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NC State vs Wake Forest Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 90-74
52-46 38-28
Position#66
Record21-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game69.2
NC State 🏆
USA
vs
Wake Forest
USA
Position#142
Record17-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game73.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · NC State v Wake Forest
23 Jan 2027
NC S v WAKE
upcoming
31 Dec 2025
NC S70
WAKE57
22 Feb 2025
NC S85
WAKE73
16 Jan 2024
NC S83
WAKE76
22 Feb 2023
NC S90
WAKE74
09 Feb 2022
NC S51
WAKE69
27 Jan 2021
NC S72
WAKE67
06 Mar 2020
NC S84
WAKE64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wake Forest winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#241
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A18/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A21/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H25/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A28/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
94-66
94
66
+28
H02/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H04/02
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
92-62
92
62
+30
A11/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A15/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-37
36-29
33-34
36-46
39-42
46-40
31-37
48-40
49-27
45-39
41-35
31-29
20-34
30-29
44-32
48-30
31-35
41-40
32-31
45-38
147.2Avg total
76.8Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.669.2147.8+9.475%
Season at home (18)82.167.1149.2+14.994%
Season away (10)72.473.0145.4-0.640%
Last 10 (10)76.870.4147.2+6.470%
Last 5 (5)72.666.6139.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)64.070.0134.0-6.00%
vs Similar (13)73.273.4146.5-0.246%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)82.967.1149.9+15.894%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#221
W
85-63
85
63
+22
A15/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H18/01
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H21/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A26/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H28/01
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A01/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
81-64
81
64
+17
A04/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
92-85
92
85
+7
H08/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H11/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
87-96
87
96
-9
A18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
41-31
44-32
48-38
39-39
32-42
35-34
39-49
40-32
37-31
40-48
34-41
39-34
27-26
54-38
47-25
45-60
34-38
37-32
44-47
43-49
156.5Avg total
79.9Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.073.9152.0+4.163%
Season at home (16)79.871.7151.4+8.181%
Season away (11)75.577.2152.7-1.636%
Last 10 (10)79.976.6156.5+3.350%
Last 5 (5)80.878.0158.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)68.874.1142.9-5.333%
vs Similar (11)77.876.9154.7+0.964%
vs Weaker (9)84.969.3154.2+15.689%
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +1.8+1.8
NC StateWake Forest
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#241
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A18/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A21/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H25/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A28/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H02/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H04/02
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
20-34
20
34
-14
A08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A11/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A15/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H19/02
NCAA
70.6Avg total
36.2Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.531.769.2+5.763%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.730.371.0+10.483%-
Last 30 away (12)32.633.966.5-1.333%-
Last 10 (10)36.234.470.6+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)33.633.467.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)24.029.053.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (13)34.532.066.5+2.554%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.731.772.4+9.075%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#221
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A15/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H18/01
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H21/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A26/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H28/01
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A01/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A04/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H08/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H11/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A18/02
NCAA
75.1Avg total
38.3Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.633.070.6+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.931.371.3+8.678%-
Last 30 away (12)34.135.669.7-1.550%-
Last 10 (10)38.336.875.1+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.235.472.6+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.434.768.1-1.256%-
vs Similar (11)37.136.473.5+0.745%-
vs Weaker (9)41.828.670.3+13.2100%-
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
NC State wins
2
Wake Forest wins
DateGameScore
28/01/23Wake Forest v NC State77-79
03/03/22Wake Forest v NC State101-76
10/02/22NC State v Wake Forest51-69
20/02/21Wake Forest v NC State62-80
28/01/21NC State v Wake Forest72-67
07/03/20NC State v Wake Forest84-64
07/12/19Wake Forest v NC State82-91
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/23HNorth Carolina77-69
15/02/23ASyracuse72-75
11/02/23ABoston College92-62
08/02/23AVirginia50-63
04/02/23HGeorgia Tech72-64
02/02/23HFlorida State94-66
28/01/23AWake Forest79-77
25/01/23HNotre Dame85-82
21/01/23ANorth Carolina69-80
18/01/23AGeorgia Tech78-66
Wake Forestlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23AMiami (FL)87-96
11/02/23HGeorgia Tech71-70
08/02/23HNorth Carolina92-85
04/02/23ANotre Dame81-64
01/02/23ADuke73-75
28/01/23HNC State77-79
26/01/23APittsburgh79-81
21/01/23HVirginia67-76
18/01/23HClemson87-77
15/01/23ABoston College85-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW75%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281810
Win %75%94%40%
Points / game78.682.172.4
Allowed / game69.267.173.0
Point differential+9.4+14.9-0.6
Avg total147.8149.2145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%61%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %4%6%0%
Wake Forest
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL63%
HomeWLLWW81%
AwayWLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %63%81%36%
Points / game78.079.875.5
Allowed / game73.971.777.2
Point differential+4.1+8.1-1.6
Avg total152.0151.4152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%50%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %7%6%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia2621581%68.360.2+8.0
2 NC State2821775%78.669.2+9.4
3 Duke2820871%71.963.9+8.0
4 Pittsburgh2820871%74.967.9+7.0
5 Clemson2820871%75.068.2+6.8
6 Wake Forest27171063%78.073.9+4.1
7 North Carolina27161159%77.972.6+5.2
8 Miami (FL)56332359%76.573.0+3.5
9 Virginia Tech28161257%74.569.5+5.0
10 Syracuse28161257%73.971.4+2.5
11 Boston College29141548%66.269.9-3.7
12 Stanford27111641%69.267.8+1.4
13 Georgia Tech28111739%68.170.6-2.5
14 Notre Dame27101737%70.172.0-1.8
15 SMU Mustangs28101836%70.574.8-4.2
16 Florida State2882029%69.676.2-6.7
17 Louisville2842414%64.475.6-11.2
18 California2732411%58.770.1-11.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State523890
Wake Forest462874
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