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Ukmerges Stekas vs Neptunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 91-74
24-15 21-23 26-21 20-15
Position#8
Record11-15
FormWLWWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Position#10
Record14-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game78.6
LithuaniaNKL· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 2
03 Nov 2026
UKME64
NEPT87
11 Oct 2025
UKME70
NEPT91
20 Feb 2025
UKME84
NEPT77
11 Jan 2025
UKME91
NEPT74
01 Feb 2024
UKME79
NEPT75
09 Dec 2023
UKME78
NEPT64
26 Jan 2023
UKME102
NEPT65
12 Nov 2022
UKME83
NEPT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
79-84
79
84
-5
80avg 70
H28/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
71-83
71
83
-12
60avg 70
A30/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
70-85
70
85
-15
56avg 70
A05/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
66avg 70
H07/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
101-79
101
79
+22
110avg 70
H10/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
68-59
68
59
+9
61avg 70
H14/12
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
62-68
62
68
-6
51avg 70
A19/12
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
76-58
76
58
+18
77avg 70
H21/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
71-60
71
60
+11
58avg 70
H04/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
77-83
77
83
-6
60avg 70
A09/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-11
18-16
22-27
22-30
16-25
20-21
23-20
12-17
14-25
18-22
17-19
21-19
24-26
13-23
23-21
14-16
21-19
24-20
31-13
25-27
21-16
19-10
17-19
11-14
18-22
21-24
8-10
15-12
21-13
17-12
21-19
17-14
10-9
21-20
22-12
18-19
18-18
13-28
21-18
25-19
149.4Avg total
74.9Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)76.578.1154.6-1.642%
Season at home (13)78.776.2154.9+2.562%
Season away (13)74.380.0154.3-5.723%
Last 10 (10)74.974.5149.4+0.440%
Last 5 (5)70.865.6136.4+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.080.0158.0-2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (24)75.477.9153.2-2.533%
vs Weaker (4)87.078.8165.8+8.275%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
78-93
78
93
-15
65avg 73
A23/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
86-80
86
80
+6
82avg 73
H28/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
66avg 73
A30/11
NKL
Silute
#12
W
73-65
73
65
+8
62avg 73
H05/12
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
68-88
68
88
-20
58avg 73
A12/12
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
97-89
97
89
+8
88avg 73
H14/12
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
76-68
76
68
+8
57avg 73
A17/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
95-84
95
84
+11
84avg 73
A20/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
75-99
75
99
-24
59avg 73
A04/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 73
H09/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
13-21
22-26
18-21
21-16
24-29
22-24
19-11
19-24
19-24
23-15
21-24
19-12
16-21
19-20
19-12
15-22
11-20
19-23
23-23
26-22
19-23
24-13
28-31
23-26
16-17
22-13
15-12
25-18
31-29
18-19
21-18
16-28
11-24
24-22
24-25
13-21
19-16
16-25
30-21
164.4Avg total
80.8Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.278.6157.8+0.656%
Season at home (12)82.377.3159.7+5.067%
Season away (13)76.479.8156.2-3.446%
Last 10 (10)80.883.6164.4-2.850%
Last 5 (5)84.284.6168.8-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.080.3154.3-6.343%
vs Similar ◀ (20)82.580.3162.8+2.265%
vs Weaker (3)86.076.7162.7+9.367%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.0+2.0
Ukmerges StekasNeptunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H28/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A30/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A05/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H07/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H10/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H14/12
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A19/12
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H21/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H04/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A09/01
NKL
74.4Avg total
36.4Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.439.576.9-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.136.173.2+1.056%-
Last 30 away (14)37.743.381.0-5.629%-
Last 10 (10)36.438.074.4-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)35.834.470.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.043.077.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)37.139.876.9-2.742%-
vs Weaker (4)41.035.876.8+5.275%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A23/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H28/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A30/11
NKL
Silute
#12
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H05/12
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A12/12
NKL
Kretinga
#13
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H14/12
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A17/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A20/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
27-52
27
52
-25
A04/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H09/01
NKL
81.9Avg total
38.1Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.442.081.4-2.727%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.238.778.9+1.533%-
Last 30 away (15)38.545.383.9-6.820%-
Last 10 (10)38.143.881.9-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)39.844.884.6-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.938.070.9-5.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)41.043.984.9-2.820%-
vs Weaker (3)43.339.382.7+4.033%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.8
51.5%
52.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.0
30.2%
32.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws14.79.7
66.0%
70.5%9.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.8
50.6%
52.5%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.39.9
32.7%
32.5%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.314.7
69.0%
70.5%14.7
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
LWWLWWLLLL
Neptunas 2
LLWWWLWLWL
#8
League position
#10
+1.4
Net rating
-4.0
101.4
Offensive rating
107.0
100.0
Defensive rating
111.1
48.7%
Effective FG%
49.8%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
20.2%
Turnover %
14.2%
35.9%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.2%
3-point %
32.7%
64.7%
Assist %
51.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 107.0Defence100.0 · 111.1Shooting48.7% · 49.8%3-point %30.2% · 32.7%Ball care20.2% · 14.2%Off. rebounds35.9% · 27.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Neptunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ukmerges Stekas wins
4
Neptunas 2 wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/25AVytis VDU77-83
04/01/25HPlunges Olimpas71-60
21/12/24HKretinga76-58
19/12/24ATelsiai62-68
14/12/24HRytas 268-59
10/12/24HDelikatesas Joniskis101-79
07/12/24HSuduva-Mantinga74-86
05/12/24ABC Olimpas Palanga70-85
30/11/24ASilute71-83
28/11/24HAlytaus Alytus79-84
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/25HBC Olimpas Palanga78-83
04/01/25ASuduva-Mantinga75-99
20/12/24AJurbarkas95-84
17/12/24AAlytaus Alytus76-68
14/12/24HKretinga97-89
12/12/24ATelsiai68-88
05/12/24HSilute73-65
30/11/24AVytis VDU82-87
28/11/24HPlunges Olimpas86-80
23/11/24AVilkaviskis78-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL42%
HomeLWWWW62%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %42%62%23%
Points / game76.578.774.3
Allowed / game78.176.280.0
Point differential-1.6+2.5-5.7
Avg total154.6154.9154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%31%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Neptunas 2
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL56%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLLWWL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %56%67%46%
Points / game79.282.376.4
Allowed / game78.677.379.8
Point differential+0.6+5.0-3.4
Avg total157.8159.7156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%17%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)25% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas2418675%81.977.7+4.2
2 BC Olimpas Palanga2619773%81.872.0+9.8
3 Telsiai2619773%84.877.1+7.7
4 Vytis VDU2516964%89.284.2+5.0
5 Vilkaviskis27171063%82.676.9+5.7
6 Omega-Tauras26161062%81.179.3+1.7
7 Zalgiris Kaunas 224141058%79.976.1+3.8
8 Suduva-Mantinga26151158%82.378.1+4.2
9 Neptunas 225141156%79.278.6+0.6
10 Silute26111542%80.582.1-1.6
11 Ukmerges Stekas26111542%76.578.1-1.6
12 Rytas 226101638%79.682.5-2.9
13 Alytaus Alytus2691735%79.888.4-8.6
14 Plunges Olimpas2581732%77.081.6-4.6
15 Kretinga2671927%77.484.5-7.0
16 Delikatesas Joniskis261254%77.393.1-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukmerges Stekas2421262091
Neptunas 21523211574
← all games of the day
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