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NC State vs Wake Forest Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 70-57
36-32 34-25
Position#128
Record9-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game72.2
NC State 🏆
USA
vs
Wake Forest
USA
Position#190
Record9-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game74.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · NC State v Wake Forest
23 Jan 2027
NC S v WAKE
upcoming
31 Dec 2025
NC S70
WAKE57
22 Feb 2025
NC S85
WAKE73
16 Jan 2024
NC S83
WAKE76
22 Feb 2023
NC S90
WAKE74
09 Feb 2022
NC S51
WAKE69
27 Jan 2021
NC S72
WAKE67
06 Mar 2020
NC S84
WAKE64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wake Forest winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#27
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H18/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H24/11
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A25/11
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
97-102
97
102
-5
A27/11
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A04/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H06/12
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
85-45
85
45
+40
H11/12
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
76-77 OT
76
77
-1
H13/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
108-72
108
72
+36
H18/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-35
46-44
33-35
41-50
34-28
47-42
37-47
60-55
35-41
38-42
35-33
40-30
45-19
40-26
30-30
36-36
51-28
57-44
45-26
31-36
156.8Avg total
83.0Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)88.372.2160.5+16.269%
Season at home (10)89.768.3158.0+21.480%
Season away (3)83.785.0168.7-1.333%
Last 10 (10)83.073.8156.8+9.260%
Last 5 (5)84.063.8147.8+20.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)64.374.1138.4-9.914%
vs Similar (16)75.775.1150.8+0.638%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)89.065.9154.9+23.186%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass Lowell
#247
W
109-75
109
75
+34
H16/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A21/11
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A22/11
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
99-51
99
51
+48
H26/11
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H28/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
68-86
68
86
-18
H03/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A06/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
111-73
111
73
+38
H14/12
NCAA
Longwood
#202
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H18/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
67-98
67
98
-31
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
48-38
61-37
34-35
49-49
27-33
42-35
50-23
49-28
45-44
41-29
35-37
33-49
34-34
41-32
57-39
54-34
30-34
41-34
37-54
30-44
158.0Avg total
83.8Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.974.3158.2+9.669%
Season at home (9)86.773.7160.3+13.078%
Season away (4)77.875.8153.5+2.050%
Last 10 (10)83.874.2158.0+9.670%
Last 5 (5)78.478.2156.6+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)69.480.1149.6-10.714%
vs Similar (19)78.669.0147.6+9.679%
vs Weaker (4)80.274.2154.5+6.075%
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +7.0+7.0
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +7.0+7.0
NC StateWake Forest
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#27
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H18/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H24/11
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A25/11
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A27/11
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A04/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H06/12
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
45-19
45
19
+26
H11/12
NCAA
Kansas
#58
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H13/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H18/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H21/12
NCAA
70.6Avg total
38.4Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.733.569.1+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.731.367.9+5.458%-
Last 30 away (11)33.937.371.2-3.445%-
Last 10 (10)38.432.270.6+6.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.227.268.4+14.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)28.736.064.7-7.329%-
vs Similar (16)34.533.968.4+0.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)45.330.075.3+15.3100%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass Lowell
#247
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H16/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A21/11
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A22/11
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H26/11
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H28/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H03/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A06/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H14/12
NCAA
Longwood
#202
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H18/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H21/12
NCAA
76.8Avg total
39.7Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.134.970.0+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.134.171.2+3.044%-
Last 30 away (12)32.036.268.2-4.233%-
Last 10 (10)39.737.176.8+2.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.678.2-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)29.641.471.0-11.90%-
vs Similar (19)36.732.168.8+4.647%-
vs Weaker (4)37.037.074.0+0.075%-
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
NC State wins
4
Wake Forest wins
DateGameScore
22/02/25NC State v Wake Forest85-73
04/01/25Wake Forest v NC State77-59
10/02/24Wake Forest v NC State83-79
17/01/24NC State v Wake Forest83-76
23/02/23NC State v Wake Forest90-74
28/01/23Wake Forest v NC State77-79
03/03/22Wake Forest v NC State101-76
10/02/22NC State v Wake Forest51-69
20/02/21Wake Forest v NC State62-80
28/01/21NC State v Wake Forest72-67
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HOle Miss76-62
18/12/25HTexas Southern108-72
13/12/25HKansas76-77 OT
11/12/25HLiberty85-45
06/12/25HUNC Asheville75-63
04/12/25AAuburn73-83
27/11/25ATexas97-102
25/11/25ABoise State81-70
24/11/25HSeton Hall74-85
18/11/25HVCU Rams85-79
Wake Forestlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HVanderbilt67-98
18/12/25HLongwood71-68
14/12/25HQueens Royals111-73
06/12/25AWest Virginia75-66
03/12/25HOklahoma68-86
28/11/25HNortheastern86-73
26/11/25HCampbell99-51
22/11/25AMemphis69-68
21/11/25ATexas Tech83-84
16/11/25HUMass Lowell109-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW69%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13103
Win %69%80%33%
Points / game88.389.783.7
Allowed / game72.268.385.0
Point differential+16.2+21.4-1.3
Avg total160.5158.0168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%70%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%10%0%
Wake Forest
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL69%
HomeWLWWL78%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %69%78%50%
Points / game83.986.777.8
Allowed / game74.373.775.8
Point differential+9.6+13.0+2.0
Avg total158.2160.3153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %8%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina1413193%81.263.7+17.5
2 Duke1211192%87.262.6+24.6
3 Miami (FL)1412286%88.567.8+20.7
4 California1412286%82.168.4+13.8
5 Louisville1311285%91.568.3+23.2
6 Virginia1311285%84.669.5+15.1
7 SMU Mustangs1311285%91.176.5+14.6
8 Virginia Tech1311285%83.172.6+10.5
9 Stanford1411379%78.970.5+8.4
10 Clemson1310377%79.765.8+13.8
11 Notre Dame1410471%74.666.4+8.2
12 NC State139469%88.372.2+16.2
13 Syracuse139469%74.664.8+9.8
14 Wake Forest139469%83.974.3+9.6
15 Georgia Tech139469%76.570.3+6.2
16 Boston College137654%70.666.7+3.9
17 Florida State147750%83.678.4+5.3
18 Pittsburgh147750%73.668.4+5.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State363470
Wake Forest322557
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