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Neptunas vs Siauliai Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 May 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 107-106 (OT)
17-22 24-14 19-19 18-23 29-28
Position#6
Record13-22
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Position#7
Record12-22
FormWLWLL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game91.1
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Neptunas v Siauliai
03 Apr 2027
NEP v SIA
upcoming
25 Oct 2026
NEP110
SIA88
19 Apr 2026
NEP98
SIA83
28 Dec 2025
NEP101
SIA103
27 Apr 2025
NEP90
SIA95
25 Jan 2025
NEP80
SIA90
27 Nov 2024
NEP101
SIA104
11 Mar 2024
NEP85
SIA76
06 Mar 2023
NEP93
SIA79
31 Oct 2021
NEP86
SIA94
07 May 2021
NEP107
SIA106
17 Jan 2021
NEP77
SIA88
10 Jan 2021
NEP88
SIA94
08 Mar 2020
NEP90
SIA70
05 Oct 2019
NEP90
SIA94
05 May 2019
NEP96
SIA75
23 Dec 2018
NEP80
SIA76
01 Mar 2018
NEP71
SIA78
04 Jan 2018
NEP84
SIA79
26 Apr 2017
NEP85
SIA78
12 Oct 2016
NEP95
SIA67
03 May 2016
NEP90
SIA85
27 Apr 2016
NEP83
SIA77
23 Jan 2016
NEP68
SIA73
29 Nov 2015
NEP74
SIA83
08 Apr 2015
NEP90
SIA77
28 Oct 2014
NEP70
SIA68
11 May 2014
NEP89
SIA88
01 May 2014
NEP86
SIA83
01 Oct 2013
NEP91
SIA69
27 Nov 2012
NEP91
SIA83
19 Apr 2012
NEP101
SIA84
20 Jan 2012
NEP89
SIA93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Siauliai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
84-83
84
83
+1
80avg 73
H03/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
77-82
77
82
-5
no box
A08/04
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
L
77-88
77
88
-11
no box
A11/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
89-91
89
91
-2
86avg 73
H14/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
72-88
72
88
-16
65avg 73
H18/04
LKL
CBet
#5
W
92-81
92
81
+11
86avg 73
H22/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
86-72
86
72
+14
88avg 73
A25/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
86-77
86
77
+9
80avg 73
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
83-73
83
73
+10
80avg 73
H01/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
76-97
76
97
-21
62avg 73
A04/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
21-17
24-22
17-21
17-25
25-17
23-23
12-17
16-22
20-26
18-22
23-18
26-25
21-16
18-20
24-30
16-17
15-21
20-26
21-24
22-19
22-19
23-17
25-26
19-19
19-19
30-17
18-17
22-18
26-23
21-19
17-17
16-17
25-19
24-19
18-18
17-25
28-20
15-22
16-30
165.4Avg total
82.2Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)78.184.4162.5-6.337%
Season at home (17)81.284.1165.4-2.953%
Season away (18)75.284.7159.9-9.622%
Last 10 (10)82.283.2165.4-1.050%
Last 5 (5)84.680.0164.6+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)76.087.6163.6-11.612%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.679.1160.7+2.664%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
W
99-68
99
68
+31
no box
H21/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
90-86
90
86
+4
80avg 76
A07/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
98-88
98
88
+10
99avg 76
A10/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
97-87
97
87
+10
102avg 76
H15/04
LKL
CBet
#5
L
89-90
89
90
-1
88avg 76
A18/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
103-90
103
90
+13
no box
H21/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
86-105
86
105
-19
no box
H25/04
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
85-73
85
73
+12
75avg 76
H28/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
68-104
68
104
-36
58avg 76
A02/05
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
94-112
94
112
-18
83avg 76
H04/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
27-10
26-15
24-25
18-27
33-20
17-23
22-16
25-22
15-26
25-14
33-26
22-27
17-26
26-7
32-27
18-30
23-16
27-23
21-21
21-30
24-16
29-18
29-26
26-25
19-29
18-28
23-23
24-24
24-12
13-18
24-19
15-22
17-25
24-32
12-25
16-26
35-33
20-27
23-26
181.2Avg total
90.9Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)84.591.1175.5-6.635%
Season at home (18)87.689.4177.0-1.844%
Season away (16)80.992.9173.9-12.025%
Last 10 (10)90.990.3181.2+0.660%
Last 5 (5)87.296.8184.0-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)84.593.9178.4-9.527%
vs Similar ◀ (12)89.284.5173.7+4.758%
vs Weaker (3)81.077.7158.7+3.367%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
NeptunasSiauliai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H03/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A08/04
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A11/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H14/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H18/04
LKL
CBet
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H22/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A25/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H01/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A04/05
