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
100avg 73
H25/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
88-61
88
61
+27
84avg 73
A02/03
Serie A2
Udine
#1
W
83-79
83
79
+4
85avg 73
H09/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
71-79
71
79
-8
57avg 73
A14/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
75-71
75
71
+4
67avg 73
A19/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
73-88
73
88
-15
63avg 73
A23/03
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
76-71
76
71
+5
75avg 73
H30/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
88-63
88
63
+25
93avg 73
A05/04
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
91-73
91
73
+18
93avg 73
H13/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-13
18-14
18-14
7-20
20-18
26-30
22-17
9-12
20-20
28-15
17-13
23-13
25-19
22-13
17-18
19-29
13-29
27-15
16-18
15-17
19-17
18-23
19-18
19-13
22-19
17-33
19-20
15-16
18-10
18-23
24-19
16-19
23-19
14-14
25-15
26-15
18-26
28-10
18-21
27-16
154.9Avg total
80.5Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)78.179.8157.9-1.844%
Season at home (18)80.978.8159.7+2.161%
Season away (18)75.280.9156.1-5.728%
Last 10 (10)80.574.4154.9+6.170%
Last 5 (5)80.673.2153.8+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.078.0155.0-1.050%
vs Similar ◀ (21)78.179.4157.5-1.343%
vs Weaker (1)71.079.0150.0-8.00%
This opponent (Nardo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
NardoOrzinuovi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NardoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A15/02
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A26/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A02/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H09/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H15/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A23/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H30/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H02/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A06/04
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
24-53
24
53
-29
H13/04
Serie A2
80.4Avg total
37.5Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.741.177.8-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.939.977.8-2.143%-
Last 30 away (16)35.742.177.8-6.419%-
Last 10 (10)37.542.980.4-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)33.446.680.0-13.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)37.441.378.7-4.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)34.040.274.2-6.217%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OrzinuoviLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forli
#6
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H16/02
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H25/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A02/03
Serie A2
Udine
#1
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H09/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A14/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A19/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A23/03
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H30/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A05/04
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H13/04
Serie A2
78.8Avg total
40.8Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.239.279.4+1.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.136.979.9+6.267%-
Last 30 away (15)37.341.578.8-4.120%-
Last 10 (10)40.838.078.8+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.038.877.8+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.639.478.0-0.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)40.838.979.7+2.048%-
vs Weaker (1)40.044.084.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Nardo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nardotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nardo: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.4
52.0%
50.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.9
33.7%
34.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws15.912.9
81.1%
74.4%12.9
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orzinuovitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orzinuovi: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.2
48.9%
50.1%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.110.3
39.5%
34.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.714.2
75.9%
74.4%14.2
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nardo
LLLWLWLLWL
Orzinuovi
WWWLWLWWWL
#19
League position
#14
-7.7
Net rating
+8.4
105.7
Offensive rating
109.6
113.5
Defensive rating
101.2
51.4%
Effective FG%
53.3%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
18.8%
Turnover %
17.2%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.7%
3-point %
39.5%
40.3%
Assist %
69.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 109.6Defence113.5 · 101.2Shooting51.4% · 53.3%3-point %33.7% · 39.5%Ball care18.8% · 17.2%Off. rebounds28.5% · 27.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Nardo   ■ Orzinuovi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nardo wins
2
Orzinuovi wins
DateGameScore
01/12/24Orzinuovi v Nardo66-58
07/01/24Orzinuovi v Nardo81-64
01/11/23Nardo v Orzinuovi90-88
Nardolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25HCento72-99
06/04/25ALibertas Livorno77-92
02/04/25HCantu73-87
30/03/25HAssigeco Piacenza74-70
23/03/25AFortitudo Bologna77-87
15/03/25HVigevano107-65
09/03/25HBrindisi65-76
02/03/25AJuVi Cremona73-98
26/02/25AForli82-69
15/02/25ASebastiani Rieti74-87
Orzinuovilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25HSebastiani Rieti91-73
05/04/25AUrania Milano88-63
30/03/25HCento76-71
23/03/25AVerona73-88
19/03/25AVigevano75-71
14/03/25AAssigeco Piacenza71-79
09/03/25HUdine83-79
02/03/25ARimini88-61
25/02/25HPesaro103-98 OT
16/02/25HForli57-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nardo
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL28%
HomeLWWLL44%
AwayLWLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %28%44%11%
Points / game74.678.171.1
Allowed / game81.779.983.6
Point differential-7.1-1.8-12.4
Avg total156.3157.9154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%17%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Orzinuovi
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW44%
HomeLWWWW61%
AwayWLWLW28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %44%61%28%
Points / game78.180.975.2
Allowed / game79.878.880.9
Point differential-1.8+2.1-5.7
Avg total157.9159.7156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%17%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)56% (9)43% (7)
Overtime %11%17%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine3628878%83.475.0+8.4
2 Rimini36251169%82.178.0+4.0
3 Cantu36231364%78.173.8+4.4
4 Forli36221461%77.775.6+2.1
5 Cividale37221559%80.478.8+1.6
6 Verona36211558%77.373.9+3.4
7 Sebastiani Rieti36211558%75.774.4+1.3
8 Fortitudo Bologna36201656%75.573.6+1.9
9 Urania Milano36201656%76.576.8-0.3
10 Pesaro36191753%82.080.3+1.7
11 Brindisi36191753%77.076.1+0.9
12 Basket Torino36191753%76.575.7+0.8
13 Avellino Basket36191753%79.479.9-0.4
14 Orzinuovi36162044%78.179.8-1.8
15 Cento37142338%73.577.5-4.0
16 JuVi Cremona36132336%81.283.2-2.0
17 Libertas Livorno36122433%75.577.7-2.2
18 Vigevano36112531%75.280.9-5.7
19 Nardo36102628%74.681.7-7.1
20 Assigeco Piacenza3672919%76.382.9-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nardo31202527103
Orzinuovi1515282583
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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