LKL
82.2Avg total
41.5Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.140.479.5-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.140.380.4-0.164%-
Last 30 away (16)38.140.678.7-2.425%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.782.2+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.682.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.242.180.3-3.931%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.138.578.6+1.657%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H21/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A07/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A10/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H15/04
LKL
CBet
#5
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A18/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H21/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H25/04
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H28/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A02/05
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
51-59
51
59
-8
H04/05
LKL
90.5Avg total
44.1Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.045.087.0-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.544.988.4-1.435%-
Last 30 away (13)40.145.285.2-5.131%-
Last 10 (10)44.146.490.5-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)44.248.492.6-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)41.547.388.9-5.827%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.443.185.5-0.742%-
vs Weaker (3)43.041.084.0+2.033%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.5
58.9%
54.2%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.3
31.7%
36.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.514.5
70.7%
75.2%14.5
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.922.1
59.9%
54.2%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.3
38.4%
36.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.415.0
77.3%
75.2%15.0
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LWWWWLLLLW
Siauliai
LLWLWLWWWW
#6
League position
#7
-1.3
Net rating
+0.5
109.1
Offensive rating
117.7
110.4
Defensive rating
117.2
54.7%
Effective FG%
58.9%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
58.7%
20.1%
Turnover %
20.1%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.7%
3-point %
38.4%
60.7%
Assist %
65.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 117.7Defence110.4 · 117.2Shooting54.7% · 58.9%3-point %31.7% · 38.4%Ball care20.1% · 20.1%Off. rebounds31.6% · 33.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Neptunas   ■ Siauliai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Neptunas wins
5
Siauliai wins
DateGameScore
21/03/21Siauliai v Neptunas99-68
17/01/21Neptunas v Siauliai77-88
10/01/21Neptunas v Siauliai88-94
07/01/21Siauliai v Neptunas76-91
08/11/20Siauliai v Neptunas93-88
08/03/20Neptunas v Siauliai90-70
17/11/19Siauliai v Neptunas95-102
05/10/19Neptunas v Siauliai90-94
05/05/19Neptunas v Siauliai96-75
26/01/19Siauliai v Neptunas103-106 OT
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/21ARytas76-97
01/05/21HLietkabelis83-73
29/04/21AAlytaus Dzukija86-77
25/04/21APieno Zvaigzdes86-72
22/04/21HCBet92-81
18/04/21HZalgiris Kaunas72-88
14/04/21HJuventus89-91
11/04/21ANevezis-OPTIBET77-88
08/04/21ALietkabelis77-82
03/04/21HNevezis-OPTIBET84-83
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/21HJuventus94-112
02/05/21ARytas68-104
28/04/21HNevezis-OPTIBET85-73
25/04/21HZalgiris Kaunas86-105
21/04/21HPieno Zvaigzdes103-90
18/04/21ACBet89-90
15/04/21HLietkabelis97-87
10/04/21AAlytaus Dzukija98-88
07/04/21AJuventus90-86
21/03/21HNeptunas99-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL37%
HomeWLLWW53%
AwayLLWWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %37%53%22%
Points / game78.181.275.2
Allowed / game84.484.184.7
Point differential-6.3-2.9-9.6
Avg total162.5165.4159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%24%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)67% (3)17% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Siauliai
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL35%
HomeWWLWL44%
AwayLWWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %35%44%25%
Points / game84.587.680.9
Allowed / game91.189.492.9
Point differential-6.6-1.8-12.0
Avg total175.5177.0173.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3532391%90.771.1+19.7
2 Rytas3427779%88.978.9+10.1
3 Juventus36231364%88.986.2+2.8
4 Lietkabelis34211362%84.380.1+4.2
5 CBet35142140%84.088.8-4.9
6 Neptunas35132237%78.184.4-6.3
7 Siauliai34122235%84.591.1-6.6
8 Pieno Zvaigzdes36122433%79.684.5-5.0
9 Alytaus Dzukija35112431%80.884.8-3.9
10 Nevezis-OPTIBET3492526%75.285.2-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Neptunas1724191829107
Siauliai2214192328106
← all games of the day
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